05_never_again
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Buy on the rumor, sell on the news. The pot stocks had already rallied in anticipation of Biden winning and rallied more after Biden won; even with this pullback they are still in excess of the levels they were at pre-election. Also, the issue with trading individual names as opposed to them as a group is that I have no clue which one is going to end up being the MySpace of pot and which one is going to be the Facebook of pot. Same thing with crypto. So you get profit-taking in some of the individual names.Something that stuck out to me is that pot stocks plummeted when Democrats won the Senate. Seems counterintuitive, but there was a mild panic when all of a sudden there was no invisible wall set up to reign the industry in. They got what they wanted, and still sold.
I'm thinking something like that may happen re: COVID. Once we open back up, we'll get a huge boom for 6-12-18 months - and then I wonder if that's when the sell-off starts - when we look around and realize prices are still inflated and the underlying economy is still bad.
I think that once the market gets visibility on further fiscal stimulus to come (and that might happen until a bill or bills is actually passed), you could have another sell on the news event like you describe. It is pricing in big stimulus of some kind, and of course a continued economic recovery, and we'll probably sell off once those things get borne out. If that happens, there will of course be a lot of confusion (especially from retail or people who don't really follow markets) as to why the market is declining and what is going on, and will probably be a good buying opportunity.