Dawgs favored by 19

#151
#151
DD4ME said:
History says we always play them close. Someone else noted the last time the spread was this lopsided we beat them at home.

Richt gonna Richt. (Win more often than not but with the grace of a 400 lb ballerina)
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They typically are close games. The last 2 yrs the were 13.5 and 14 pt faves and easily could have won both. I never bet on UT because of being biast but sounds like a good game to take UT.
 
#152
#152
It actually opened at 19... it's now a consensus 17... rare a spread drops by 2 in 48 hours... but based on more recent history almost always this game is a single digit victory
 
#153
#153
It's actually about 80% of the public that's on the Vols right now. Which isn't a good thing. When it comes to betting, the public as a whole, are idiots. That doesn't mean they are always wrong of course. But that's why Vegas makes so much money, the public is wrong more often than not.
 
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#154
#154
parkvol said:
It actually opened at 19... it's now a consensus 17... rare a spread drops by 2 in 48 hours... but based on more recent history almost always this game is a single digit victory
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Yea some had it 19 and some 18. But looking at line moves so far this week there are 25 games with lines that have moved atleast 2 points and quite a few 3 and 4 points. Like you said that isnt something that is normal. I do enjoy betting on games, just not UT very often.
 
#155
#155
Evol said:
It's actually about 80% of the public that's on the Vols right now. Which isn't a good thing. When it comes to betting, the public as a whole, are idiots. That doesn't mean they are always wrong of course. But that's why Vegas makes so much money, the public is wrong more often than not.
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You're absolutely right. Like you said the public majority doesn't always lose but they do way more than they win. Really hope more start taking GA. But supposedly the smart money and big money betters bet early in the week and the majority of the public waits till later in the week. Much prefer the public not be all over any TN games.
 
#156
#156
I got love from a Better once. Suzy Better I think it was. Took her to the downstairs party room in the Delt house after the '76 homecoming game. Pool tables, they're not just for billiards anymore.
 
#159
#159
I'd take the Vols and the points. And no, its not rare to see a line change by 2 points in 48 hours, it happens quite frequently.
 
#160
#160
Over the last 10 years Tennessee has beaten the spread against UGA 7 times. 2 were dogs and one was a push.

Funny thing, and this goes back to 2004, we were underdogs 8 times. 2 times were a push. UGA has, on average, been a 10 point favorite when they've been favored.

3 times we didn't cover were in 2011 when we were 2 point dogs and lost by 8. 2005 and we were 3 point dogs and lost by 13. 2010 was a push and we lost by 27. Thanks Dooley.

Since 2004 we are 4-6 versus UGA. Average win for us is 17.5. Average win for them is 11.6 points with most of those points coming from 2010.

What shocked me is UT hasn't been favored against UGA since 2001.

TL;DR Historically odds favor UGA and UT either usually beats the odds or wins outright.
 
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#167
#167
Not by two TD's. It's not my money on the line of course, but that would have been the very first thing I circled... You went for riskier endeavors it looks like. Break the bank anyway... hoping the best for ya.
 
#168
#168
Aww that's too cute! Tell the bettors we love them too! Bless their hearts, we should get together sometime!
 
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#173
#173
OrangeIsLife said:
I got love from a Better once. Suzy Better I think it was. Took her to the downstairs party room in the Delt house after the '76 homecoming game. Pool tables, they're not just for billiards anymore.
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You didn't leave any of your balls on the table did you?:thumbsup:
 
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