What do you mean by this. Not trying to debate just curious.
I mean that Tyson, like Gladwell, has a thorough understanding of the issues in his field. However, like Gladwell, he is also engaged in a general information awareness project with the public. And, in this project, he generalizes a whole lot. In fact, I would argue that while spreading information to the public, he does so in what some might deem a scientifically illiterate manner (which is why I think the quote is ironic).
A few examples:
1) Tyson's quote regarding science and truth, "The good thing about science is that it is true whether or not you believe in it." Such a statement is radically scientifically illiterate. The most we can say about science and truth is that the method is true. Yet, even plenty of scientists question that. It's a dangerous statement to make, in the manner in which Tyson made it, because it could be perceived by many to imply that the conclusions of science are true, so we ought just put all our faith in what the scientists of the day tell us. That is dangerous and unscientific.
2) Tyson's recurring statement about us and stardust bugs me. Yes, I know, all matter comes from the Big Bang, and the gases and what not from various supernovas, so, yes, in a sense, we are all stardust. Yet, in stating that everything is stardust, we are essentially also stating that nothing is stardust. Identification is, in part, distinction from others. But, if everything is stardust, then there exists nothing to identify as stardust. Hell, if you want to claim that since we can trace our roots back to stardust, thus we are all made of stardust, well, we can also trace existence back to a singularity, thus we are all made of a singularity. It's just trivial and stupid.
It is good that Tyson wants to engage the masses and inspire in them an urge to learn more about science, but I never understand why pop-scientists, pop-psychologists, pop-philosophers, etc., feel the need to make stupid statements to the masses. I'd rather he take his talents, his charisma, and his ability to engage in scientific discourse and spend his time enunciating contrary arguments, showing where such arguments conflict with different scientific methods and arguments, and giving reasons why we ought to favor the scientific methods.
I think you misrepresented his argument...like a lot. You can't judge a model's accuracy using the past when the past was its input. Somehow turned into Models are based on the past, therefore arent useful for predicting the future." He never said they weren't, just that they haven't been tested.
I think the "other dozen independent fingerprints of AGW" is also cherrypicking. I'm not informed on the subject at all, but why would those fingerprints represent be more representative than others? Are there a dozen supporting AGW, but hundreds against it? That's why the models are important. Are they more important, I don't know, don't follow the science.
Doesn't look like its doing much of anything.
You can't really believe any of the propaganda he posts. And, that's what it is.
Most scientists are credible. Only a small handful work for astroturf anti-environmental organizations. Serial disinformers are easy to spot if you know what to look for.
![]()
View attachment 76447
Reconstructed global temperature over the past 420,000 years based on the Vostok ice core from the Antarctica (Petit et al. 2001). The record spans over four glacial periods and five interglacials, including the present. The horizontal line indicates the modern temperature. The red square to the right indicates the time interval shown in greater detail in second figure.
View attachment 76448
The upper panel shows the air temperature at the summit of the Greenland Ice Sheet, reconstructed by Alley (2000) from GISP2 ice core data. The time scale shows years before modern time. The rapid temperature rise to the left indicate the final part of the even more pronounced temperature increase following the last ice age. The temperature scale at the right hand side of the upper panel suggests a very approximate comparison with the global average temperature. The GISP2 record ends around 1854, and the two graphs therefore ends here. There has since been an temperature increase to about the same level as during the Medieval Warm Period and to about 395 ppm for CO2. The small reddish bar in the lower right indicate the extension of the longest global temperature record (since 1850), based on meteorological observations (HadCRUT3). The lower panel shows the past atmospheric CO2 content, as found from the EPICA Dome C Ice Core in the Antarctic (Monnin et al. 2004). The Dome C atmospheric CO2 record ends in the year 1777.
If Bart and Al were living 125,000 years ago they'd be running around the camp fires nagging everyone to put their fires out or face the consequences.
I mean that Tyson, like Gladwell, has a thorough understanding of the issues in his field. However, like Gladwell, he is also engaged in a general information awareness project with the public. And, in this project, he generalizes a whole lot. In fact, I would argue that while spreading information to the public, he does so in what some might deem a scientifically illiterate manner (which is why I think the quote is ironic).
A few examples:
1) Tyson's quote regarding science and truth, "The good thing about science is that it is true whether or not you believe in it." Such a statement is radically scientifically illiterate. The most we can say about science and truth is that the method is true. Yet, even plenty of scientists question that. It's a dangerous statement to make, in the manner in which Tyson made it, because it could be perceived by many to imply that the conclusions of science are true, so we ought just put all our faith in what the scientists of the day tell us. That is dangerous and unscientific.
2) Tyson's recurring statement about us and stardust bugs me. Yes, I know, all matter comes from the Big Bang, and the gases and what not from various supernovas, so, yes, in a sense, we are all stardust. Yet, in stating that everything is stardust, we are essentially also stating that nothing is stardust. Identification is, in part, distinction from others. But, if everything is stardust, then there exists nothing to identify as stardust. Hell, if you want to claim that since we can trace our roots back to stardust, thus we are all made of stardust, well, we can also trace existence back to a singularity, thus we are all made of a singularity. It's just trivial and stupid.
It is good that Tyson wants to engage the masses and inspire in them an urge to learn more about science, but I never understand why pop-scientists, pop-psychologists, pop-philosophers, etc., feel the need to make stupid statements to the masses. I'd rather he take his talents, his charisma, and his ability to engage in scientific discourse and spend his time enunciating contrary arguments, showing where such arguments conflict with different scientific methods and arguments, and giving reasons why we ought to favor the scientific methods.
View attachment 76447
Reconstructed global temperature over the past 420,000 years based on the Vostok ice core from the Antarctica (Petit et al. 2001). The record spans over four glacial periods and five interglacials, including the present. The horizontal line indicates the modern temperature. The red square to the right indicates the time interval shown in greater detail in second figure.
View attachment 76448
The upper panel shows the air temperature at the summit of the Greenland Ice Sheet, reconstructed by Alley (2000) from GISP2 ice core data. The time scale shows years before modern time. The rapid temperature rise to the left indicate the final part of the even more pronounced temperature increase following the last ice age. The temperature scale at the right hand side of the upper panel suggests a very approximate comparison with the global average temperature. The GISP2 record ends around 1854, and the two graphs therefore ends here. There has since been an temperature increase to about the same level as during the Medieval Warm Period and to about 395 ppm for CO2. The small reddish bar in the lower right indicate the extension of the longest global temperature record (since 1850), based on meteorological observations (HadCRUT3). The lower panel shows the past atmospheric CO2 content, as found from the EPICA Dome C Ice Core in the Antarctic (Monnin et al. 2004). The Dome C atmospheric CO2 record ends in the year 1777.
If Bart and Al were living 125,000 years ago they'd be running around the camp fires nagging everyone to put their fires out or face the consequences.
Source?Sure, the models correctly predicted a lot of things. None predicted a 20-year pause in surface temperatures, only 2 percent predicted a 15-year pause. That means there is a problem with the models, though it doesn't necessarily debunk climate change. Only a zealot would say the models are fine if over a 25, year period they failed to explain a significant climate phenomenon during 15 of those years.
Science ought to avoid zealousness at all costs.
You just lost ANY credit you may have gained......ever.
If Bart and Al were living 125,000 years ago they'd be running around the camp fires nagging everyone to put their fires out or face the consequences.
P.S.-I think we've been lucky to live in the warm period we live in. Our posterity won't be so lucky. When the planet is about 6 degrees cooler it's going to suck.
You denialist you!
:snoring:In before Bart calls your post irrelevant.
But its nice to see what most know, the earth has cycles.
Source?
Climate models dont predict pauses at all. Models run a simulation multiple times with different starting conditions, and the ensemble of results are examined for common properties. There are chaotic components to the climate system, such as ENSO, PDO, THC and general fluid turbulence, but they dont have the long-term influence of the greenhouse effect. Thats why you cant even talk about climate trends without considering at least a 30 year period. If the slowdown were to continue for another decade or so, then yes there would be a lot of re-evaluating to do. But at this point, the pause is nothing out of the ordinary. Observations are still within IPCC projections.
One of the skeptics in the official thread posted some work from the UK Met Office that showed that, on average, such a pause should happen twice per century. It also showed that all climate indicators besides surface temperature show global warming continues unabated. Im really not sure why the skeptic posted it. I think he just saw the word pause in the title and posted it without reading (an annoyingly common occurrence).
You didnt answer any of my questions, but Ill just repeat this one. Even if the trend picks back up, you think we should wait until at least 2050 no matter what?
:snoring:
You guys seriously suck at science. Sandvol, how many times have I had to tell you that scientists dont like you and your skeptic sites misrepresenting their work? I wont even dignify your copypastes with a rebuttal. You never answer them anyway.
Thats the annoying thing about debating skeptics. They have the advantage of just being able to make things up and it takes forever to knock down each argument as theyre only limited by their imagination while were limited by things like logic and data.
Ill keep my 97%, you keep your 3%. Fix yourself a nice tobacco-DDT-asbestos cancerwich and kick back with a cold one while you watch the world burn. Fred Singer says nothing bad will happen and hes never been wrong before, right?
Do you ever use any other website besides that skeptical science?
And in reference to your cute pictures, you ever believe for one second that you could be wrong?
Lost it thereStereotyping
Conflating actual environmental problems with the nature woo peddled by some environmental groups (e.g., aspartame scares, rejection of GM crops as "Frankenfoods").
Conflating all environmentalists with dirty effin' hippies, Luddites, or hard greens like Pentti Linkola. This generally involves representing them as a "Gaia worshiping cult" or representing environmentalism as a "secular religion." This tactic works especially well for propagandizing to the Religious Right and social conservatives, as environmental concerns can be portrayed as a bogeyman that will supplant Christianity. This can also play on the belief that gawd will save us from environmental disaster or that the end is nigh. (Creationist propaganda organs like the Discovery Institute have also hopped on board the climate denial bandwagon, which should tell you something.)
Dismissing environmentalism as a socialist movement in disguise "red greens" or "watermelons", who supposedly use environmentalism as a cloak to render anti-capitalist sentiments more palatable.[7][8] (The film The Great Global Warming Swindle leans heavily on this stereotype.)
Representing conservation as merely leftist ideology (breaking irony meters for those who remember who instituted the Environmental Protection Agency). This involves conflating ideologies like eco-socialism with environmentalism as a whole environmentalism equals socialism, communism, Marxism, etc. This also helps to appeal to conservatives who enjoy hippie-punching and old farts that forgot the Cold War ended 20 years ago.
Attempting to tie environmental advocates to some evil plot by ecoterrorist outfits. Yes, terrorism-baiting even has a play here.
Any environmental regulations will most assuredly destroy the economy forever. Wonder what a significant amount of economists think about a carbon tax.[9]
Painting environmentalists as evil misanthropes and "environmental classists." Apparently, they are also all busy-bodies who just want to micromanage your life.[10]
Common snarl words: Alarmist, eco-fascism, eco-imperialism, eco-Marxism, enviro-Nazi, enviro-weenie, warmist, watermelon (characterizing an environmentalist as having ulterior political motives; a watermelon is green on the outside but red on the inside).
Source?
Climate models dont predict pauses at all. Models run a simulation multiple times with different starting conditions, and the ensemble of results are examined for common properties. There are chaotic components to the climate system, such as ENSO, PDO, THC and general fluid turbulence, but they dont have the long-term influence of the greenhouse effect. Thats why you cant even talk about climate trends without considering at least a 30 year period. If the slowdown were to continue for another decade or so, then yes there would be a lot of re-evaluating to do. But at this point, the pause is nothing out of the ordinary. Observations are still within IPCC projections.
One of the skeptics in the official thread posted some work from the UK Met Office that showed that, on average, such a pause should happen twice per century. It also showed that all climate indicators besides surface temperature show global warming continues unabated. Im really not sure why the skeptic posted it. I think he just saw the word pause in the title and posted it without reading (an annoyingly common occurrence).
You didnt answer any of my questions, but Ill just repeat this one. Even if the trend picks back up, you think we should wait until at least 2050 no matter what?
Do you ever use any other website besides that skeptical science?
And in reference to your cute pictures, you ever believe for one second that you could be wrong?
I get frustrated when I see people ask Bart these types of questions. Bart isn't concerned about being right or wrong but achieving his objective. Do you really think he is concerned about global warming just like statists were concerned about people who didn't have health care? Liberal statists' objective is the complete and utter destruction of the free market capitalist system so they can then build their utopian society. And, they are almost there. You need to read the book Ameritopia by Mark Levin.