2024 Presidential Race

#57,130
#57,130
Been in Europe the last two weeks. Had a couple of conversations with taxi drivers who wanted to talk about the election.

Male Eastern European in Basel, Swz: Hopes Trump wins. Said America needs to be strong. I was surprised a bit at the interest in it. Was kind of thinking the “world is watching” was a bit of self importance on our part, but he indicated otherwise.

Second was a Dutch female in Oosterbeek. First asked me who I thought would win and I replied I do not know. Seemed to think (along with most of us on here) we have two bad choices, but that they tend to do the same thing with their politicians. Biggest concern of hers was why we have a President with obvious signs of dementia. Her words, not mine. Was pretty expressive about that.
 
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#57,131
#57,131
jmacvols1 said:
Jonathan Turley
@JonathanTurley

Many of us who saw Kamala Harris's last-minute appearance on SNL remarked how it felt like a campaign pitch produced by NBC. Now Fox is reporting that FCC Commissioner Brendan Carr is suggesting that it may violate the federal equal time rule if Trump was not offered an appearance. https://foxnews.com/live-news/donald-trump-kamala-harris-election-news-11-3-24…...

...Carr noted that “In the 2016 cycle, President Obama’s FCC Chair made clear that the agency would enforce the Equal Time rule when candidate Trump went on SNL.”

...Given that prior notice, this would seem a knowing violation committed at the last minute to avoid any remedial action before the election...
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#57,140
#57,140
BreatheUT said:
Just curious. Didn't he have a falling out with the democrat party?
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Morris was a hired gun, working for Republicans and Democrats. I think he worked for Jessie Helms at one point. Running Clinton's campaign was his rise to fame (and getting caught with a prostitute was his rise to infamy). Since falling out of the DC circle he's been more of a pundit and seems to support mostly Republicans. I think he was a big Romney guy when he was running against Obama.
 
#57,143
#57,143
volinbham said:
as a higher ed veteran for going on 35 years - there's no feasible way for this to happen with either mass layoffs and asset write downs at virtually every public university or massive tax increases or massive deficit expansion or all three.
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Yeah that’s usually what a big reform does
 
#57,145
#57,145
JOEY’S ALL VOL !!! said:
Beyond stupid. Why you insist on doubling down on a purely partisan ignorant take is your business, but don’t come in here acting oppressed with a take as idiotic as that. Voter Identification is not only vital but is the essence of a true democracy. Our countries legal citizens vote for the President of their legal choosing. It’s not very complicated at all.
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These same people never complain about pulling an ID out for beer, snuff, guns, medical treatment, or guns. But to vote????

Why is this?? I am still waiting for an answer Libs .
 
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#57,147
#57,147
rjd970 said:
Then the repubs need to put up a better candidate. It’s embarrassing this is who was chosen.

Not that it matters anyway because this state is going for Trump anyway. The whole system is a sham if the best we can do is shame people for voting their conscious just because “the other guy could win”.
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www.iheart.com

It's A Saturday Morning Bonus Podcast For 10-05-24 - The Michael Berry Show | iHeart

Politics and current events from the Czar of Talk Radio.
www.iheart.com www.iheart.com

Pastor Gary Hamrick is the senior pastor of Cornerstone Chapel -

If Christians do not stay politically engaged, guess what will fill the vacuum every evil, demonic practice. Good government cannot save us, but bad government can destroy us.

One of my biggest concerns this election cycle is the Christian who wants to do the right thing but can't vote for a candidate who doesn't have the total package.

And I hear Christians talk like this. I hear them say things like, I don't like a few things about this person's personality or a couple of their positions, but I can't vote for the other candidate because they're they're they're too far from my biblical values.

And so I'll just sit it out, or I'll vote for a write in, which is a vote for nobody, nobody.

This is a binary election.

That's it, and listen.

I understand elections are serious things with serious consequences, but please please tell me what other decisions do you make in your life that must meet one hundred percent of the criteria?
 
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#57,148
#57,148
volfanhill said:
Yea but about that


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www.natesilver.net

Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast

All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris.
www.natesilver.net www.natesilver.net

🕒 Last update: 7:45 p.m., Sunday, November 3. A fair bit of polling in the afternoon, some of it pretty middling for Kamala Harris, but also mostly from mediocre and/or Republican-leaning polling firms that tend to herd toward numbers like Trump +1 or Trump +2 and don’t impact the forecast much. A bit more worrisome is a YouGov national poll that showed the race tied — they’ve usually been one of Harris’s better pollsters. Still, Harris got plenty of strong polling from high-quality firms this weekend too, so there’s no real change in the state of the race.

10:45 a.m., Sunday, November 3. Just two days to go! A lot of polling out in the morning, but it’s all fairly consistent with our previous forecast. A final set of NYT/Siena swing state polls was good for Kamala Harris but not great — for instance, in showing Pennsylvania as a tie, a race that previous NYT polls had shown as leaning toward Harris. However, she got a mediocre set of state numbers from Morning Consult, considering it’s generally been one of her better pollsters. And our national polling average tightened even further to Harris +0.9, though the model doesn’t care much about national polls at this stage.

So, there was nothing as exciting as the Des Moines Register poll last night that showed Harris leading in Iowa—we have a lot of thoughts about that one. Instead, it’s all in line with a race that’s really and truly close to 50/50. We’ll very likely have another update in the PM.
Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election?

Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model.1

I cannot find an electoral prediction on the Silver Bulletin.

x.com

x.com x.com

Not on X as well.
 
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