He's saying 100%. If he was saying "I'm pretty sure it's UT" or "I'll be shocked if it's anywhere else", I'd tend to agree. But he's putting his rep on the line (kinda).
I know that and he seems confident that he is going to UT (based on his multiple sources), but this is Memphis we are talking about. I won't believe it until I hear it or see it. Again, that doesn't keep Wolken from hating UT. It's the little brother syndrome.