All things STOCKS

[Thunder Good-Oil]

I'll be taking a gamble on DJT stock today with inauguration day on Monday. I feel like it's gonna pop 10-15% or better on Monday.

The algorithms might already be setting up the buy the rumor, sell on the event (news) scenario. It might work out well, but I wouldn’t want to be faced with having to either take a loss or having to own DJT shares if the trade went against me.

Lots of risk IMO, so there could be a high degree of reward available as well. Personally, if I was long DJT, I’d want to close the position before inauguration.

Monday is MLK Day. US equity markets are closed.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Thanks for sharing…I’m still trying to understand the process better and your examples help

The PLTR put options have fallen to $0.06 since PLTR stock is (was) up by more than 2% today. It looks like they will hit zero by the end of the day today. I left a little profit by buying yesterday at $0.25, but the market underlying PLTR shares could have just as easily dropped today and I would have been assigned. That would have tied up $6,800/contract in investment capital.

PLTR 1/17/2025 $68.00 Put

Current PLTR quote: $70.20

 

[Carp]

The algorithms might already be setting up the buy the rumor, sell on the event (news) scenario. It might work out well, but I wouldn’t want to be faced with having to either take a loss or having to own DJT shares if the trade went against me.

Lots of risk IMO, so there could be a high degree of reward available as well. Personally, if I was long DJT, I’d want to close the position before inauguration.

Monday is MLK Day. US equity markets are closed.

Oh I am not holding DJT shares. I'm out on Tuesday regardless.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Oh I am not holding DJT shares. I'm out on Tuesday regardless.

Yep. Losing more than $2.65/share. Institutional ownership is only about 6.5%. I am surprised tgat the market cap in under $9 billion and shares are around half of the 52 week high of $79.38.

It’s already up 20% since the open last Monday.

Today’s volume is almost 15 million less than 2 hours into the session. 13 million average over the last 10 days.

I have no conviction at all on which direction DJT heads. I don’t have the price to sales ratio at hand, but I bet it’s yuge.

 

[Go aeiou]

Cruise lines up 3.5-4% today. NCLH, CCL, RCL. I own 100 shares of each to get the shareholder credit if you take a cruise. The longer the cruise the more credit you get.
After about 20 cruises we have earned several thousand $.

 

[Carp]

Yep. Losing more than $2.65/share. Institutional ownership is only about 6.5%. I am surprised tgat the market cap in under $9 billion and shares are around half of the 52 week high of $79.38.

It’s already up 20% since the open last Monday.

Today’s volume is almost 15 million less than 2 hours into the session. 13 million average over the last 10 days.

I have no conviction at all on which direction DJT heads. I don’t have the price to sales ratio at hand, but I bet it’s yuge.

It never hit my buy order this morning and it has continued to climb. I liked the gamble at $41/share. But with it moving higher, I may sit it out. Hoping for an afternoon swoon.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

It never hit my buy order this morning and it has continued to climb. I liked the gamble at $41/share. But with it moving higher, I may sit it out. Hoping for an afternoon swoon.

I’m flipping a coin here, but I’m guessing it will creep up somewhat substantially early on in the 2nd term. But by the time the 2028 election comes around it will be lower than it is right now.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

DJT shares sell for 1,360x sales. I would expect that the revenue goes up a lot (from a very small base) - much like politicians that get book deals that don’t make sense relative to the number of books that are actually being sold. But revenue needs to go way up to support a nearly $10 billion market cap.

Plus companies that buy ads on the Truth Social platform are at risk of being cancelled by half the country. The Pillow Guy can do it, but normal companies not so much.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

It’s been a really good week for stocks. But instead of because Trump coming in, I think it has more to do with Joe running out of time to sabotage whatever he can. I hope he doesn’t spend the weekend signing EOs. Just shut it down, Man.

Selling off the border fence components for pennies on the dollar was one of the most blatant eff yous that I’ve ever seen. Blocking energy extraction as well. I just hope that Trump has matured since 4 years ago. If that’s even possible for somebody pushing 80 years old.

 

[Carp]

The afternoon swoon came, but still didn't hit my buy order.

 

[Carp]

Buy order hit at $40.88. I guess we ride on Tuesday

 

[Carp]

Down nearly 3% in the first hour of ownership is not how I envisioned this trade working out, lol.

I know there is profit taking going on, but damn.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Under $40 makes for an interesting opportunity for a short term gain next week. I’d be surprised if it doesn’t reach higher highs at some time during his term. I’d think in the first month in office. But it’s 100% speculation. As I said earlier, I wouldn’t want to hold it for very long.

25 minutes until close. Then about 90 hours without trading it.