Earlier in the season back in Dec, I figured Candy would win because of Ky's youth and Candy's experience. Now, I don't know. The key to me will be three matchups.
1. Davis vs. Ezeli. Stokes held his own for the most part against Ezeli when he should've been a high school senior. Davis is a much better player. If Davis plays smart, and he has all year for the most part, he'll get the best of Ezeli. As a sidenote, Ezeli's knees have been bothering him again. That could be big because if he's less than 100% then Davis will have a field day. Ezeli will try to muscle Davis and push him around, but Davis' length and athleticism will give Ezeli some trouble. Even if Ezeli pushes Davis around, Davis is long enough where he can recover.
2. Kidd-Gilchrist vs. Taylor. Taylor has owned just about every matchup in SEC play. No one has been able to contain him for the most part. Kidd-Gilchrist has the athleticism to though. This year it seems as Taylor goes, Candy goes.
3. Goulbourne vs. Jones. I'm assuming this is who gets Goulbourne. He's the X-factor for Candy. He's usually really good or sometimes just exists. He's not as talented as Jones, but Jones goes MIA at times too.
The book on Candy though is to press their guards and get in Tinsley's grill. Look at all of Candy's losses in the 1st round of the tourney and you can attribute it to the other team having more athletic guards. If Ky can pressure Tinsley and disrupt their offensive flow, they'll win in my opinion. Jenkins is going to get his points. The key will be to make Tinsley uncomfortable and to win the three matchups above. Hell, they might not even have to win them, but just hold their own. I think Ky will win two of them at least and win a close game. However, I wouldn't be surprised if they lose, but if they do, it'll be their only SEC loss in my opinion.
I'm most looking forward to the Davis-Ezeli, Taylor-Kidd-Gilchrist matchups. 4 potential NBA players there.