Harris v. Trump - Who will win poll

Who will win the electoral college?

  • Trump

    Votes: 60 68.2%

  • Harris

    Votes: 28 31.8%
  • Total voters
    88
#26
#26
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#28
#28
McDad said:
No idea who wins.

Know who loses, though.
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i-cannot-talk-about-it-without-crying-i-think-you-should-leave-with-tim-robinson.gif
 
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#32
#32
I think They made the mistake in 2016 of saying that Trump had no chance so that probably made democrats feel like they don’t need to vote. This time I think it will be Trump, but they are acting like it’s close so people vote. My opinion
 
#35
#35
Fivethirtyeight right now has the national poll at 47.9-47.0 Harris. And that’s bad for her because if the popularly contest is that close the electoral college should favor Trump. The natinsl poll has slowly been moving towards less than a 1% spread and it crossed that boundary this evening.
 
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#36
#36
85SugarVol said:
You think Kamala is gonna take NC, GA, & NV?

I don’t see that happening.
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Harris 308 is the most likely map when I ran my data, but Trump 297 was only a few points behind.

It’s all about the gender gaps, especially in the suburbs. A lot of news-cycle narratives from both sides are just plain wrong and the polling has never been less useful.
 
#37
#37
volgr said:
Trump wins relatively easily and makes a run at the popular vote. Disclaimer, prediction based on no large scale shenanigans like 2020.
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EC is possible. No way in hell does Trump come close on popular vote.
 
#38
#38
evillawyer said:
EC is possible. No way in hell does Trump come close on popular vote.
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EC is probable at this point and popular is possible. You dont have the turnout problems Dems are having and easily win the popular. If election day matches early voting for Trump, he has a decent shot at it.
 
#39
#39
Rifleman said:
Harris 308 is the most likely map when I ran my data, but Trump 297 was only a few points behind.

It’s all about the gender gaps, especially in the suburbs. A lot of news-cycle narratives from both sides are just plain wrong and the polling has never been less useful.
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So you’ve got Kamala winning Georgia, and North Carolina, and Nevada because if gender gaps in the suburbs.

I guess we’ll see.
 
#40
#40
evillawyer said:
EC is possible. No way in hell does Trump come close on popular vote.
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volgr said:
EC is probable at this point and popular is possible. You dont have the turnout problems Dems are having and easily win the popular. If election day matches early voting for Trump, he has a decent shot at it.
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Trump has almost no chance at popular vote. His hard ceiling is around 47.5. When his people vote doesn’t change that. Getting Harris under 50 and hitting his turnout is how he wins the Electoral College.
 
#42
#42
Orangeslice13 said:
I don’t care who wins. I’m pulling for the opposition party taking the senate and the president gets the house.

Let’s go gridlock!!
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Other than FDR, JFK, or Lincoln rising up from their graves is anyone going to be a true winner in this election.

How long before we have a decent option.

My vote, 'because that guy is toxic cesspool of human emotion, behavior, a true sociopath. Hell bent on furtherance of own ego. He cannot devour enough attention, or back patting. His pathetic desire for power unquenched, like Galactus sucking life from World, so he drains energy from everything until there is no light,' shouldnt be. Makingna choice vote for 'the other person' because you dont like someone is sad.

Yet here we are, reliving 2016, and 2020.
 
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#43
#43
Jackcrevol said:
Other than FDR, JFK, or Lincoln rising up from their graves is anyone going to be a true winner in this election.

How long before we have a decent option.

My vote, 'because that guy is toxic cesspool of human emotion, behavior, a true sociopath. Hell bent on furtherance of own ego. He cannot devour enough attention, or back patting. His pathetic desire for power unquenched, like Galactus sucking life from World, so he drains energy from everything until there is no light,' shouldnt be. Makingna choice vote for 'the other person' because you dont like someone is sad.

Yet here we are, reliving 2016, and 2020.
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FDR and Lincoln wouldn't be an improvement over the two running this time.
 
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#44
#44
I think that Harris wins, unfortunately. Trump had been doing a wonderful job staying out of the spotlight post-debate and making gains accordingly, but instead of finding a way to either continue laying low or coming up with some pithy unity/common good message the last ten days have been nothing but alienating those not firmly in Trump's camp.

In isolation, 1-6/Roe/MSG/his attitude would have been nothing and Trump could have easily prevailed due to economic perceptions. Combined, though, I just don't see how Trump can pull this one out but I would love to be wrong.
 
#45
#45
Jackcrevol said:
Other than FDR, JFK, or Lincoln rising up from their graves is anyone going to be a true winner in this election.

How long before we have a decent option.

My vote, 'because that guy is toxic cesspool of human emotion, behavior, a true sociopath. Hell bent on furtherance of own ego. He cannot devour enough attention, or back patting. His pathetic desire for power unquenched, like Galactus sucking life from World, so he drains energy from everything until there is no light,' shouldnt be. Makingna choice vote for 'the other person' because you dont like someone is sad.

Yet here we are, reliving 2016, and 2020.
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FDR? Jesus Christ, man - put down the pipe.
JFK & Lincoln?

How about Eisenhower.
 
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#46
#46
Rifleman said:
Trump has almost no chance at popular vote. His hard ceiling is around 47.5. When his people vote doesn’t change that. Getting Harris under 50 and hitting his turnout is how he wins the Electoral College.
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RCP average (National) is 48.5 Trump; 48.4 Harris.

Popular is within the realm of possibility.

Including the closeness of the national polling data, Trump is doing better in states like Virginia, and several eastern seaboard blue states.

Odds are against it but it's not as crazy as it may seem at first blush.
 
#47
#47
volfanhill said:
I just wish so many, for so many reasons got this, it's not changing much of anything
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The sole reasons I want Trump to win is because of her tax and price controls policies, which will have consequences for many years into the future.

Aside from that, I agree it won't change much of anything.
 
#50
#50
I have always thought Harris would win, so I will stick with that.

However, if the reason Republican turnout is so relatively high is because of a lack of turnout in urban areas and among women, as I have recently read, then Trump wins easily.

In any event, regardless of who wins the electoral votes, I still don't see them letting Trump be president for the next 4 years.
 
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