Can we win 2 more ?

#51
#51
In looking at the remaining schedules of the top 4 teams, Alabama and Auburn have the easiest road to the regular season champs, especially Bama. I think we’re going to have to go 4-0 to win the SEC. 3-1 with head to heads may be enough but it’s going to be tight.
Auburn has to beat us Wednesday or they’re essentially eliminated.
 
#52
#52
per espn matchup predictor
Probability BasketVols go (vs Aubie 67.4/32.6)
1-0 67.4%
0-1 32.6%

Probability BasketVols go (@ criminal turds 36.5/63.5)
2-0 24.6%
1-1 54.7%
0-2 20.7%

Probabilitys BasketVols go (@ sc-jr 78.2/21.8)
3-0 19.2%
2-1 48.1%
1-2 28.1%
0-3 4.5%

Probability BasketVols go (vs kensucky 82.8/17.2)
4-0 15.9%
3-1 43.2%
2-2 31.6
1-3 8.6%
0-4 0.8%
 
Last edited:
#53
#53
Kentucky looks incredible now finally with all that talent. Bama will be fired up at home after their embarrassing loss. SC at SC won't be easy. Pearl has our number it seems plus they are so physical
We can win 4. I’d be shocked if we lose at home to UK. I’d be surprised if we lost at home period, but especially against the poorly coached team that is Kentucky.
 
#54
#54
Kentucky looks incredible now finally with all that talent. Bama will be fired up at home after their embarrassing loss. SC at SC won't be easy. Pearl has our number it seems plus they are so physical
My bet is 2-2. If we can steal one (most likely at USC), we will have good a good chance to share the SEC reg season with Bama. Unfortunately Bama has easier road games and has higher chances of winning the SEC reg season. That said odds on ESPN for Ole Miss to beat Bama are very low, because they aren’t considered to be that good. What we have going for us in that game is that Ole Miss has to have that game and perhaps win out to make it to the NCAA tournament. So, Bama will get everything Ole Miss has in Oxford.

And to the commenter about not thinking 3-1 is the best bet, he’s just not paying attention to odds. It is rarely a good decision to bet against a decent SEC team at home. Which is why I have us over Auburn—even though that could also be a very tough game. 1-3 is also not the best bet.

We will all find out soon enough!
 
#55
#55
My gut agrees with this, but my mind says we match up very well with them and we have a huge advantage in the post. They have no true rim protection and we do.

Very true, but I think at Rupp has been the only road game where we showed up for the full 40. If we play like we did that night we will beat them soundly, but if we play like we did at Vandy or at Mizzou and we’ll be in too deep a hole to get out of.
 
#56
#56
I want to beat Pearl and Auburn and South Carolina I’d be happy with a 2-2 split of these next four games but I really want to win the SEC regular season title
 
#57
#57
Just sweep the cats at this point and I'll be happy. I know we want more and definitely expect more but a successful season is measured by what we do against UK in my mind, always has been.

That said I'm gonna say 3-1 but wouldn't be surprised with 2-2. This is gonna be rough stretch. Gotta get started right by beating AU at home. I feel like we get USCe back but lose to the Bammers.
 
#58
#58
Honestly 3-1 and lose to Kentucky = we win the SEC regular season title.

I’d rather see us go 4-0 though!
 
  • Like
Reactions: berryvol
#59
#59
Kentucky looks incredible now finally with all that talent. Bama will be fired up at home after their embarrassing loss. SC at SC won't be easy. Pearl has our number it seems plus they are so physical
Kentucky almost never plays defense. It's all-star game level stuff at times with them.
We should be able to outscore them at home. We do play some defense. If not for one player making everything, then them fouling late for him to get some stupid record, we win by 20 and both teams score less.

We are older, stronger, and tougher than they are. Their bigs are also stick men rather than the kind that gives us trouble.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Dr H Lecter
#60
#60
Honestly 3-1 and lose to Kentucky = we win the SEC regular season title.

I’d rather see us go 4-0 though!

As much as I want to beat this mediocre South Carolina team, if we theoretically had to go 3-1, losing to them wouldn’t be the worst. We need to beat Alabama but I don’t see anyway South Carolina runs the table these last 4 games, they just aren’t that good, so 3-1 with our loss to them would also win us the league and we wouldn’t have to lose to Kentucky, Auburn, or Alabama lol.
 
#61
#61
As much as I want to beat this mediocre South Carolina team, if we theoretically had to go 3-1, losing to them wouldn’t be the worst. We need to beat Alabama but I don’t see anyway South Carolina runs the table these last 4 games, they just aren’t that good, so 3-1 with our loss to them would also win us the league and we wouldn’t have to lose to Kentucky, Auburn, or Alabama lol.
I believe 3-1 and believe the loss will be self inflicted as with all of our SEC losses.
Auburn probably without Jaylen Williams, their guards are terrible and they do not guard. When they are playing good they roll. But too many games they look completely disinterested or their guards simply take them out of the game.
Alabama guards are good but no inside presence. At home and always specter of official home bias creating foul trouble for our rotation.
Kentucky is not that good and only improvement lately has been Cal using his big foreign guys for some rim protection . They should not beat this team at home.
USCjr talent is not there but they play at their tempo every game and team has to matc h their physical play.

However, this team has offensive weaknesses that appear to be more easily exploited the more teams see them. The difference in these teams is they all still have a lot to play for and are not likely to pitch in the towel as has been the case recently and allowed some mediocre play to be sufficient. I do not believe this team will play four semi complete games and one will be bad enough to do them in.
 
#62
#62
No sir. I come to Volnation to talk about basketball and read comments from fellow fans and every single thread I have to see nothing but bullying from one certain individual. Every single thread nothing but negativity trying to start arguments with everyone. You make Vol fans not want to even come to the basketball forum. Every negative comment is not necessary.

Over 75,000 post over a 10 year span. That’s 3,560 days and over 20 posts a day. Dude find you something to do in life besides coming here and berating people. Get you a girlfriend or pet or something. You need to find joy in something other than coming here every single day for over 10 years to just bully people. If that is what you find joy in then I will pray for you because that’s a pretty pitiful life.
There are some on this board who hide behind a keyboard and ridicule or name call others. It doesn’t make sense as it’s a message board. Life is too short.

With that said, ignore and move on and don’t succumb to the that level. I almost did last week but went edited my comment and turned the other cheek as it’s not worth it.
 
#63
#63
I have no dog in this fight. You did however make his point by deciding to relate him to a snowflake to make your point. All you did was inflame the situation. You could have said everything else and been spot on..
.
 
Last edited:
#64
#64
It's almost comical to ask if we can win 2 more? No offense to the OP, as I sort of get his view. Yeah, we lost to SC at home, but we're a much better team. It's a damn marathon. There will be off nights. If we go in there focused, we beat their asses. We have to win at home against Auburn, first and foremost. One game at a time. We are a better team than any of our remaining opponents. Winning out might get us the overall 1 seed, but certainly overall 2
 
#66
#66
per espn matchup predictor
Probability BasketVols go (vs Aubie 67.4/32.6)
1-0 67.4%
0-1 32.6%

Probability BasketVols go (@ criminal turds 36.5/63.5)
2-0 24.6%
1-1 54.7%
0-2 20.7%

Probabilitys BasketVols go (@ sc-jr 78.2/21.8)
3-0 19.2%
2-1 48.1%
1-2 28.1%
0-3 4.5%

Probability BasketVols go (vs kensucky 82.8/17.2)
4-0 15.9%
3-1 43.2%
2-2 31.6
1-3 8.6%
0-4 0.8%
Interesting.

3-1 is most probable but 2-2 wouldn’t shock me.
Imo, we will be a two seed unless we run the table, which is unlikely.

I just hope we bring our A game and the energy, as this team can go all the way and cut down the nets.
 
Last edited:
#67
#67
Depends on how the officials call the games.
Consistently let ‘em play, and I think 2 or more is feasible.
If not, I think maybe one out of 4.
Maybe it’s BVS, but I think the Bama game will be rough for a few reasons
2-2 to 4-0. 2-2 probably sets us at low 2 or three line depending on who we lose to. 4-0 probably gets us a 1 seed. Guess the good thing is outside of just poor stretch showing, which is HIGHLY unlikely, I'd say this stretch will sharpen the sword for us for the NCAAT. Really just want to beat Bama...the four we're playing are all good and capable of beating us on a bad shooting night...but we're clearly capable of beating them all too. This is our time, so, hope we just go out and take everything in front of us.
 
  • Like
Reactions: CaliVol2009
#68
#68
Just sweep the cats at this point and I'll be happy. I know we want more and definitely expect more but a successful season is measured by what we do against UK in my mind, always has been.

That said I'm gonna say 3-1 but wouldn't be surprised with 2-2. This is gonna be rough stretch. Gotta get started right by beating AU at home. I feel like we get USCe back but lose to the Bammers.
I think you're right. Auburn is the one we need to get to give us some breathing room. Our home crowd will put us in a good spot vs Auburn and KY.
 
#69
#69
Interesting thread. Sweating out the last four games of the regular season. I’ll be honest. I find them totally irrelevant in the current NCAA basketball model. It’s all about your performance in the NCAAT and most everything else is a far second. And we are solidly in the tournament so play out the string and let’s get that tournament rolling. Did anyone here really care that we were like 4-6 at the end of the regular season last year, after we beat Duke? Probably not. Mostly just were upset we then lost to FAU and didn’t give the regular season a second thought.
 
#70
#70
As much as I want to beat this mediocre South Carolina team, if we theoretically had to go 3-1, losing to them wouldn’t be the worst. We need to beat Alabama but I don’t see anyway South Carolina runs the table these last 4 games, they just aren’t that good, so 3-1 with our loss to them would also win us the league and we wouldn’t have to lose to Kentucky, Auburn, or Alabama lol.

It would IF they win out, they’d have the 2 head to heads and be a higher seed than us in SECT.

We can drop 1 to Kentucky, they’re 2 games back.
 
#71
#71
It would IF they win out, they’d have the 2 head to heads and be a higher seed than us in SECT.

We can drop 1 to Kentucky, they’re 2 games back.

I know. I’m saying I don’t believe for a second SC wins their other 3 games and I don’t want to lose to UK. So, I’m fine with losing to SC if that’s our only loss. I bet SC loses in College Station this week. Feel pretty confident in that fact. A&M is a solid team and can’t see them losing 5 in a row.
 
  • Like
Reactions: ReadCT and berryvol
#72
#72
Interesting thread. Sweating out the last four games of the regular season. I’ll be honest. I find them totally irrelevant in the current NCAA basketball model. It’s all about your performance in the NCAAT and most everything else is a far second. And we are solidly in the tournament so play out the string and let’s get that tournament rolling. Did anyone here really care that we were like 4-6 at the end of the regular season last year, after we beat Duke? Probably not. Mostly just were upset we then lost to FAU and didn’t give the regular season a second thought.
Context is important - we had lost our point guard to a season ending knee injury and we’re trying to replace him with our defensive specialist.
 
#75
#75
BTO is a lot of things..a negavol ain't one.
I don't think he was referring to BTO's Vol loyalty. I think it was aimed more at the general attitude towards other posters with whom he disagrees with and the way he conducts himself with those posters. "Negative" is probably not the best adjective for what he was looking to convey.
 

VN Store



Back
Top