The extension she got was just a one-year rollover, it didn’t increase the buyout and it didn’t come with a raise beyond what her existing contract called for. It was the fairly standard one year extension that 95% of coaches in this country get.
If they “barely sneak in,” then you’ll be right. But last year’s team was also 4-5 at one point and ended up running through the SEC to be a 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Trying to project where a basketball team will finish based on the first month of the season is an exercise in futility.