Comparing this years team to 2010

[sjt18]

don't forget score was 13-13 at the half in that game. we hung in there but fizzled out toward the end

They had an extended half due to the storm. They actually got some first half video that would not have been available otherwise and made some major adjustments. The sum of those adjustments was to force Simms to beat them. He stank it up and the D couldn't hold up forever.

 

[sjt18]

I think being at home is worth 7 to us and we have 7 more advantage in QB play.

We've got a few issues right now, stupid costly penalties, play calling isn't quite as sharp as it was with Kelly, LB's are still finding their way and Lyerla banged up his hand a little bit carrying the ball in the first game. Minor things that will work themselves out over the year but might cost us a score or two early on.

I'm going to say 38-24 unless the wheels really fall off (conditioning wise) for the Vols in the second half.

I do not believe at this point conditioning will be a problem for UT. IIRC, the D was on the field for about 21 minutes in the first half this week with no signs of fatigue.

I know the pressure of your attack is greater... but Jones is a very high tempo guy as well. UT is used to a frantic pace.

 

[sjt18]

I think that's where the no huddle offense becomes an asset. Unless Worley randomly starts calling audibles on the line then we should be ok. Shouldn't be much to the student section in the stadium either since their classes don't start until Sep 30th.

According to Worley's comments the other day, he doesn't have freedom to audible. He only makes the protection calls to the OL. It appears that the plays including audibles come from the sideline via signals and play cards.

 

[SandoVOL]

What is the altitude difference from the two stadiums? Could make a difference in terms of conditioning? Historically we don't play well whenever we travel to the west coast. New coach new team lets see I guess.

 

[Duckweed]

Without googling it, I'd say we're at 450-500 feet above sea level.

 

[theutvolunteers]

Wiki says elevation is 430ft.

 

[Coug]

What is the altitude difference from the two stadiums? Could make a difference in terms of conditioning? Historically we don't play well whenever we travel to the west coast. New coach new team lets see I guess.

Neyland is higher at 855 feet, Autzen is 420 feet above sea level.
Altitude isn't a factor. If we were in Denver it'd be a different story.

 

[knoxvols1]

I say similar but im going with 42-14 ducks.

 

[T.G.]

 

[Bms4880]

Here's the 2010 depth chart for comparison:

Vols' depth chart announced; Williams at tackle » GoVolsXtra

The 2010 team had a very inexperienced offensive line (I seem to recall it was led by Cody Pope, a converted dlineman). As a matter of fact, three of our current olinemen (Stone, Fulton and James) were starting in their second college game. The 2013 team has a very experience offensive line.

The 2010 team had an inexperienced quarterback (Simms). The 2013 team has a somewhat-experienced, though unproven quarterback (Worley).

The 2010 team had an inexperienced (though a pleasant surprise in that game) running back in Poole. The 2013 team has two experienced backs.

The 2010 team had one experienced receiver (Moore; Jones was out with an injury), an experienced tight end (Stocker), and two green but talented freshmen (Rogers and Hunter). The 2013 team has some talented, but green, receivers.

The 2010 team had a relatively-experienced defensive line, plus a promising juco transfer (Malik Jackson). The 2013 team has an experienced and deep defensive line.

The 2010 team had an experienced linebacker corps (led by Reveiz and Frazier), but lacked depth. The 2013 team has an experienced linebacker corps, but similarly lacks depth.

The 2010 team had some experience in the secondary (Evans, Anderson and Jackson) but lacked depth. The 2013 team similarly has experience in the secondary, but lacks depth.

 

[Remy]

Vegas oddsmakers yesterday at the Wynn had us at -26, not the reported -28 somebody else had. The line will fluctuate as the money moves and gets closer to game time. That said I believe #117 is at easily 10 points better than Dooley's 2010 team, probably 14 or 21 points better. The real question is are da Ducks as good as their 2010 team that handed the 2010 Vols a 35 point shellacking? I think not, so shave 3 to 5 off them. This game will be a lot closer than most people think IMO, Ducks should win, head says they prevail by 9/10, heart says Vols take it in an upset by 3.

 

[ppilot]

Just an input from a Duck's perspective. By pretty much any advanced statistical measure, the 2010 Oregon team was actually worse than the 2011 and 2012 teams. It goes to show that when trying to win a NC, you have to be really good of most of the season and really lucky in that one game where things don't go according to plan.

 

[Coug]

Here's the 2010 depth chart for comparison:

Vols' depth chart announced; Williams at tackle » GoVolsXtra

The 2010 team had a very inexperienced offensive line (I seem to recall it was led by Cody Pope, a converted dlineman). As a matter of fact, three of our current olinemen (Stone, Fulton and James) were starting in their second college game. The 2013 team has a very experience offensive line.

The 2010 team had an inexperienced quarterback (Simms). The 2013 team has a somewhat-experienced, though unproven quarterback (Worley).

The 2010 team had an inexperienced (though a pleasant surprise in that game) running back in Poole. The 2013 team has two experienced backs.

The 2010 team had one experienced receiver (Moore; Jones was out with an injury), an experienced tight end (Stocker), and two green but talented freshmen (Rogers and Hunter). The 2013 team has some talented, but green, receivers.

The 2010 team had a relatively-experienced defensive line, plus a promising juco transfer (Malik Jackson). The 2013 team has an experienced and deep defensive line.

The 2010 team had an experienced linebacker corps (led by Reveiz and Frazier), but lacked depth. The 2013 team has an experienced linebacker corps, but similarly lacks depth.

The 2010 team had some experience in the secondary (Evans, Anderson and Jackson) but lacked depth. The 2013 team similarly has experience in the secondary, but lacks depth.

Appreciate the breakdown!

 

[TNshadetree]

I expect the defense to hold up pretty well and keep it halfway respectable. But from what I've seen of our offense against extremely weak opponents I'm expecting Oregon come away with some rewarding turnovers if not defense touchdowns.
Yes, our offense specs look good right now, but the big offense plays we've had would never have happened against a quality opponent.

 

[Coug]

I expect the defense to hold up pretty well and keep it halfway respectable. But from what I've seen of our offense against extremely weak opponents I'm expecting Oregon come away with some rewarding turnovers if not defense touchdowns.
Yes, our offense specs look good right now, but the big offense plays we've had would never have happened against a quality opponent.

I'm going to trust that ball control is something that CBJ has been pounding into their brains, save that and it'll come down to what Worley does with it. If he starts chucking the ball randomly in fear when he gets pressure in the pocket it's going to be a hard to watch game.

 

[FLVOL_79]

We hung with Oregon that year until what inevitably happened during all of Dooley's games, the 2nd half meltdown. I think this years Oregon is more talented, they have home field advantage, and our secondary is much worse than 2010.

That being said, as another poster mentioned this coaching staff made adjustments against WKU and showed that they aren't just circle jerking during half time like their predecessors. This one could end up being closer than I initially thought, but Oregon still pulls away, IMO 45-28.

^This. I actually thought UT was gonna pull it off..then Dooley worked his 2nd half magic..

 

[Coug]

Wow!

Well, I expected to lose this game but wasn't expecting it to be by that much.