Just about every team close to the bubble on either side has some bad losses, that's why they're on the bubble. Ole Miss had some absolutely horrendous losses last year, but still got in.
This UVA game has "Vols Win" written all over it. UVA is a fringe top 25 team, coming into TBA, and they love to play slow-down, grind-it-out ball. No one comes into TBA and slows it down or ginds it out better than Martin.
I think you guys will beat Virginia and it will be your first win over a tourney team.
You should be more worried about when the next win against a tourney team will come. Cuonzo will have to learn how to win against decent teams on the road or your next opportunity is Florida in mid February.