Don't look now but McCain got a bigger bounce

#1
volinbham

volinbham

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#1
Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%

3 point lead in latest Gallup Tracking Poll - basically +10 shift from Obama's biggest lead.

The RCP average now sits at 0.8 points for Obama.

Significantly, Obama has moved from 50% to 45%.

Tomorrow should show a few more polls that can track the RNC bounce.
 
#2
#2
Is this the VP bounce? I would have a hard time believing that McCain got a bounce out of the RNC..unless you consider that people didn't know Palin until her RNC speech, I guess.
 
#3
#3
I think part is McCain and part is the VP pick solidifying the base. It will be interesting to see if his support among undecideds/independents changed much (I guess it had to since he hasn't been at 48% until now). I think any undecideds he picked up were probably more him than her.

All this indicates to me is that he closed the 3+ point gap but neither guy is hitting the magic 50% number.

Obama still has the electoral lead but it is slimming - the state polls don't yet reflect the RNC bounce (counter bounce).
 
#4
#4
the mainstream media's treatment of Sarah Palin isn't helping the Obama ticket either. Obama's pleas to leave the families out of it have fallen on deaf ears and his most vocal supporters are going to be one of the reasons he loses in November.
 
#5
#5
I thought polls were "crap", guess that's only when Obama is leading.
 
#6
#6
Specific polls results ARE often crap, but poll trends do tend to mean something.
 
#7
#7
The gallup poll before either convention was 48 for McCain and 46 for Obama. Now it is 48 for McCain and 45 for Obama so it looks pretty much the same now. It appears they both got about the same bounce so they cancelled each other out.
 
#8
#8
MG1968 said:
the mainstream media's treatment of Sarah Palin isn't helping the Obama ticket either.
Click to expand...

This is pure BS.

She might be a skin lesion away from facing Medvedev, Putin, Ahmadenijad, etc. I'd say we certainly have a right to know who she is and what she's been up to.

Ridiculous.
 
#9
#9
615 Vol said:
The gallup poll before either convention was 48 for McCain and 46 for Obama. Now it is 48 for McCain and 45 for Obama so it looks pretty much the same now. It appears they both got about the same bounce so they cancelled each other out.
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I think you are probably right. It was even before and it's even now. I always wonder who the people are that watch conventions and actually get swayed.
 
#10
#10
TennNC said:
This is pure BS.

She might be a skin lesion away from facing Medvedev, Putin, Ahmadenijad, etc. I'd say we certainly have a right to know who she is and what she's been up to.

Ridiculous.
Click to expand...

Have you actually looked into the background of the head of your ticket....that is what is ridiculous.
 
#11
#11
TennNC said:
This is pure BS.

She might be a skin lesion away from facing Medvedev, Putin, Ahmadenijad, etc. I'd say we certainly have a right to know who she is and what she's been up to.

Ridiculous.
Click to expand...
but she's at least some malady away. The other inexperienced teleprompter reader would need to and has said he would. I'd rather have the health issue in the way.
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
#12
#12
TennNC said:
This is pure BS.

She might be a skin lesion away from facing Medvedev, Putin, Ahmadenijad, etc. I'd say we certainly have a right to know who she is and what she's been up to.

Ridiculous.
Click to expand...

You don't seem near as interested in these details concerning the D ticket. But yea, I'm all for knowing what she has been up to and who she is, the more they put that out the more people will realize how much more competent the number 2 on the R ticket is than the number 1 on the D ticket.
 
#13
#13
TennNC said:
This is pure BS.

She might be a skin lesion away from facing Medvedev, Putin, Ahmadenijad, etc. I'd say we certainly have a right to know who she is and what she's been up to.

Ridiculous.
Click to expand...

Ridiculous?

We're a poor vote turnout away from Obama facing those same evil leaders as well. Without pre-conditions of course.
 
#16
#16
Wow, only Alabama is a redder state than Tennessee? Guess that's why this board is the way it is....
 
#17
#17
At risk of people telling me I am rationalizing the numbers here, I think the fact that McCain named his VP the day after the DNC ended had an effect on the lack of a bounce for Obama.
 
#18
#18
MontereyVol said:
Wow, only Alabama is a redder state than Tennessee? Guess that's why this board is the way it is....
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Well, that actually omits 16 states. I assure you that Utah, Oklahoma, Wyoming, and Idaho are all redder than Tennessee as well.
 
#20
#20
TennNC said:
This is pure BS.

She might be a skin lesion away from facing Medvedev, Putin, Ahmadenijad, etc. I'd say we certainly have a right to know who she is and what she's been up to.

Ridiculous.
Click to expand...

so you think it's a worthwhile endeavor for your fellow "journalists" to posting "Trig Palin pregnancy timelines" (a la Vanity Fair), or demanding to see Trig's birth certificate?

These same people who told us that Obama's preacher wasn't an issue, or that William Ayers isn't an issue, or that Obama really isn't a socialist when his two biggest idealogical mentors were avowed communists?
 
#21
#21
emainvol said:
At risk of people telling me I am rationalizing the numbers here, I think the fact that McCain named his VP the day after the DNC ended had an effect on the lack of a bounce for Obama.
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which is exactly why it was a strong political move. Even if he keeps the timing the same and names a Romney type as VP to be, he wouldn't have gotten the same result.
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
#24
#24
TennNC said:
DING DING DING!

We have a winner!
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no. we have a loser. that alone should be enough to tell yo to leave the polling garbage behind.

OBTW, there is no state as red as the NE idiots are blue.
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
#25
#25
Does anyone prefer the electoral vote over popular vote? Seems that in a time were we have the technology to count votes quickly they could go with the popular vote. I know what it was meant to do by balancing the power but it seems that we also have access to so much info and there are so many people that move from state to state that the popular vote would truly make every vote count. I know that I can go wait for an hour to vote for Obama and McCain will still win Tennessee. I will still go but I would feel better knowing I made a difference. Same for Republicans in New England or California. What do others think?
 
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