Degenerate gamblers

#3
#3
You going to pick this week’s sec games? I have thoughts but they’re likely wrong.
 
#5
#5
ZippyMorocco said:
I will.

I like
UT -33.5
Mizzou -19.5
UGA -17
Ark -6
Utah -2.5
UK -17
LSU -3
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The Utah/UF game is not good for bettors. So many unknowns with UF and Utah likely overrated due to last year's results which include a misleading result versus Ohio State in rhe Rose Bowl where 24 tOSU players were out for a variety of reasons.

Not saying as a UF fan I have great confidence in this transitional year but I am skeptical of Utah's ranking.
 
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#6
#6
lawgator1 said:
The Utah/UF game is not good for bettors. So many unknowns with UF and Utah likely overrated due to last year's results which include a misleading result versus Ohio State in rhe Rose Bowl where 24 tOSU players were out for a variety of reasons.

Not saying as a UF fan I have great confidence in this transitional year but I am skeptical of Utah's ranking.
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UF has a new coach, offense and maybe defense. The personnel isn't great. However, I get your point.
 
#8
#8
lawgator1 said:
The Utah/UF game is not good for bettors. So many unknowns with UF and Utah likely overrated due to last year's results which include a misleading result versus Ohio State in rhe Rose Bowl where 24 tOSU players were out for a variety of reasons.

Not saying as a UF fan I have great confidence in this transitional year but I am skeptical of Utah's ranking.
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Yeah that one makes me nervous. Utah has to cross the country and they sure didn’t start out very well last year. I lean Utah but I don’t like it at all.
 
#9
#9
ZippyMorocco said:
I will.

I like
UT -33.5
Mizzou -19.5
UGA -17
Ark -6
Utah -2.5
UK -17
LSU -3
Click to expand...
Mizzou, Utah and UK make me nervous. I actually would pick La Tech personally but the rest I agree with. What about Bama and the 2 MS schools? I think Bama covers and I don’t think either MS school does.
 
#12
#12
Also re Utah, they go from the comfort of 70 pct humidity and night time Temps around 70, to 95 percent humidity and still 90 degrees at kick off. I am sure they are working on conditioning but don't be surprised if cramping an issue for them fourth quarter.
 
#13
#13
ZippyMorocco said:
There was no line on Bama when I posted this. It's now -41
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I think Bama because their offense is so good but Utah State actually has a decent offense themselves and Bama usually takes the foot off the gas in games like this. What do you think? It could literally be 49-3 at halftime and an easy cover, 38-7 final so no cover or both, an apparently way cover at the half as it’s 49-3 and then the final is 49-10. I really really hate games like that last one. Bama did that to me once last year or the year before.
 
#14
#14
hUTch2002 said:
I think Bama because their offense is so good but Utah State actually has a decent offense themselves and Bama usually takes the foot off the gas in games like this. What do you think? It could literally be 49-3 at halftime and an easy cover, 38-7 final so no cover or both, an apparently way cover at the half as it’s 49-3 and then the final is 49-10. I really really hate games like that last one. Bama did that to me once last year or the year before.
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I try to never bet on or against the Gumps. They have killed me several times. I bet on them against Clemson in the NC game, as part of a 3 team parlay. I won the first two, and Bama had won and covered with two minutes left.. They then let Clemson drive the length of the field and score to cover.
 
#19
#19
hUTch2002 said:
Just a gut feel or do you have specific reasons? I’m just curious. Mine is mostly gut feel based on the little I know about the teams, emphasis on little.
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Over the years I have learned that favorites win a lot of the time in the first week. The fifth or sixth team in the SEC East is light years better than the 3rd place team in Conference USA
 
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#20
#20
ZippyMorocco said:
Over the years I have learned that favorites win a lot of the time in the first week. The fifth or sixth team in the SEC East is light years better than the 3rd place team in Conference USA
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Simple and not overthinking it. I like it. I tend to overthink things.
 
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#21
#21
lawgator1 said:
Also re Utah, they go from the comfort of 70 pct humidity and night time Temps around 70, to 95 percent humidity and still 90 degrees at kick off. I am sure they are working on conditioning but don't be surprised if cramping an issue for them fourth quarter.
Click to expand...
I heard that Utah has been watering the field at their indoor facility, closing all the doors and turning off the AC to try and create a hot and humid environment. We’ll see if that makes a difference.
 
#24
#24
How in the world has Virginia Tech as a program come to playing a game at Old Dominion and only favored by 6.5???? What am I missing here? VT feels like the easy pick. I know they got absolutely boat raced in their final game last year against Maryland but that was a team that had completely checked out.
 
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