WVU, L'vill, Pitt and Rutgers all play each other, and i have a feeling that neither L'ville or WVU will be undefeated at the end of the season.
the OSU/Mich winner (so long as neither lose before their game) is a lock in the NT game.
and if Cal keeps getting this much love, if they should beat USC, i could see where Cal could get the other spot in the NT game.
TX isn't out of it, but their sos will keep them out in all liklihood, and they should win the big 12...big game with Neb. this weekend, which is the only game left on their schedule that could even be considered loseable.
Aub, FL and TN may still have a shot at it, but both would need some help. If Auburn and FL re match and the both have one loss in the SEC CG...i could see where the winner could wind up in the NT game. Also, if TN somehow got in the SEC CG and beat a one loss Auburn team, likely in the top 3 or 4, and depending on what happens with some other teams, TN could wind up in the NT game as well...
but for any SEC team to get in now, a lot probably has to happen.... you need TX to lose before the Big 12 title game. it would be beneficial if Mich and/or OSU lose before they play each other, but not necessary. YOu need USC to lose for sure and Cal to probably lose before they play USC. And you need WVU/L'vill to lose before they play each other...
in the end, i have a feeling if Cal wins out, and wins the Pac 10, that win over USC would trump the loss to TN and they at 11-1 and conf. champs with a win over USC would be better than an 11-1 TN team that didn't win the SEC....i don't like it, but i think that's what would happen.
if at the end, everything plays out like it should....
FL/Auburn rematch in SEC CG
OSU/MICH winner remains undefeated
WVU/L'vill winner remains undefeated
TX wins the Big 12 with one loss
USC beats ND
CAl Beats USC--if USC is wins out, they will play for the NT, obviously.
then......
i see WVU/L'ville winner playing the Mich/OSU winner for the NT. Then as far as BCS berths go....TN, Cal, loser of Mich/OSU are all likely to get an at large bid.
5 games, 10 teams:
WVU/L'ville vs. Mich/OSU
TX big 12 champ
Clemson/GT ACC Champ
FL/Auburn SEC champ
Cal Pac 10 champ
ND at large
TN at large
Mich/OSU loser at large
USC at large
*Boise St could get in to the Fiesta bowl if they are undefeated in the end....and take a spot from any one of the at large teams.
And this is all as of today....with the 2nd half of the season to go, a lot can still happen. this will be a lot more fun, should we keep winning, in about 3 weeks....