#9 California at #23 Tennessee

Pick the winner

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#3
#3
If the line were a PK, I think UT is a safe MONEY bet, but for fun, you always pick UT.

If the line were -4 or greater, it's a Cal pick, I guess.
 
#6
#6
yeah, but i don't think it should have carried a team ranked 23 againt a top 10 team. i guess now we have to prove they were right.
 
#7
#7
The last time we beat a top ten opponent at home was 1999. We need to stop that trend on September 2nd.
 
#8
#8
How many people really think Cal is a top ten team? I think thats the reason the pt spread is so tight.
 
#9
#9
oklavol said:
How many people really think Cal is a top ten team? I think thats the reason the pt spread is so tight.
Click to expand...

I think you're probably right. Cal got voted into the top 10 and it might be legitimate, but I think a lot of people look at their performance last year against a weak schedule and say "Show me".
 
#14
#14
Point spread it tight because its Vegas who sets the odds and not the ap or coaches polls. The odds makers do their homework. They are obviously telling folks that the Vols are better then #23 and that we are going to be strong at home. Hope they are right!
 
#15
#15
hohenfelsvol said:
Point spread it tight because its Vegas who sets the odds and not the ap or coaches polls. The odds makers do their homework. They are obviously telling folks that the Vols are better then #23 and that we are going to be strong at home. Hope they are right!
Click to expand...

I hope they're right, too!

One thing I finally learned was that sportsbook know wayyyyyyyyyy more than I ever thought when I was younger.
 
#17
#17
Tennessee- 24
California- 10

Ainge: 15-29, 260 yds, 2 TD, INT
Foster: 24 car, 98 yds, TD
Meachem: 6 catches, 110 yds, TD
 
#20
#20
hohenfelsvol said:
Point spread it tight because its Vegas who sets the odds and not the ap or coaches polls. The odds makers do their homework. They are obviously telling folks that the Vols are better then #23 and that we are going to be strong at home. Hope they are right!
Click to expand...


If you watch during the middle of any given season, most of the time that a top 25 team is at home they are rarely an underdog by more than four. Exception is when they host one of the top two or three teams that might be dominant.

You will often see the lower rated team as the favorite against the higher ranked team if the former is at home. For example, if the game were coming up first, I would think that UT would be a favorite against Florida, even though Florida is higher ranked.

I can't give you the numbers, but over time it certainly seems that home field advantage in college football is a huge factor in setting point spreads because, over time, that one factor seems to account for more "upsets" than any other. I assure you that if Cal were hosting UT, the line would be more like Cal - 6, which is a big difference from Cal +2.
 
#21
#21
Somebody probably knows the answer to this, but I'd guess that home field is worth probably 4-6 points in a college spread.
 
#22
#22
lawgator1 said:
If you watch during the middle of any given season, most of the time that a top 25 team is at home they are rarely an underdog by more than four. Exception is when they host one of the top two or three teams that might be dominant.

You will often see the lower rated team as the favorite against the higher ranked team if the former is at home. For example, if the game were coming up first, I would think that UT would be a favorite against Florida, even though Florida is higher ranked.

I can't give you the numbers, but over time it certainly seems that home field advantage in college football is a huge factor in setting point spreads because, over time, that one factor seems to account for more "upsets" than any other. I assure you that if Cal were hosting UT, the line would be more like Cal - 6, which is a big difference from Cal +2.
Click to expand...

I agree. Point was that Vegas takes all factors into account including field and other points I brought up.
 
#23
#23
My prediction:

Cal: 27
Tennessee: 24

Ainge: 16-25 213 yards 2 TD
Foster 21 carries 128 yards 1 TD; 2 catches 18 yards
Meachem 5 catches 77 yards 1 TD
Swain: 6 catches 92 yards 1 TD

Marshawn Lynch: 29 carries 143 yards 2 TD's

:cray:
 
#24
#24
WOW. 92% for UT? I picked us, but I'm a little surprised given the "talk around town."
 
#25
#25
Big Orange Diesel, sickemsmokey10, tidwell, utchatt (not surprised given the posts) and VolInsider have all picked Cal.

I'm calling you all out, especially you TIDWELL...

:bash:
 
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