All things STOCKS

#17,251
#17,251
loosedog said:
What do y’all think about shorting NFLX?
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Buy some puts instead. But I wouldn’t do either.

I used to not like NFLX at all because they rent most of their programming. But they keep reinventing their business model. They now sell ads which could generate more revenue than subscriptions.

They also were smart to crack down on password sharing and creating multiple tiers to subscribe to. They are running away from the pack with streaming. Live sports might not be profitable, but likely grows subscriber numbers significantly as they acquire more game licensing deals.

Disney/ESPN is their biggest threat. Also Amazon is another competitor to watch. Time Warner Discovery if combined with Comcast’s cable network assets would be another big player.
 
#17,252
#17,252
loosedog said:
Yes, was able to exit will small profit when it dipped to high 800’s recently. I saw something about a metric (maybe RSI) indicating only two similar previous times and both were followed by 40% drops. I’m Probably not going to do it. Still in waiting game on CVNA and RH shorts.
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Shorting CVNA has treated me well. Im still eyeing them for a short, along with Wingstop and possibly Chipotle.
 
#17,253
#17,253
Thanks for those who commented on NFLX.

The other shorts I have are maddening, but I’m convinced it’s not if but when the bottom falls for RH and CVNA. I’m in the red on both right now.
 
#17,255
#17,255
F is down over 6% in the pre-market.

Probably because Forward Industries (stock symbol: FORD) is off 23%.

Schwab, E-trade, and Fidelity still think PLTR’s market cap is over $1 trillion. I wonder if it is an isolated error or if there’s a lot of bad data being published.
 
#17,259
#17,259
I think you could say that UBER was a bit oversold yesterday.

Sold out for almost 5%. That's a bingo.
 
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#17,261
#17,261
SHOP earnings release on 2/11. ANET reports in March. Widely expected positive earnings results.
 
#17,262
#17,262
I just followed Pelosi's Google Trade (1/6/26 $150 Call). It's been beaten down too much.

UPDATE: BUT APPARENTLY NOT ENOUGH
 
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#17,263
#17,263
For all y'all who are way more well-versed in all things covered call: Are CC ETF/ETPs like AIPI (whose distributions appear to be ROC-based, with the potential for some capital gains) suitable for a Roth IRA? Or are they like MLPs in the sense that they're better off in a taxable brokerage account?

My thought behind this is to open a Roth IRA, dump some cash into AIPI and/or other CC-oriented ETF/ETPs, and just let it marinate for the next 20ish years. Then, when I retire...additional tax-free monthly income(?)
 
#17,264
#17,264
tbh said:
For all y'all who are way more well-versed in all things covered call: Are CC ETF/ETPs like AIPI (whose distributions appear to be ROC-based, with the potential for some capital gains) suitable for a Roth IRA? Or are they like MLPs in the sense that they're better off in a taxable brokerage account?

My thought behind this is to open a Roth IRA, dump some cash into AIPI and/or other CC-oriented ETF/ETPs, and just let it marinate for the next 20ish years. Then, when I retire...additional tax-free monthly income(?)
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Safe and/or income generating stocks and ETFs are ideal for Roth IRAs. Try to place riskier investments in taxable accounts so that the tax benefits of any investment losses don’t go to waste.

AIPI enhances investment returns by writing covered calls. I wouldn’t want to complicate it too much by writing my own covered calls on an AIPI position. Just a personal preference - timing of dividends and expirations would be hard to follow. Plus their options are thinly traded. The AIPI fund itself is small, but the management fees are reasonable.

Inside of a Roth I’d maybe write covered calls on large market cap ETFs. Like SPY, VO, VOO, VTI, QQQ, DIA, etc. But keep in mind options contracts are written on 100 share round lots. So to write a single covered call on SPY means $60,000 of that security needs to be in your account ($600/share quote x 100).

AIPI’s top holdings include PLTR, NVDA, META, and CRWD. Don’t expect their 20% dividend to continue.
 
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#17,266
#17,266
Thunder Good-Oil said:
Safe and/or income generating stocks and ETFs are ideal for Roth IRAs. Try to place riskier investments in taxable accounts so that the tax benefits of any investment losses don’t go to waste.

AIPI enhances investment returns by writing covered calls. I wouldn’t want to complicate it too much by writing my own covered calls on a AIPI position. Just a personal preference - timing of dividends and expirations would be hard to follow. Plus their options are thinly traded. The AIPI fund itself is small, but the management fees are reasonable.

Inside of a Roth I’d maybe write covered calls on large market cap ETFs. Like SPY, VO, VOO, VTI, QQQ, DIA, etc. But keep in mind options contracts are written on 100 share round lots. So to write a single covered calls on large on SPY means $60,000 of that security needs to be in your account ($600/share quote x 100).

AIPI’s top holdings include PLTR, NVDA, META, and CRWD. Don’t expect their 20% dividend to continue.
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That is great info, thank you! I'm quite a ways off from having 100s of any single ETF or stock, aside from SCHD and EPD (both of which I'm holding onto long-term), but it's something to which to I can aspire.

The relatively short history of AIPI gives me some pause. There's a sister fund, FEPI, from the same manager and it has a few different holdings (plus some of the same ones) on which it writes its CCs...but my guess would be it's a similar situation for the distribution yield not holding steady in the long term.
 
#17,267
#17,267
There are affordable shares of good companies. PFE is around $25/share ($2,500 per 100 share round lots), SIRI. INTC. RKT. MBC. OGN. WEN. Macy’s (M) at $14.27/share is $1,427 per 100 shares.
 
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#17,268
#17,268
Some REITs are good for throwing off steady, reliable dividend income. DLR looks like a good one to hold for many years. Or some dividend/income focused ETFs from Schwab, Fidelity, Vanguard, iShares, etc.
 
#17,270
#17,270
Go aeiou said:
bought a ton of SMCI (Super Micro Computer) during the falling knife. just now back to break even. We'll see if they actually report on time.
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The 2/14 puts are very attractive sells if the prices hold at the Monday open.

Strike/bid/ask
26.0: 0.54/0.56
30.0: 1.20/1.22
32.0: 1.75/1.78
35.0: 2.95/2.98

SMCI: $36.38 close / $36.36 after hours

Tuesday afternoon SMCI earnings release.
 
#17,272
#17,272
McDonald’s had worst earnings in years. Literally years. Tariff coming on metals. China just announced 15% tariffs. Anecdotally, I’m reading reports of Vegas sitting empty in some places for Super Bowl. Why are we so bullish today?
 
#17,273
#17,273
mrorange211 said:
McDonald’s had worst earnings in years. Literally years. Tariff coming on metals. China just announced 15% tariffs. Anecdotally, I’m reading reports of Vegas sitting empty in some places for Super Bowl. Why are we so bullish today?
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That e coli outbreak I'm sure had something to do with the MCD numbers. That happened right at the beginning of the quarter. The stock is actually up big; much worse results must have been priced in.
 
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#17,275
#17,275
Is anyone else concerned that China is buying gold like it's Black Friday?

To add to this question. Is it concerning to anyone that banks are borrowing more than they did in 2008?

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