2024 Presidential Race

Trump is likely to win at this point but it is surprising that the NYT is still doing the needle predictor on it's website. They had Hillary at 95% on that needle in 2016 at one point. Why do people still click on their website and look at it? Me included?

that was very early in the night - I watched it in 2016 as it moved to Trump. also, polling data favored her going in so data that conflicted with polling data makes predictions more cautious.

it's the only game in town that makes real time predictions that I've found
 

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