Where are we now? About a 4. When we were predicting the last 7 games I said worst case 4-3 with an upset of Bama or Ky. guess we can still get there. Definitely playing our way down the ladder though.
Huge difference in seeding this year…Michigan State & Rutgers are both 8 seeds on matrix as of today and both already have 10 losses.10 and 11 loss teams were seeded anywhere from 5 to 9 last season, so 8 isn't impossible. Where they finish in the SEC and how they play the last 3 will determine their ultimate fate.
If we can get JJJ and Phillips healthy soon, I believe we can make a run. Many of those losses were on the road against fairly good teams. Funny looking back, after the win over Texas, I thought this team had figured something out. Offense was consistent and Olivier was looking like the man down low. Gotta get it turned around though in the next few games as time is literally running out.
According to JEFF SAGARIN RATINGS through Feb 21st games:
@FL Loss 67-54 -- FL Rank #50
@VY Loss 66-65 -- Vandy Rank #76
MO Loss 86-85 -- MO Rank #61
@KY Loss 66-54 -- KY Rank #31
@A&M Loss 68-63 -- A&M Rank #21
Remaining games:
2/25 SC -- SC Rank #172
2/28 AR -- AR Rank #15
3/4 @AU -- AU Rank #19
KY & A&M losses are tolerable but FL, VY & MO are not good. We can't lose to SC and need to at least split with AR & AU.
JJJ averages 9.8 pts/gm and shoots 30.1% 3-pts. His defense & passing can make a difference but his offense is not game altering in my opinion.
Phillips averages 9.0 pts/gm and shoots 27.0% 3-pts. His rebounding & drives to the rim can make a difference but there are too many games where he doesn't show up offensively.
Overall, the team is just too inconsistent offensively to make any real impact in the tournament. Dreaming of offensive cohesiveness & efficiency from this team is probably too big of a leap. Our only hope is we get favorable opponents that minimize our weaknesses (e.g., avoid productive 4/5s, long/athletic 1/2s).
According to JEFF SAGARIN RATINGS through Feb 21st games:
@FL Loss 67-54 -- FL Rank #50
@VY Loss 66-65 -- Vandy Rank #76
MO Loss 86-85 -- MO Rank #61
@KY Loss 66-54 -- KY Rank #31
@A&M Loss 68-63 -- A&M Rank #21
Remaining games:
2/25 SC -- SC Rank #172
2/28 AR -- AR Rank #15
3/4 @AU -- AU Rank #19
KY & A&M losses are tolerable but FL, VY & MO are not good. We can't lose to SC and need to at least split with AR & AU.
JJJ averages 9.8 pts/gm and shoots 30.1% 3-pts. His defense & passing can make a difference but his offense is not game altering in my opinion.
Phillips averages 9.0 pts/gm and shoots 27.0% 3-pts. His rebounding & drives to the rim can make a difference but there are too many games where he doesn't show up offensively.
Overall, the team is just too inconsistent offensively to make any real impact in the tournament. Dreaming of offensive cohesiveness & efficiency from this team is probably too big of a leap. Our only hope is we get favorable opponents that minimize our weaknesses (e.g., avoid productive 4/5s, long/athletic 1/2s).
It appears as if some UT fans are not happy unless the team(s) do poorly so they can come on to Volnation to complain and paint the darkest picture that they can. Losing on the road to a very good team without two starters is not unexpected. And having a chance to win in that situation is admirable.