A Tennessee Fireman's Solution to Climate Change

#26
#26
I'm not an expert by any means but I'd say the position held by the author in the article I linked is pretty representative of mine.

I don't deny CO2 has a greenhouse effect and putting more in the atmosphere should have this basic effect.

I don't consider the debate on the feedback mechanism to be settled and think this is where the real work needs to be done. The OP article clearly takes the position that the positive feedback mechanism is a done deal and will lead to catastrophic effects. From what I've read the science is far less settled here than is presented.

The other problem I have is the suggested link between temp rising (as predicted with a heavy positive feedback view) and any manner of biological, economical, etc. events. There is a distinct bias towards catastrophic outcomes that is then used as leverage for any number of social engineering programs to "prevent" these outcomes.

The article in the OP does nothing to advance our understanding of the issue and consequences and demonstrates how science moves away from science into evangelism.
 
#29
#29
I'm dead serious. You obviously know more than the scientists that study global warming and you are against any governtment regulation concerning the environment (if I'm wrong about these assumptions please correct me). Do you think the government should not regulate air or water quality either?
 
#30
#30
I'm dead serious. You obviously know more than the scientists that study global warming and you are against any governtment regulation concerning the environment (if I'm wrong about these assumptions please correct me). Do you think the government should not regulate air or water quality either?

see, you can have an adult conversation.......no I do not think government should regulate air or water quality......the question you should be asking is do I think that government should regulate the amount of pollutants that industry/business can dispose off, then the answer would be yes as that would be a cost of doing business......the earth has a much greater capacity to handle pollution than the science community gives it credit for....take the gulf oil spill for example
 
#31
#31
The Gulf is still facing some serious enviromental problems.

WWL - AM870 | FM105.3 | News | Talk | Sports - NWF: Impact Of The Gulf Oil Disaster May Be With Us For Decades

I stated at the beginning, that even if the science is not 100% accurate, I would even say if its only 30% accurate, why risk it? If we are capable of making the change, shifting technology to a more sustainable future then shouldn't we do that?

i'm also not calling for a government take over of all industry. I would love for nothing more than the consumers to dictate that they want more sustainable products and services from industry. The problem there is 1) most consumers are lazy and do not want to sacrifice anything much less any type of convenience 2) mot of the time industry all but tells consumers what they want. And when capitalism is involved then some government incentives are sometimes necessary.
 
#32
#32
I am sorry but I can not deal with the "touchy feely" side of you GCC people. I sould have known it would go this way and stayed out of this thread. Save The Earth!
 
#33
#33
I'm not an expert by any means but I'd say the position held by the author in the article I linked is pretty representative of mine.

I don't deny CO2 has a greenhouse effect and putting more in the atmosphere should have this basic effect.

I don't consider the debate on the feedback mechanism to be settled and think this is where the real work needs to be done. The OP article clearly takes the position that the positive feedback mechanism is a done deal and will lead to catastrophic effects. From what I've read the science is far less settled here than is presented.

The other problem I have is the suggested link between temp rising (as predicted with a heavy positive feedback view) and any manner of biological, economical, etc. events. There is a distinct bias towards catastrophic outcomes that is then used as leverage for any number of social engineering programs to "prevent" these outcomes.

The article in the OP does nothing to advance our understanding of the issue and consequences and demonstrates how science moves away from science into evangelism.

Here's my problem with that whole situation: It feels like virtually any time I see a study that disproves man-influenced climate change, it turns out to be funded by people who have a heavily vested interest in getting that specific result.

I only know a minimal amount of climate science (though I did enjoy seeing IPO repeatedly hand gs his own ass over the course of time on here on the subject), but I do know that the vast majority of concerned scientists in this area have sufficient belief that economic activity is currently damaging our environment, and the few in disagreement have a seemingly high tendency to be co-opted or have "bought" opinions.

Even otherwise liberal economists have started pushing for Pigovian taxes to rectify this issue. That's the side of the vast majority; in this case, the minority just happens to have a whole, whole, whole lot more money so they can make a bigger stink, disseminate more propaganda, etc.
 
#34
#34
There is enough evidence to support that man is escalating the problem. Even if its not 100% accurate we only have one Earth so why risk it?

There is NOT enough evidence to support that man is escalating the problem.

Given the fact that the Earth was 3.5 degrees warmer a thousand years ago and the climate was better as far as supporting life including all fauna and flora including man (which IS a part of nature fyi) then anyone with an IQ above room temperature with the ability to think rationally will come to the conclusion that there is no problem at all to begin with.

The fireman in question should be fired with cause immediately.
 
#36
#36
There is NOT enough evidence to support that man is escalating the problem.

Given the fact that the Earth was 3.5 degrees warmer a thousand years ago and the climate was better as far as supporting life including all fauna and flora including man (which IS a part of nature fyi) then anyone with an IQ above room temperature with the ability to think rationally will come to the conclusion that there is no problem at all to begin with.

The fireman in question should be fired with cause immediately.

"Objection: It was just as warm in the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) as it is today. In fact, Greenland was green and they were growing grapes in England!

Answer: There is no good evidence that the MWP was a globally warm period comparable to today. Regionally, there may have been places that exhibited notable warmth — Europe, for example — but all global proxy reconstructions agree it is warmer now, and the temperature is rising faster now, than at any time in the last one or even two thousand years.

Anecdotal evidence of wineries in England and Norse farmers in Greenland do not amount to a global assessment.

On its website, NOAA has a wide selection of proxy studies, accompanied by the data on which they are based. Specifically, they have this to say on the MWP:

The idea of a global or hemispheric “Medieval Warm Period” that was warmer than today, however, has turned out to be incorrect.

With regard to the “grapes used to grow in England” bit, here is some fairly solid evidence that grapes are in fact growing there now, denialist talking points aside. If that is not enough, RealClimate has a remarkably in-depth review of the history of wine in Great Britain, and how reliable it is as a proxy for global temperatures. (Hint: not very.)"

I guess all those scientists withn PhDs and such have IQs lower than room temp then.
 
#37
#37
Since I'm not a chemist nor a climatologist, hopefully someone here can help. If CO2 is heavier than air and 95% (just a guess) of the man made CO2 is produced within 1000 feet of the surface, how does the CO2 get into the upper atmosphere to cause the greenhouse effect?

Common sense tells me heaveir stuff sinks, falls or what have you.
 
#38
#38
Since I'm not a chemist nor a climatologist, hopefully someone here can help. If CO2 is heavier than air and 95% (just a guess) of the man made CO2 is produced within 1000 feet of the surface, how does the CO2 get into the upper atmosphere to cause the greenhouse effect?

Common sense tells me heaveir stuff sinks, falls or what have you.

Gravity will act more strongly on more massive particles, like nitrogen, oxygen, and carbon dioxide than, say, hydrogen and helium. So, in the outer-most layers of the atmosphere, you tend to find only hydrogen and helium, though there are very few particles in the outer atmosphere.

However, as you get in to the inner layers of the atmosphere, the atmosphere becomes more well-mixed. There are natural convective currents (due both to absorbance of radiation by the earth and by the atmosphere) that mx the atmosphere from the troposphere to the mesosphere fairly well. Oxygen and nitrogen are constant in these regions. CO2 and water have some variability in this region, both spatially and temporally...but its fairly small variation. Also, the variable gases, such as carbon dioxide, of the northern and southern hemisphere mix more quickly than between hemispheres due to the predominant air currents (i.e., the northern hemisphere's lower atmosphere will mix internally faster than it will exchange atmosphere with the southern hemisphere).
 
#41
#41
Here's my problem with that whole situation: It feels like virtually any time I see a study that disproves man-influenced climate change, it turns out to be funded by people who have a heavily vested interest in getting that specific result.

I only know a minimal amount of climate science (though I did enjoy seeing IPO repeatedly hand gs his own ass over the course of time on here on the subject), but I do know that the vast majority of concerned scientists in this area have sufficient belief that economic activity is currently damaging our environment, and the few in disagreement have a seemingly high tendency to be co-opted or have "bought" opinions.

Even otherwise liberal economists have started pushing for Pigovian taxes to rectify this issue. That's the side of the vast majority; in this case, the minority just happens to have a whole, whole, whole lot more money so they can make a bigger stink, disseminate more propaganda, etc.


The hardcore proponents are as bad as the hardcore deniers. I don't trust either group. I don't see the UN as any more ethical or benevolent than Big Oil.

I think the science on CO2 having a greenhouse effect is considerably more settled than the science regarding the magnitude or even final impact on global temperatures.
 
#42
#42
There is enough evidence to support that man is escalating the problem. Even if its not 100% accurate we only have one Earth so why risk it?

Risk what?

Even the most devout of knowledgeable tree huggers admit that the stringent (draconian) controls we are putting on CO2 emissions (which have no measurable effect on climate) will have negligeable affects on climate.





Article could have been written by LG. That tells you how screwed up the logic is.

:eek:lol:

You know it's almost impossible to talk sense to a tree hugger, even after years of deprogramming they still have a huge problem accepting the fact that they have been indoctrinated with false propaganda.



So, the science behind GCC is wrong because there are also natural forcings on climate? You sure about that?

I would think one would argue that the model predictions (which are not the science, but an output when the science is accounted for *to the extent that it can be*) or that any policy acting on the science could be flawed before it means the science itself is wrong. Radiation theory is radiation theory, whether or not there are natural forcings.

What science behind GCC theory?

If CO2 emissions have been steady to increasing for the last fifteen years, please explain why temperature (and sea levels) have been declining.

What is your theory about the Chevy Volt?

Most people when faced with the fact that their theory doesn't jibe with reality can be willing to admit the theory is wrong.

Not so with this administration that is charging like a mad rhinoserous in it's efforts to shut down all fossil fuel use in this country.

That can only be explained scientifically using political science and it certainly doesn't take an Einstein to understand what their real motivation is and it sure as hell isn't about controling climate, it is all about controlling people and economy.




Why am I not shocked you look down on dialectics

Dialectics is the perfect tool for prevaricators.
 
#43
#43
I don't like the hardcore proponents of it, because of the fixes they have in mind; massive regulatory framework via organizations like the US Federal Government and UN, as you mentioned. But as far as I'm aware, there is a broad consensus among the scientific community that humans are having a measurable impact.

Again, I would prefer to see the issue dealt with via a simple consumption (or emission) tax. And I think we're also starting to see companies change things up a bit; at the end of the day, they all have to put their money where their mouth is. Exxon developing algae with their own money, the Volt and the Leaf starting to pick up, etc.
 
#45
#45
I've got a great idea...let's blow global warming way out of proportion and run around like Chicken Little "the sky is falling !" While we gut NASA, even though its our only possible means of getting to another planet...under the false premise that our country can't afford space exploration, as we simultaneously spend many times NASA,s budget bailing out privately owned companies...because its somehow "unamerican" to let capitalism work as it is designed. Oh wait a minute, the Democrats already did all that.
 
#46
#46
I've got a great idea...let's blow global warming way out of proportion and run around like Chicken Little "the sky is falling !" While we gut NASA, even though its our only possible means of getting to another planet...under the false premise that our country can't afford space exploration, as we simultaneously spend many times NASA,s budget bailing out privately owned companies...because its somehow "unamerican" to let capitalism work as it is designed. Oh wait a minute, the Democrats already did all that.

So escape from planet earth is the only option?

---

My concern isn't so much about climate change as it is pollution and the rapid depletion of natural resources in general. As the population recently surpassed 7billion (seems like it was only 10-15 years agon it hit 6 billion) it's not going to get any better. In the early stages of the industrial age the technology and understanding wasn't there to build cleaner machines and processes but it is today. The only reason not to is because of the money invested into the status quo.
 
#47
#47
So escape from planet earth is the only option?

---

My concern isn't so much about climate change as it is pollution and the rapid depletion of natural resources in general. As the population recently surpassed 7billion (seems like it was only 10-15 years agon it hit 6 billion) it's not going to get any better. In the early stages of the industrial age the technology and understanding wasn't there to build cleaner machines and processes but it is today. The only reason not to is because of the money invested into the status quo.

Actually, it is going to get better.

We can now raise more food per acre than ever before, and look for that to continue to rise. This means less land converted to farming.

We are developing new ways to raise crops on fewer pesticides and fertilizers, with less runoff as well. That is a win win win.

Manufacturing processes are hugely more efficient and continue to improve. This reduces energy costs and pollution.

Worldwide poverty is on the decline.

Worldwide life expectancy keeps improving.

It will just keep getting better!
 
#48
#48
So escape from planet earth is the only option?

---

My concern isn't so much about climate change as it is pollution and the rapid depletion of natural resources in general. As the population recently surpassed 7billion (seems like it was only 10-15 years agon it hit 6 billion) it's not going to get any better. In the early stages of the industrial age the technology and understanding wasn't there to build cleaner machines and processes but it is today. The only reason not to is because of the money invested into the status quo.

For the long-term survival of our species? No doubt.
 
#49
#49
I'm not an expert by any means but I'd say the position held by the author in the article I linked is pretty representative of mine.

I don't deny CO2 has a greenhouse effect and putting more in the atmosphere should have this basic effect.

I don't consider the debate on the feedback mechanism to be settled and think this is where the real work needs to be done. The OP article clearly takes the position that the positive feedback mechanism is a done deal and will lead to catastrophic effects. From what I've read the science is far less settled here than is presented.

The other problem I have is the suggested link between temp rising (as predicted with a heavy positive feedback view) and any manner of biological, economical, etc. events. There is a distinct bias towards catastrophic outcomes that is then used as leverage for any number of social engineering programs to "prevent" these outcomes.

The article in the OP does nothing to advance our understanding of the issue and consequences and demonstrates how science moves away from science into evangelism.

This. Well said volinbham.
 
#50
#50
The hardcore proponents are as bad as the hardcore deniers. I don't trust either group. I don't see the UN as any more ethical or benevolent than Big Oil.

I think the science on CO2 having a greenhouse effect is considerably more settled than the science regarding the magnitude or even final impact on global temperatures.

I see the UN as less benevelent, they have an agenda that wouldn't be pleasant for the USA if they are able to use scientific quackery to enact that agenda completely.

You are right about CO2 science being settled but it is just the opposite of what most people believe because of a constant barrage of pro AGW theory propaganda.

Leading MIT professor has proven the alarmists claim that increased CO2 would lead to higher temperatures at certain altitudes to be totally FALSE.

Observing CO2 levels and comparing that with global temperature proves that CO2 levels follow temperature rather than lead, it is highly doubtful that what seems to be a rule of physics will be changing any time soon.

Finally the only real scientific study (that isn't just theoretical) was done by the scientists at CERN in Switzerland and their findings were that CO2 levels in the atmosphere had NIL effect on atmospheric temperature.

They duplicated Earth's atmosphere in a closed environment in their lab, then tested temperature at various levels of CO2 which they could control while duplicating cosmic rays that we recieve constantly from our star, the sun.

CO2 levels DID NO AFFECT ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE ONE IOTA! The amount of cosmic rays determined temperature PERIOD!

Moving on to the new and improved GCC theory.

The three top causes of climate change.

1. Solar activity.

2. Oceanic oscilations.

3. Milankovich cycles.

Human activity doesn't probably even crack the top ten and if you consider only fossil fuel use, it probably doesn't even crack the top one hundred.

As for the anti-AGW voice being from the big oil or big coal industries, that is just more leftis propaganda.

Consider the following.

The CLIMATE SCEPTICS Blog: Physicist's View of "The Precautionary Principle."

It is as Galileo said many centuries ago: "The authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning of a single individual."


In truth most scientists who are paid to support Global Warming do and most who are not do not. That should not be difficult to understand.

Hence the fundamental issue for me is the survival of science as an objective profession. Continuous spin from highly political non-scientists does not help. And complicity among many scientists who want the government grants to continue is very destructive.

If the "Precautionary Principle" is to be applied, it surely needs to be applied far more broadly than Global Warming advocates imagine. That includes efforts to address the massive conflicts of interest evident in climate science today as well as the massive economic costs of proposed "solutions" to a non-problem.

The proper application of the "Precautionary Principle" involves taking all reasonable precautions without going to extremes. In automobile safety, for instance, that involves wearing a seat belt but not giving up driving altogether. In Global Warming it involves addressing all of the self-serving hysteria long before undertaking any "remedies" for what is objectively a non-problem.

Gordon J. Fulks, PhD (Physics)

One more point, why is it that most AGE/GCC alarmist claims turn out to be false when a real examination of the fact is undertaken.

I can name at least a half dozen off the top of my head.
Then when you get into a discussion with a lot of people who have been indoctrinated by the constant media propaganda, it is just about impossible to get then to believe the truth rather than the lie they have been told and believe.

One example, Great Lakes water levels:

Despite Environmental Alarmism, Great Lakes Have Not Been Setting Low Water Level Records [Michigan Capitol Confidential]

Over the past decade, alarmists have repeatedly made claims that the Great Lakes were drying up. However, month after month Great Lakes water levels were higher in the 2000s than low level records set in previous decades.

Humans have only been keeping consistent Great Lakes water level records for 94 years. In 1918 the Army Corps of Engineers began measuring and recording the lake levels on a monthly basis. This is a very short period in terms of natural history.

Yet, with the exception of two summer months on Lake Superior, the monthly measurements of the 2000s didn't even hit new low levels within the 94-years of record keeping.
--------------

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the Great Lakes have 6 quadrillion gallons of water. That's enough to spread a foot-deep layer across North America, South America and Africa. In addition, the volume of groundwater in the Great Lakes basin surpasses that of Lake Huron.

However, this hasn't prevented some news media accounts from painting an entirely different picture. These “Great Lakes are drying up” stories began appearing shortly after Lake Michigan and Huron entered a low level period in about 1999. A new batch of “disappearing Great Lakes” articles started popping up again in 2006-2007 when Lake Superior dipped to comparatively low levels.

Some articles claimed the “World's largest lake drying up.” MSNBC reported that the Great Lakes were shrinking as if it were a simple matter of fact. And some even claimed the Great Lakes were disappearing.

“You see a lot of statements and different reports,” Kompoltowicz said. “They appear to come from academic types of hypotheses.
----------------------

According to the April Great Lakes water level report from the Army Corps of Engineers, the lowest recorded level for Lake Superior for April was in 1926 and for Lake Michigan and Huron (which geologists consider to be one lake) the April low was in 1964. The lowest April mark for Lake St. Clair was in 1926; the lowest April record for Lake Erie was in 1934 and the lowest April level for Lake Ontario was in 1935.
 

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