Data on Gary Patterson's viability as a candidate for UT's head coaching position

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#1
I am sure that moderators will probably bump this thread to the forum pertaining exclusively to coaching rumors and speculation, but I wanted to share some data on Gary Patterson's viability as a candidate for head coach:

Age: 52 (so he is certainly young enough to take on the continued rebuilding process at UT if he was sufficiently interested).

Background and connections to Tennessee: Kansas State grad (1983), so one might always wonder how interested he would be in succeeding the 73-year-old Bill Snyder when he decides to retire again. However, Patterson "took the linebacker coaching position at Tennessee Tech (1983-1984) while earning a master's degree in educational administration in 1984" (Gary Patterson Profile - TCU Horned Frogs Official Athletic Site ). So, his connections to Tennessee aren't much more tenuous than Jon Gruden's.

Record and defensive exploits at TCU: "Patterson's .784 winning percentage (109-30) is fourth among active coaches nationally with a minimum of five years experience. He is also one of just eight active coaches to have won at least 100 games at their current school."

"In 2011, TCU recorded its fourth straight 11-win season and became the only program nationally to reach 11 victories in six of the last seven years. . . . In 2010, Patterson guided the Horned Frogs to an undefeated season and Rose Bowl championship. TCU finished second in the final polls with a 13-0 record, its first perfect campaign since winning the national championship in 1938."

"Since the NCAA began tracking statistics in 1937, no other school has finished first in total defense as many times (five) as TCU. All five of those No. 1 rankings (2000, 2002, 2008, 2009, 2010) have come in the last 12 seasons under Patterson."

"Despite losing seven starters to graduation, including three to the NFL, off 2008's No. 1 defense, the Frogs led the nation in 2009 by allowing just 239.7 yards per game. TCU and Florida were the only schools in 2009 to rank in the top 10 nationally in total offense and defense. The Frogs were seventh offensively at 456.7 yards per game."

"TCU led the nation in total defense (217.8 yards per game) in 2008 for the third time in nine seasons. No other school in the country has finished first in that category as many times as TCU in that span. The Frogs were also first in run defense (47.1 yards), fewest first downs allowed per game (12.1) and time of possession (35:10). TCU was second in scoring defense (11.3 points per game)."

Perhaps the most impressive indicator of a man who could make major improvements on the defensive side of the ball in year number one: "In 1998, Patterson's first season at TCU, the Horned Frogs scored a school-record six defensive touchdowns, intercepted 12 passes and allowed only 19.6 points per game - the fewest points per game in over 30 years. It was accomplished by a team that was 1-10 the previous season.

Patterson's 1999 TCU defense ended the season ranked fifth in the country in total defense. The Frogs posted two shutouts and led the Western Athletic Conference in every major defensive category" (All data in this section are excerpted from Gary Patterson Profile - TCU Horned Frogs Official Athletic Site ). Bottom line here: Given our abyssmal performance on defense this year, Patterson is a man whose track record indicates that he could make Neyland proud of our defense again.

Current salary: "TCU's Gary Patterson has a new contract that will make him the Horned Frogs' coach through the 2018 season, the school announced. A source said that Patterson's total package pays him close to $3 million per season and that the entire deal is guaranteed" (excerpted from ESPN article dated 1/8/2011: TCU Horned Frogs give head coach Gary Patterson contract extension through 2018 - ESPN Dallas ).

It should go without saying that this is a more competitive salary range, from our perspective, than what Gruden would command.

The following observations were made in a Bleacher Report article, dated 11/9/12 (Gary Patterson to Arkansas: Should TCU Coach Leave Big 12 for SEC? | Bleacher Report ), which assesses Patterson's viability as a candidate for the Arkansas position:

"To takeover Arkansas that is currently going through rough times would not be a wise move. With the Razorbacks having their worst season in the programs history, a complete overhaul of the coaching staff is likely to take place. Also, if he didn't leave for Arkansas during the offseason when it had a talented team that was predicted to compete for an SEC Championship, there is little doubt he would leave now. Arkansas isn't exactly a recruiting hot bed to get some of the more talented athletes to come and play for you. It is also in the SEC West, which happens to be arguably the toughest division in all of college football, and it would take some time for Patterson to get this program back on its feet.

He has been able to get TCU into a power conference in the Big 12, which should prevent the school from becoming a launching pad for up and coming coaches. He has a chance to truly compete for national championships at this point. . . . It just wouldn't make sense for him to leave at this moment and to head to a school that has so many question marks. Having to compete against teams such as Alabama, LSU, Texas A&M and even Auburn doesn't sound too appealing either."

Obviously, many of these points apply to Tennessee as well. However, Patterson's accomplishments were on a much smaller stage. Should he hang around the Big 12 too long and the lustre of his star should begin to seriously decline, he would not be in as good a bargaining position as he is right now, should he ever have aspirations of matching wits with coaches in the top football conference in the country.

I know that this thread is extremely long but I will be interested to hear your response.
 
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#3
#3
I am sure that moderators will probably bump this thread to the forum pertaining exclusively to coaching rumors and speculation, but I wanted to share some data on Gary Patterson's viability as a candidate for head coach:

Age: 52 (so he is certainly young enough to take on the continued rebuilding process at UT if he was sufficiently interested).

Background and connections to Tennessee: Kansas State grad (1983), so one might always wonder how interested he would be in succeeding the 73-year-old Bill Snyder when he decides to retire again. However, Patterson "took the linebacker coaching position at Tennessee Tech (1983-1984) while earning a master's degree in educational administration in 1984" (Gary Patterson Profile - TCU Horned Frogs Official Athletic Site ). So, his connections to Tennessee aren't much more tenuous than Jon Gruden's.

Record and defensive exploits at TCU: "Patterson's .784 winning percentage (109-30) is fourth among active coaches nationally with a minimum of five years experience. He is also one of just eight active coaches to have won at least 100 games at their current school."

"In 2011, TCU recorded its fourth straight 11-win season and became the only program nationally to reach 11 victories in six of the last seven years. . . . In 2010, Patterson guided the Horned Frogs to an undefeated season and Rose Bowl championship. TCU finished second in the final polls with a 13-0 record, its first perfect campaign since winning the national championship in 1938."

"Since the NCAA began tracking statistics in 1937, no other school has finished first in total defense as many times (five) as TCU. All five of those No. 1 rankings (2000, 2002, 2008, 2009, 2010) have come in the last 12 seasons under Patterson."

"Despite losing seven starters to graduation, including three to the NFL, off 2008's No. 1 defense, the Frogs led the nation in 2009 by allowing just 239.7 yards per game. TCU and Florida were the only schools in 2009 to rank in the top 10 nationally in total offense and defense. The Frogs were seventh offensively at 456.7 yards per game."

"TCU led the nation in total defense (217.8 yards per game) in 2008 for the third time in nine seasons. No other school in the country has finished first in that category as many times as TCU in that span. The Frogs were also first in run defense (47.1 yards), fewest first downs allowed per game (12.1) and time of possession (35:10). TCU was second in scoring defense (11.3 points per game)."

Perhaps the most impressive indicator of a man who could make major improvements on the defensive side of the ball in year number one: "In 1998, Patterson's first season at TCU, the Horned Frogs scored a school-record six defensive touchdowns, intercepted 12 passes and allowed only 19.6 points per game - the fewest points per game in over 30 years. It was accomplished by a team that was 1-10 the previous season.

Patterson's 1999 TCU defense ended the season ranked fifth in the country in total defense. The Frogs posted two shutouts and led the Western Athletic Conference in every major defensive category" (All data in this section are excerpted from Gary Patterson Profile - TCU Horned Frogs Official Athletic Site ). Bottom line here: Given our abyssmal performance on defense this year, Patterson is a man whose track record indicates that he could make Neyland proud of our defense again.

Current salary: "TCU's Gary Patterson has a new contract that will make him the Horned Frogs' coach through the 2018 season, the school announced. A source said that Patterson's total package pays him close to $3 million per season and that the entire deal is guaranteed" (excerpted from ESPN article dated 1/8/2011: TCU Horned Frogs give head coach Gary Patterson contract extension through 2018 - ESPN Dallas ).

It should go without saying that this is a more competitive salary range, from our perspective, than what Gruden would command.

The following observations were made in a Bleacher Report article, dated 11/9/12 (Gary Patterson to Arkansas: Should TCU Coach Leave Big 12 for SEC? | Bleacher Report ), which assesses Patterson's viability as a candidate for the Arkansas position:

"To takeover Arkansas that is currently going through rough times would not be a wise move. With the Razorbacks having their worst season in the programs history, a complete overhaul of the coaching staff is likely to take place. Also, if he didn't leave for Arkansas during the offseason when it had a talented team that was predicted to compete for an SEC Championship, there is little doubt he would leave now. Arkansas isn't exactly a recruiting hot bed to get some of the more talented athletes to come and play for you. It is also in the SEC West, which happens to be arguably the toughest division in all of college football, and it would take some time for Patterson to get this program back on its feet.

He has been able to get TCU into a power conference in the Big 12, which should prevent the school from becoming a launching pad for up and coming coaches. He has a chance to truly compete for national championships at this point. . . . It just wouldn't make sense for him to leave at this moment and to head to a school that has so many question marks. Having to compete against teams such as Alabama, LSU, Texas A&M and even Auburn doesn't sound too appealing either."

Obviously, many of these points apply to Tennessee as well. However, Patterson's accomplishments were on a much smaller stage. Should he hang around the Big 12 too long and the lustre of his star should begin to seriously decline, he would not be in as good a bargaining position as he is right now, should he ever have aspirations of matching wits with coaches in the top football conference in the country.

I know that this thread is extremely long but I will be interested to hear your response.

Nice effort but you wasted alot of time.
 
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#4
#4
1998-99 stats document immediate and profoundly positive change in his team's defensive performance. By contrast. it goes without saying that one of the forum's biggest criticisms of Dooley has been the lack of tangible progress.
 
#6
#6
Your point about gruden is false, gruden was avtually a GA at Tennessee. However, I do want Patterson here. I've long wanted this.
 
#9
#9
True, but he isn't hired yet. The effort needs to be made to judge his interest. He is one coach that would be worth the effort.


Agree wholeheartedly.

If he wasn't the first one contacted when Fulmer was fired, he should have been top 3 anyway.

It seems timing is everything in these coaching hires and we are well behind Arkansas though.
 
#11
#11
It's not happening.

neither is Gruden.

I appreciate the OP taking the time to compile all the info regarding Patterson's credentials etc. I think he would be a very good hire.

These people that actually think Gruden would accept a HC position are living in fantasy land. Wake up! :loco:
 
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#12
#12
Nice work by the op. I would be very happy with him. My feeling is they Hart is gonna do the "lets be classy and wait until after the season" thing while our other competitors are getting things done. Hope I'm wrong.
 
#13
#13
The day Fulmer was fired I advocated flying to ft worth and not coming back without CGP's signature on a contract.

Repeated my mantra when lame kitten bailed.

Still singing my song.
 
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#14
#14
Op said it... Bounce to k state when coach Snyder retires seems all too risky. But if he had a clause that forbade that, I'm in
 
#15
#15
Agree wholeheartedly.

If he wasn't the first one contacted when Fulmer was fired, he should have been top 3 anyway.

It seems timing is everything in these coaching hires and we are well behind Arkansas though.

This is very useful information except that Arkansas has jumped in line ahead of us already.

TCU's Gary Patterson a leading candidate for Arkansas job? - NCAAF - Sporting News

Nice work by the op. I would be very happy with him. My feeling is they Hart is gonna do the "lets be classy and wait until after the season" thing while our other competitors are getting things done. Hope I'm wrong.

The difference is that we are a much better program for a coach like Patterson to come into. We are Tennessee. Arkansas was a small blip in time. Auburn isn't even the most popular team in their own state. Kentucky is....well....located in the state of Kentucky.

While we are not quite where we need to be talent wise, we do have more talent than any of those 3 teams.

There is no doubt in my mind that somebody like Patterson could take our current defensive roster and succeed with it.
 
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#16
#16
Your point about gruden is false, gruden was avtually a GA at Tennessee. However, I do want Patterson here. I've long wanted this.

No, my point is not false. I did not choose to clarify it at that juncture, but my reference was to the state of Tennessee, not the University. Furthermore, I was aware that Gruden had worked a couple of seasons as a Graduate Assistant at UT. At least, Patterson earned a Master's degree at Tennessee Tech.
 
#17
#17
The difference is that we are a much better program for a coach like Patterson to come into. We are Tennessee. Arkansas was a small blip in time. Auburn isn't even the most popular team in their own state. Kentucky is....well....located in the state of Kentucky.

While we are not quite where we need to be talent wise, we do have more talent than any of those 3 teams.

There is no doubt in my mind that somebody like Patterson could take our current defensive roster and succeed with it.

You don't need to sell me on why UT is better than Arkansas, Kentucky, or Auburn. I already know that it is.

Hart has to get the ball rolling by canning Dooley immediately and selling Patterson or whoever he decides to go after though.

And we are behind those schools in that Arkansas and Kentucky have publicly made it clear what their intentions are towards the future.
 
#18
#18
With all of the speculation to date, virtually none of which can be corroborated, the one thing that we do not know is what contact the monied interests may have already had with Patterson or any other candidate at this point.
 
#19
#19
Op said it... Bounce to k state when coach Snyder retires seems all too risky. But if he had a clause that forbade that, I'm in

I see what you are saying but KState is one of the worst programs in the BCS conferences. Bill Snyder literally is KSU. It is not a high profile job at all. That being said, I'm sure he would be interested
 
#20
#20
Kansas State has historically been one of the armpits of college football. Snyder initially took over the program in 1989 but didn't turn the corner until 1993, when they went 9-2-1. If you look at all-time records prior to that year, Kansas State was dead last in winning pct. (.37808), with a record of 318-536-40 ( I-A Winning Percentage 1869-1992 ). What Snyder has done with that program, not once but twice, qualifies as one of the greatest coaching jobs of all-time.
 
#23
#23
Dosent recruit good enough....hope he goes to arky!

You know I've been wondering why every other school in the MWC, WAC and CUSA have been getting so many 4 and 5 star players when TCU hasn't. Now I know. :crazy:

This is TCU's first year in the Big 12 and those other conferences that I mentioned above are not going to draw the top talent. Having said that, TCU even in the Big 12 is going to be at a big disadvantage since they are a small private university. Even Vanderbilt has a bigger student body than TCU does.

Patterson will get better talent in the SEC and knows how to coach the talent he gets. So yeah just let Arky have him and let's see how that turns out in a couple of years.
 

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