DynamiteMcGhee
Fear The Fro
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- Jul 14, 2010
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Shall I make a sticky thread just for you?
If Michael Crichton had lived to write a follow-up to State of Fear, the plotline might well have gone like this: at a top secret, state of the art laboratory in Switzerland, scientists finally discover the true cause of "global warming". It's the sun, stupid. More specifically as the Danish physicist Henrik Svensmark has long postulated it's the result of cosmic rays which act as a seed for cloud formation.
The scientists working on the project are naturally euphoric: this is a major breakthrough which will not only overturn decades of misguided conjecture on so-called Man Made Global Warming but will spare the global economy trillions of dollars which might otherwise have been squandered on utterly pointless efforts to reduce anthropogenic CO2 emissions.
However, these scientists have failed to realise just how many people alarmist scientists, huckster politicians, rent-seeking landowners like (the late Michael Crichton's brilliant and, of course, entirely fictional creation) the absurd, pompous Sir Reginald Leeds Bt, green activists, eco-fund managers, EU technocrats, MSM environmental correspondents stand to gain from the Man Made "Climate Change" industry. Their discovery must be suppressed at all costs. So, one by one, the scientists on the cosmic ray project find themselves being bumped off, until only one man remains and must race against time to prove, etc, etc
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The research, published with little fanfare this week in the prestigious journal Nature, comes from über-prestigious CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research, one of the worlds largest centres for scientific research involving 60 countries and 8,000 scientists at more than 600 universities and national laboratories. CERN is the organization that invented the World Wide Web, (no it wasn't al gaia gore)gs that built the multi-billion dollar Large Hadron Collider, and that has now built a pristinely clean stainless steel chamber that precisely recreated the Earths atmosphere.
In this chamber, 63 CERN scientists from 17 European and American institutes have done what global warming doomsayers said could never be done demonstrate that cosmic rays promote the formation of molecules that in Earths atmosphere can grow and seed clouds, the cloudier and thus cooler it will be. Because the suns magnetic field controls how many cosmic rays reach Earths atmosphere (the stronger the suns magnetic field, the more it shields Earth from incoming cosmic rays from space), the sun determines the temperature on Earth.
So if it's so great, why aren't we hearing more about it? Well, possibly because the Director General of CERN Rolf-Dieter Heuer would prefer it that way. Here's how he poured cold water on the results in an interview with Die Welt Online:
I have asked the colleagues to present the results clearly, but not to interpret them. That would go immediately into the highly political arena of the climate change debate. One has to make clear that cosmic radiation is only one of many parameters.
Nigel Calder, who has been following the CLOUD experiment for some time, was the first to smell a rat.
He notes:
CERN has joined a long line of lesser institutions obliged to remain politically correct about the man-made global warming hypothesis. Its OK to enter the highly political arena of the climate change debate provided your results endorse man-made warming, but not if they support Svensmarks heresy that the Sun alters the climate by influencing the cosmic ray influx and cloud formation.
and
The once illustrious CERN laboratory ceases to be a truly scientific institute when its Director General forbids its physicists and visiting experimenters to draw the obvious scientific conclusions from their results.
"We've found that cosmic rays significantly enhance the formation of aerosol particles in the mid troposphere and above. These aerosols can eventually grow into the seeds for clouds. However, we've found that the vapours previously thought to account for all aerosol formation in the lower atmosphere can only account for a small fraction of the observations even with the enhancement of cosmic rays."
Spot on dude.That won't make a damn bit of difference to GS. He'll be back with 3 (count'em ...3) gifs and call rt a liar and doubt his ancestry and his mental facilities. This will, of course, reverse and/or neutralize any of the heretofore reliable physics involved in Co or CO2. Well, it will in the GS universe.
Oh, it will be further documented that radical Mooselimbs invented catalytic converters.
Sorry for the late response, GS. I don't buy the 3x0=0 argument, because the CERN study doesn't come anywhere close to saying that CO2 has no effect on climate. Thus, the truth is 3xy=3y...what is y? Well, it's not zero.
The CERN study was looking at the connection between cosmic rays and aerosols in the atmosphere - the aerosols that lead to cloud formation. Why do we care about cloud formation? Well, if the decrease in cosmic ray penetration into the atmosphere caused by increased solar activity (and the corresponding increase in solar wind) causes a decrease in cloud formation, then one could postulate that this would lead to warming (because clouds do reflect solar radiation back out to space). However, one complication in this is that the true role of clouds is difficult to fully understand - as has often been an attack on climate models - and to say that more clouds definitely means more or less warming is tough - it really depends on the type of clouds and other environmental factors.
But, I don't want to get caught up in that, because in the context of this thread - what is most important is that the CERN study does not say that cosmic rays are the sole cause of the warming we have seen and it does not say that CO2 doesn't affect climate.
So, what did the CERN study find? The scientists did indeed find that an increase in cosmic rays increase aerosol formation. Very interesting. So, cosmic rays could play a role in climate. So, the CERN study is important in that in addition to sulfur and ammonia, they found that climate models should also consider cosmic rays in cloud formation (which before the study they did not). This will allow for more accurate climate predictions. However, there are a few key points:
1) The scientists did not find that the increase in aerosols from an increase in cosmic rays was enough to really account for all cloud formation:
So, while there is a positive correlation between cosmic rays and cloud formation - it is not a 1 to 1 relationship and to say that high cosmic rays must lead to high cloud formation is not necessarily always true. What does this mean? Well, it means that there are other factors that need to be explored further.
But....even more important for the context of this discussion...
2) Just because there is a correlation between fewer cosmic rays and decreased cloud formation...and just because there CAN be a correlation between decreased cloud formation and increased warming...THSI DOES NOT MEAN THAT OTHER FACTORS DO NOT INFLUENCE CLIMATE. The CERN study did not assert that cosmic rays alone drive climate, nor does any honest review of the paper suggest it.
The CERN study in no way says that CO2 does not behave as a greenhouse gas or impact global temperatures.
Gov. Jerry Brown and the tax-and-spend crowd in Sacramento, and their apologists in academia, see this as money they can grab for sure, as opposed to not grabbing it and relying on the private sector to use it wisely, which ironically would increase tax revenue over the longer haul.
These cap and trade advocates dont much care about the economys long-term financial well-being, or even long-term government fiscal health. They live in the short term. Think terms of office. And cap and trade presents cash in the hand. Period. End of debate.
Thats why they are unmoved when confronted with contradictory rational argument like the economic harm cap and trade will do and scientific refutation of the underlying theory for cap and trade and other global warming alarmism. Evidence such as this:
Bad news, global warming enthusiasts. The world was actually warmer in Roman and Medieval times than it is now. In fact, the world has been on a cooling trend for the past 2,000 years, according to new research.
The study says that tree-rings hold the secret to understanding the history of climate change, and that the rings of fossilized trees show that the earth actually used to be much warmer than it is today, and has even been slowly cooling down.
I gave you three days because you blatantly violated the rules that Freak (not I) set for this forum.
If you have suggestions or complaints, we have a contact us link at the bottom of the forum that goes directly to Freak. We tend to be more receptive to that than to people airing out their complaints in public and sounding like a five year old with a skinned knee in the process.
Since the inception of the Education Department, the Federal Government has done a great job of dumbing-down our students and indoctrinating them into the Government -controlled mind-set. For the last 35 plus years, we and our children have literally been subjected to Government control of our thinking. Nearly two full generations of dumbing-down and brainwashing have occurred.
Your Good Government doesn't want you to know that. They like to keep their subjects nice and stupid, so we are easily manipulated......... It seems to be working.
That won't make a damn bit of difference to GS. He'll be back with 3 (count'em ...3) gifs and call rt a liar and doubt his ancestry and his mental facilities. This will, of course, reverse and/or neutralize any of the heretofore reliable physics involved in Co or CO2. Well, it will in the GS universe.
Oh, it will be further documented that radical Mooselimbs invented catalytic converters.
Spot on dude.
Solar Cells Linked to Greenhouse Gases Over 23,000 Times Worse than According to New Book, Green Illusions ... Solar cells do not offset greenhouse gases or curb fossil fuel use in the United States according to a new environmental book, Green Illusions ...
Green Illusions explains how the solar industry has grown to become one of the leading emitters of hexafluoroethane (C2F6), nitrogen trifluoride (NF3), and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6). These three potent greenhouse gases, used by solar cell fabricators, make carbon dioxide (CO2) seem harmless.
Here's some more from the press release:
Nitrogen trifluoride is 17,000 times more virulent than CO2, and SF6, the most treacherous greenhouse gas, is over 23,000 times more threatening. The solar photovoltaic industry is one of the fastest-growing emitters of these gases, which are now measurably accumulating within the earth's atmosphere according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
A NOAA study shows that atmospheric concentrations of SF6 have been rising exponentially. A paper published in the peer-reviewed journal Geophysical Research Letters documents that atmospheric NF3 levels have been rising 11 percent per year.
When looking at the whole story, its important to note that Senator Reid led passage of the $814 billion stimulus bill and worked to include the loan guarantee program to help finance clean-energy projectsprojects to which, as we will show, he is connected.
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Last week, we exposed BrightSource Energy that received a $1.6 billion DOE loan. BrightSources executives donated almost $4000 to Reids 2010 campaign, including $2400 from the CEO John Woolard, who in September 2010, along with Peter Darbee, then Chairman of PG & E, hosted a fundraiser for the majority leader in his corporate offices.
The week before, we uncovered the fact that a couple of SolarReserve (with its $737 million loan) board members are big Democrat donors, including contributions to Obamas 2008 campaign as well as Senator Reid.
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Nevada Geothermal Power (NGP) holds leasehold interests in six geothermal projects located in the Western United States. They hold a BB+ rating and received a $78.8 million loan, guaranteed by the DOE, in September of 2010. Executives from NGP contributed in 2008 to Harry Reids campaign.
Additionally, since 2009, NGP was the recipient of more than $69 million in federal grants, under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.
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Despite the flowery rhetoric, at the time the DOE approved the conditional loan guarantee in September 2010, they were well aware of NGPs well-documented financial difficulties. The House Oversight and Government Reform Committee (HOGRC) called the loan a bailoutwhich violated the spirit and, quite possibly, the letter of the law and provided an opportunity for private industry to exit an investment, deleverage and transfer the extraordinarily high default risk to taxpayers.
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The audit report states: NGP has incurred $98 million in net losses over the past several years, has substantial debts and does not generate enough cash from its current operations after debt-service costs.
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Instead of using the loan as Title XVI, Section 1602 of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, requires: Recipients shall use grant funds in a manner that maximizes job creation and economic benefit, the loan was used to pay off a creditor. According to the Washington Times report, At the time the Energy Department announced its conditional approval of the guarantee, Mr. Issa said NGP would have defaulted on a loan from TCW Asset Management Co., then its primary lender, had DOE not swooped in to save the failing company with taxpayer money. A committee report said the loan did not finance any new construction and did not help to create a single job.
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But the story continues. As we reported in the introduction, Kai Anderson, a lobbyist for NGPs partner corporation, Ormat Technologies, Inc., is a former Senate aide to Harry Reid. Ormats CEO Paul Thomsen is another former Reid aide. Additionally, according to the Washington Times, Mr. Fairbank denied knowing or lobbying Mr. Reid, but the House Oversight Committee said Ormat Inc., which was paid $80 million to build NGPs Blue Mountain plant, has strong ties to the senator.
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Yoram Bronicki is the son of Ms. Yehudit Bronicki (also known as Dita). She is CEO and Director of Ormat Technologies. In addition to the $350 million loan guaranteed by the DOE with John Hancock in aggregate principal amount, Ormat Technologies projects received more than $200 million in various DOE grants.
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All this, and it does nothing to bring us closer to energy independence. Geothermaland wind and solarpower generates electricity. America is already electricity independent. We have enough coal, natural gas, and uranium to power us for centuries! We even export coal, we have so much.
So why are we killing good-paying jobs in the coal industry, preventing thousands of union jobs the Keystone pipeline would create, and potentially putting thousands out of work with a pending ban on hydraulic fracturing for natural gas extraction, for the supposed jobs in green energywhen we are already electricity independent? These green-energy projects can only raise the cost of electricity and waste public money, while the energy sources the administrations efforts are killing or blocking can actually reduce costswithout taxpayer investment.
The green-energy crony-corruption story is explains it all.
Solar power is 35¢ per kilowatt compared to coal, gas and oil that costs 5¢ per kilowatt.
Heres a list of the green companies that have gone belly-up since receiving Obama dollars.
Heritage reported:
For those who only hear about these failing companies one by one, the following is a list of all the clean energy companies supported by President Obamas stimulus that are now failing or have filed for bankruptcy. The liberal media hopes youve forgotten about all of them except Solyndra, but we havent.
Evergreen Solar
SpectraWatt
Solyndra (received $535 million)
Beacon Power (received $43 million)
AES subsidiary Eastern Energy
Nevada Geothermal (received $98.5 million)
SunPower (received $1.5 billion)
First Solar (received $1.46 billion)
Babcock & Brown (an Australian company which received $178 million)
Ener1 (subsidiary EnerDel received $118.5 million)
Amonix (received 5.9 million)
The National Renewable Energy Lab
Fisker Automotive
Abound Solar (received $400 million)
Chevy Volt (taxpayers basically own GM)
Solar Trust of America
A123 Systems (received $279 million)
Willard & Kelsey Solar Group (received $6 million)
Johnson Controls (received $299 million)
Schneider Electric (received $86 million)
Thats 19 (that we know of so far). We also know that loans went to foreign clean energy companies (Fisker sent money to their overseas plant to develop an electric car), and that 80% of these loans went to President Obamas campaign donors.
An audit conducted by the Energy Departments Office of Inspector General was "unable to locate" $500,000 worth of equipment purchased with stimulus money by a recipient of funds distributed through the deparment's Advanced Batteries and Hybrid Components Program, according to an audit report published by the OIG. The DOE said it would not be "appropriate" to release the name of stimulus-money recipient where the $500,000 worth of equipment could not be located.
Are you talking to yourself?
The Environmental Protection Agency is employing a
disturbing strategy to evaluate a major new mine
project by passing judgment on whether it will damage
the environment before the company even determines
how the venture will work.
The Pebble Limited Partnership wants to mine a deposit
in southwest Alaska that holds one of the largest
concentrations of copper, gold and molybdenum in the
worldat least 80 billion pounds of copper, 100 million
ounces of gold, and five billion pounds of molybdenum.
The mother lode of minerals is estimated to be worth
$200 billion to $500 billion.
.... recently presented paper at the European Geosciences Union meeting.
Authors Steirou and Koutsoyiannis, after taking homogenization errors into account find global warming over the past century was only about one-half [0.42°C] of that claimed by the IPCC [0.7-0.8°C].
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Heres the part I really like: of 67% of the weather stations examined, questionable adjustments were made to raw data that resulted in:
increased positive trends, decreased negative trends, or changed negative trends to positive, whereas the expected proportions would be 1/2 (50%).
And
homogenation practices used until today are mainly statistical, not well justified by experiments, and are rarely supported by metadata. It can be argued that they often lead to false results: natural features of hydroclimatic times series are regarded as errors and are adjusted.
I missed the part about catalytic converters in that article.
Or is this thread about something else now?
I remember an engineer friend of mine was working on a device that virtually eliminated the need for catalytic convertors a few years ago. Never heard any more about it.
Just like a few years ago everyone would have a hydrogen-fueled generator to power their homes within two years.
Not saying everything's a conspiracy, but some things do get "suppressed".
.... the United States Air Force spent $639,000 on 11,000 gallons of alcohol-to-jet fuel from Gevo Inc., a Colorado biofuels company, at $59 a gallon.
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Similarly, in preparation for last week's "Green Fleet Demonstration, the U.S. Navy purchased $12 million in biofuels to prove that a carrier strike group could be run on biofuels for the day. Its all part of the Obama Administrations decision last year to direct the Navy, Agriculture department, and the Energy department to spend $510 million in taxpayer monies on alternative jet and marine fuels.
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But what may appear on the surface to be a green energy initiative may instead by yet another example of cronyism between the green energy industry and Democratic lawmakers.
As it turns out, one of the venture capital funders behind Gevo Inc. is Vinod Khosla. Since 1996, opensecrets.org reports that Mr. Khosla has made $474,534 in campaign donations, 86 percent of which went to Democrats.
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Khosla also has close ties to another venture capital firm whose team includes Al Gore, the former vice president and Democratic presidential candidate in 2000.
Mr. Khosla is no stranger to failed biofuel projects involving taxpayer monies. He was the chief backer of Range Fuels, a biofuels company that received a government-guaranteed $64 million loan only to later go bust and leave taxpayers holding the bag.
In his book, Throw Them All Out, Government Accountability Institute President Peter Schweizer revealed that 80 percent of the Department of Energys $20.5 billion loan program went to companies owned by or connected to Mr. Obamas campaign donors.
The service paid Solazyme $8.5 million to provide just 20,000 gallons of algae-based fuel - $425 per gallon.
In September 2009 the DLAs defense energy support center paid Montanas Sustainable Oils $2.7 million for 40,000 gallons of camelina-based fuel. That comes to about $67.50 per gallon.
If all 285,000 acres were covered with solar PV arrays, the Hot Spots could have a generating capacity of about 40,000 MW at a cost of about $252 billion.If the same 285,000 acres were covered with natural gas-fired power stations, the Hot Spots could have a generating capacity of about 1.8 million MW (1.8 Terawatts) at a cost of about $1.5 trillion.
To put this in a little better perspective
US electric utilities added an average of 22,734 MW of generating capacity per year from 2001-2010. If the Hot Spots acreage was devoted to that annual capacity growth
Solar PV would consume all 285,000 acres in 21 months at a cost of $143 billion per year.
It would take 80 years for natural gas-fired plants to cover the 285,000 acres at a cost of $19 billion per year.
If every acre of the newly designated Federal land was developed for solar power, it would cover less than two years of the average annual incremental growth in US generating capacity.
It really is ironic that President Obama thinks that, Even if we drilled every square inch of this country right now, wed still have to rely disproportionately on other countries for their oil, while his administration crows about setting aside 285,000 acres of public land for solar power development that cant even match our average incremental generation capacity growth for two years.
I wonder if the people who oppose developing ANWR because, by itself, it might only cover a few years of our total oil consumption, are simply giddy about Boot Salazars latest boondoggle