All things STOCKS

#351
#351
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Annaly Capital Management (NLY):

2017 earnings will be announced next week.

Before buying, I'd want to know why the quarterly earnings and revenue dropped so much YOY. The I/S shows that they're much higher in 2016 over 2015. Seems like there's some kind of reorganization or asset purge going on. Nice dividend yield. Doesn't look real expensive. Trading near the bottom of a narrow 52-week range.

Taxed as a REIT, but looks more like a financial since they seem to be into mortgages/real estate finance rather than owning real estate. The dividend might represent almost all of the value based on earnings. Real property would appreciate. Holding just debt would lose value when interest rates rise. But they own other derivatives and seem to be pretty sophisticated, so they could be fully hedged. Also, their operating expenses would be much lower than a real property owner's.

As far as I can tell their business model is to use short term borrowings to buy long term mortgage debt.
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In July 2016, they purchased Hatteras Financial for 1.5 billion, which was one of their competitors. I owned Hatteras stock at the time of the purchase and rolled it over to NLY when they completed the deal.
 
#353
#353
Apparently a couple of individuals were behind the Vix short funds That made a tremendous fortune but caused tremendous volatility I hope they’re hung by their balls
 
#356
#356
It's really difficult to select equities right now. The big pull back was really brief. Good quality companies are hovering around all time high territory. Interest rate hikes are coming which could hold back the dividend paying stocks.

Considering for a (tax deferred) retirement account:
Gold (okay, not an "equity"... no income production either)
Verizon
Exxon
CVS or JNJ or Medtronic
A private equity firm... BX possibly
Tech: NVIDEA or Analog Devices or LAM
Sales Force or ADP or Paychex or Workday
First Data
Wells Fargo or MS or JPM
Dunkin Brands or CMG or DPZ
D (Dominion)
Maybe beaten up GE (but there's no tax benefit for losers in a retirement account)
CostCo
 
#357
#357
AAPL
AMZN
DAL (yeah I am biased, but it is best in breed)
DWDP
MHGVY (a fun spec) I have made 19% on this in a couple of months
 
#358
#358
SpaceCoastVol said:
AAPL
AMZN
DAL (yeah I am biased, but it is best in breed)
DWDP
MHGVY (a fun spec) I have made 19% on this in a couple of months
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Yes, DWDP is a good one for me to check out. Maybe too big to fail / strategic for national security reasons to keep a solid floor underneath it.
 
#360
#360
Biopsyman said:
DWDP is a great company and dominates its space.. increasing dividend. BUY, BUY and BUY
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Morningstar said DWDP was overvalued on 3/08/18, and trading at a 31% premium. The fair value that they attached to the stock on 2/02/18 was $54. Not saying that they are right or wrong, but that is the opinion of Morningstar. I have no idea myself.
 
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#361
#361
1972 Grad said:
Morningstar said DWDP was overvalued on 3/08/18, and trading at a 31% premium. The fair value that they attached to the stock on 2/02/18 was $54. Not saying that they are right or wrong, but that is the opinion of Morningstar. I have no idea myself.
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Almost everything is overvalued these days. The question is will there be a correction or will values continue to rise at a slower pace allowing valuations to catch up. AMZN was overpriced before it doubled over the last couple of years. Netflix as well. AAPL is way up, but I think it still traded around 10x earnings last time I looked.
 
#362
#362
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Almost everything is overvalued these days. The question is will there be a correction or will values continue to rise at a slower pace allowing valuations to catch up. AMZN was overpriced before it doubled over the last couple of years. Netflix as well. AAPL is way up, but I think it still traded around 10x earnings last time I looked.
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They have WMT fairly valued at $91, and it last closed at $88.72. I have owned the stock for many, many years, so I am pretty familiar with its range.
 
#363
#363
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Almost everything is overvalued these days. The question is will there be a correction or will values continue to rise at a slower pace allowing valuations to catch up. AMZN was overpriced before it doubled over the last couple of years. Netflix as well. AAPL is way up, but I think it still traded around 10x earnings last time I looked.
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Amazon was overvalued when I bought at $185, and was ridiculously overvalued again at $350. That being said I am on the sidelines currently, just not sure about pulling the trigger right now with my available cash.
 
#364
#364
DancingOutlaw said:
Amazon was overvalued when I bought at $185, and was ridiculously overvalued again at $350. That being said I am on the sidelines currently, just not sure about pulling the trigger right now with my available cash.
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I looked up 3 others that I own, and Morningstar has Apple, Amazon, and Lowe's fairly valued.
 
#365
#365
DancingOutlaw said:
Amazon was overvalued when I bought at $185, and was ridiculously overvalued again at $350. That being said I am on the sidelines currently, just not sure about pulling the trigger right now with my available cash.
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I owned AMZN for about a year a couple of years back. Bought at a couple hundred dollars, it dropped about 15% and stayed there for a long time. Bailed out when it came back up and over my buy price by about 25%. Would have had another 200-300% if I didn't take that profit. Oh well. Can't ever always buy at the lows and always sell at the highs.
 
#366
#366
1972 Grad said:
I looked up 3 others that I own, and Morningstar has Apple, Amazon, and Lowe's fairly valued.
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Relative to HD, Lowe's might be a little under valued. But who am I to quibble with Morningstar?

I keep an eye on Floor & Decor. It's a smallish cap without too many stores and it was started by some former Home Depot executives.

AAPL and AMZN seem like our grandma's AT&T or Coca Cola. Long term buy and hold potential.

Spotify is an interesting opportunity, but I'm not likely to get into it. It's a great product though. I've been giving them $10/month for about 5 years now.

AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, GOOG, and possibly IBM are all good for exposure to LT tech/cloud computing. Facebook scares me, but they've been brilliant taking advertising dollars away from old media. Netflix still scares me as a LT business, but until they've saturated their sub base internationally they should keep growing their MC.
 
#367
#367
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Relative to HD, Lowe's might be a little under valued. But who am I to quibble with Morningstar?

I keep an eye on Floor & Decor. It's a smallish cap without too many stores and it was started by some former Home Depot executives.

AAPL and AMZN seem like our grandma's AT&T or Coca Cola. Long term buy and hold potential.

Spotify is an interesting opportunity, but I'm not likely to get into it. It's a great product though. I've been giving them $10/month for about 5 years now.

AAPL, AMZN, MSFT, GOOG, and possibly IBM are all good for exposure to LT tech/cloud computing. Facebook scares me, but they've been brilliant taking advertising dollars away from old media. Netflix still scares me as a LT business, but until they've saturated their sub base internationally they should keep growing their MC.
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You and I and 72 has a passion for stocks
 
#371
#371
JFreak said:
Netflix sinks as short-seller says it could fall to $300 (NFLX) | Markets Insider Ridiculous. Blatant market manipulation by someone with a short position. Hopefully the SEC investigates.
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Netflix has too large of a market cap to be manipulated by a short seller. Short sellers routinely trash what they've shorted to anybody that will listen. There's nothing illegal about that. Buyers pump up their purchases too. Those that have a history of getting it right can affect prices. But again, promoting their opinions is not illegal.
 
#372
#372
its alright Netflix is been on fire and so high profile that any news good or bad is gonna really swing the price. When they ink Obama it will skyrocket.
 
#373
#373
Ouch! Bad day on the market today!😨😱DOW down over 724 points and S&P down over 68 points. Going to lose our butts in March! Gained $4k in January and lost that much in February. We'll lose $8k in March.😨😱👎💨
Will take almost the rest of the year to break even if we're lucky!
 
#374
#374
TennFan said:
Ouch! Bad day on the market today!😨😱DOW down over 724 points and S&P down over 68 points. Going to lose our butts in March! Gained $4k in January and lost that much in February. We'll lose $8k in March.😨😱👎💨
Will take almost the rest of the year to break even if we're lucky!
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way to be positive lol
 
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