Can Vols Play Spoiler? Will a One Loss Georgia still make the Playoffs?

#1
V

vavolfan6

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#1
Ok, enough of the gloom and doom! Its time to start building some hype for this game! We have a Home winning streak on the line, bowl positioning to improve, and a 10 win season is still mathematically possible.

But, also, how about the role of spoiler? If Georgia loses to us, is that enough on its own, regardless of the outcome of the SEC championship, to knock Georgia out of the playoffs?

Afterall, there could be multple undefeated teams: Michigan, Ohio State, Washington, and Florida State in addition to Georgia

Scenario #1 - UGA loses to us, Washington and FSU go undefeated

1. Michigan/Ohio State
2. Washington
3. FSU
4. ?

Then which 1 loss team gets the last spot?
It would likely be between Texas and Georgia. Both would have beat Bama, but Texas did it in Tuscaloosa. Both win their conference. Both would have a similar loss.

Scenario #2 - Georgia loses to TN, Oregon wins Pac 12, FSU wins out, Texas wins big 12

1. Michigan/Ohio State
2. FSU
3. ?
4. ?

Oregon, Texas, and Georgia would all fight for 2 spots. All would be conference champions. I think Texas and Oregon both have better strength of schedules than Georgia.

Any other scenarios thay keep Georgia out of the CFP solely based off of a loss to UT?

Either way, its very likely if we beat Georgia and Bama beats them in the SEC championship they are out of the CFP.

TLDR: Beat Georgia and their odds to make it to the CFP diminish at the very least. So go beat Georgia!
 
#4
#4
Can Tennessee defeat Georgia? Yes.
Will they? We’ll find out on Saturday.

If Tennessee upsets Georgia, will Georgia still make the CFP? Yes, they can. Win the SECCG, and it is likely that they’ll be included.

But, what’s going to happen? Wait and find out.

GBO.
 
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#6
#6
But, if Georgia loses to Tennessee, they should drop out of the CFP top four.
Yes, but win out, and as SEC Champions, they could climb back in.

But, Ohio State, Michigan...
They have to play each other. One will lose.
Yeah, but the victor should be ranked ahead of Georgia...
The victor still has to win their CCG.
Let's say that they do...
They will have defeated Iowa. Georgia will have defeated Alabama.

But, Florida State, Washington...
If FSU wins out, they'll most likely be included in the CFP.
Washington still has to play OrSU and WSU in the regular season. The Beavs might upset them this Saturday. Let's say they win out, then, it's a likely rematch with Oregon in the CCG.
But, if they win that and are 13-0...
Then, they'll likely be included in the CFP.

That's two slots, and there's still the B1G and B12 champions...
Yes, three conference champs and two slots.
Somebody's gonna miss the party. Georgia...
It's possible that the B1G champ will be undefeated, but not the B12 champion. If it's Texas, they will have at least one loss. Georgia will have won 28 straight games, including two NCs, stumbled against Tennessee, and defeated Alabama in the CCG. Georgia has the stronger resume.
But, Texas beat Bama, too...
At the start of the season. Do you really think the CFP committee is going to shut the door on Georgia in favor of Texas?
...

You're not helping.
What do you mean, I'm not helping?
I mean, you're not helping. Why is that?
...

Tears in rain.

GBO.
 
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#7
#7
UT Hill Man said:
It's a pick your poison dilemma. The winner of the SECCG is practically an automatic bid to the BCS.

And I hate Bama more.

However, it's true I ♥ big Jugs.
Click to expand...
I hate Bama much more, but also do not want to hear three-peat out of UGA. They are looking more and more like THAT team.
 
#9
#9
vavolfan6 said:
Ok, enough of the gloom and doom! Its time to start building some hype for this game! We have a Home winning streak on the line, bowl positioning to improve, and a 10 win season is still mathematically possible.

But, also, how about the role of spoiler? If Georgia loses to us, is that enough on its own, regardless of the outcome of the SEC championship, to knock Georgia out of the playoffs?

Afterall, there could be multple undefeated teams: Michigan, Ohio State, Washington, and Florida State in addition to Georgia

Scenario #1 - UGA loses to us, Washington and FSU go undefeated

1. Michigan/Ohio State
2. Washington
3. FSU
4. ?

Then which 1 loss team gets the last spot?
It would likely be between Texas and Georgia. Both would have beat Bama, but Texas did it in Tuscaloosa. Both win their conference. Both would have a similar loss.

Scenario #2 - Georgia loses to TN, Oregon wins Pac 12, FSU wins out, Texas wins big 12

1. Michigan/Ohio State
2. FSU
3. ?
4. ?

Oregon, Texas, and Georgia would all fight for 2 spots. All would be conference champions. I think Texas and Oregon both have better strength of schedules than Georgia.

Any other scenarios thay keep Georgia out of the CFP solely based off of a loss to UT?

Either way, its very likely if we beat Georgia and Bama beats them in the SEC championship they are out of the CFP.

TLDR: Beat Georgia and their odds to make it to the CFP diminish at the very least. So go beat Georgia!
Click to expand...
I would rather beat Georgia than anyone else in the country.
 
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#15
#15
No and No if GA's 1 loss is to AL in SEC CG.

If GA loses to TN, which is a very very slim chance, and beats AL in SEC CG then yes but they may be a 4th seed. Lots of good teams out there this yr.
 
#16
#16
UT Hill Man said:
It's a pick your poison dilemma. The winner of the SECCG is practically an automatic bid to the BCS.

And I hate Bama more.

However, it's true I ♥ big Jugs.
Click to expand...
But are they? If there is one spot between Texas and SEC Champ, who gets it? Texas did beat Bama and have stronger schedules than both.
 
#17
#17
Sure we could. But it would take 4 quarters of the first half effort we saw against Bama for that to happen. And that’s highly unlikely
 
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#18
#18
savannahfan said:
If we are not in the championship game, then I don't give a rats as- who is. Although I always like seeing a SEC team win it.
Click to expand...
I can't take the Georgia 3 peat crap anymore! They are so full themselves! I'd cheer for an SEC team in the CFP if it wasn't Georgia or Bama, but no thankyou to those teams.
 
#19
#19
The worst case scenario for the SEC is Tennessee beating Georgia and Bama beating UGA in SECCG...

Bama would prolly stay behind a 1 loss Texas in that scenario (and unable to pass a 1 loss Oregon either)
 
#20
#20
The only way UGA misses the playoffs is if they lose to both UT and Bama in SECCG.

The loser of UM/OSU would not get ahead of them because of the strength of the schedule. The reason OSU was ahead of UGA in the initial CFP polls was because the meat of their schedule was early in the season. UGA played its hardest part at the very end Ole Miss MIssou UT and then Bama. Add in Kentucky and they will have played 5 top 25 teams and 3 top 12. OSU only played Penn State and ND with Michigan in 2 weeks. That ND win is looking less and less impressive as the season goes on. Michigan is even worse with their only 2 ranked games against OSU and Penn State. The winner of their game will play Iowa in the big 10 Chumpionship.

Washington has to play Oregon and Oregon State so they don't have an easy road to undefeated.
Texas Most likely plays Oklahoma State in their championship game. The only road they have into the playoffs is if UGA loses 2 games.
FSU has the easiest road to undefeated. But their schedule is super weak and ends with South Alabama and Florida. That Florida game could be a trap game for them with Florida likely fighting for a 6th win for bowl eligibility.

If it comes down to it UGA if they beat Bama in SECCG is at worst ranked 4. Even losing to UT they likely don't drop lower than 5. The next week is OSU/Michigan so they go back in top 4 after that game and beating bama would Solidify that.

Final 4 will be
OSU/Michigan winner
Georgia
FSU
Oregon Washinton Winner

Unless Multiple crazy things go down there is not much room for other outcomes. Bama is actually the one team with the best chance to sneak in. UGA wins out the regular season and loses to Bama then there is a high likelihood both make it in.
 
#21
#21
The ideal scenario is that we kick the game winning FG as time expires to beat Georgia 52-49 and then Bama beats Georgia in OT of the SECCG by going for 2....that would be funny and make listening to the Finebaum show worth it for a few days.
 
#23
#23
Make it stop. Folks are just torturing themselves with these threads. No possibility of us beating Georgia. Their team is on fire right now and we are a dumpster fire.
 
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#24
#24
BigOrangeTrain said:
I’m don’t care who is in it either but I don’t pull for the SEC. I pull for TN only. Every other SEC team can lose all of their games for all I care.
Click to expand...
Yup. Never understodd hoping our rivals win a national championship just for conference pride.
I want every SEC team except Tennessee to lose every game.
 
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