A game between the two teams I follow closely (Mizzou alum) and root for is something I look forward to. But even though Ive seen most of the games both teams have played, its hard to predict how this one will play out.
Mizzou has its best team in many years, for sure. But the two best players (C. Porter and S. Cunningham) are freshmen and they have not seen the level of competition theyll be exposed to tonight.
Tenn has more talent
not really that close. But it hasnt always translated to their on-court performance.
If Tenn plays its A game or something very close to it Mizzou will be hard-pressed to keep it close. But if the Lady Vols mail it in or take their foot off the gas after they get up a dozen it could be interesting.
Missouris strength is its half-court defense. It will remind you a bit of UConns, using an example were all familiar with. They play hard and organized, both the starters and subs. And that matches up well against what has been the LVs most glaring weakness at times.
But Mizzou cant match up with Tenns quickness and theyre susceptible to the fast break. Ouch! Their passing can be sloppy and their handle is only so-so which can lead to even more fb points. And they have not faced a press remotely as good as the one Im sure theyll see tonight. Theyll also play the percentages in allowing certain players to take uncontested threes and TN could burn them there if their long-range shooting improves.
On offense, Mizzou continues to be a three-point threat. The percentages are not as good as last year, but they have more players now that can shoot them and that lets them punish a team that sags off one or more players. (As long, of course, as theyre hitting them!) A healthy Frericks and the Porter sisters give them a better inside presence this year, and Ciera Porter and Sophie Cunningham have nice mid-range jumpers. Mizzou has also rebounded well, but then we have to consider the competition level.
How the refs call this game could be BIG. Charges vs. blocks
and how physical they allow it to get down low could strongly influence the outcome. Missouris top scorers have been foul prone and they take a lot of chances on defense. On the other hand, Mizzou clogs the lane pretty well, and if DDs first couple of drives end up as offensive fouls
. But then theres that quickness factor.
Coach Pingeton and the Mizzou players are under no illusions about their success and the competitive cauldron theyre about to enter
four straight games against top SEC teams
TM, GA, SC and MSST. They know that their current #20 ranking probably wont survive. But their performance tonight might tell us a lot about whether theyre for real or not. They remember last year
they know whats coming
and they still think of themselves as underdogs. If they stay healthy and keep their chins up after whats certain to be some tough losses they can reach their goal the NCAA Tourney and a top 7 finish in the SEC.
But, hey, a few upsets along the way would be nice. Maybe starting tonight?