You're not as realistic as you think you are. It's year one after a coaching change. Literally ANYTHING is possible; both good and bad. Remember Kiffin beating SC and UGA but losing to UCLA and Auburn? Remember Dooley nearly beating NC, LSU and Bama? Expect inconsistency and just hope for more good than bad.
This.
I find myself having to reign in my enthusiasm a lot more lately, however. Mostly because some of the players I'm most excited to see suit up in Orange and White haven't even played the first game of their senior year in high school yet...
However, the job that CBJ has done so far, without even coaching a fall practice, leads my mind to wonder...did we finally get "the guy?"
I'm constantly having to remind myself that this is still the team that's comprised of players who contributed to the worst D in the history of the program and the first to have 3 losing seasons in a row. True, coaching had A METRIC TON to do with that; especially when you consider how improved the D was from year one to year two, under Wilcox.
And while the lion's share of blame goes to the
FAILED (that word cannot be emphasized enough) transition to a 3-4, Dooley and Sunseri--the players share at least some responsibility, albeit just a little (especially when you consider the DC did very little to teach/instruct the players).
The true test for CBJ, Jancek, Martinez, etc, IMO, will be the mental reps for the guys on D. How do they respond to adversity? How well and how fast do they learn their assignments? Do they stick to fundamentals or freelance, like so many did last year? So on and so forth...
All that said...if we lose to WKU, I fear it'll be another losing season on the Hill. I don't care if Jack Harbaugh is HC and both his son's are OC & DC, there's no reason why UT should lose that game. I'm sure they'll be well coached, but we're far superior athletically and depth-wise. I won't be surprised by a close game, going into the 3rd qtr, but if we're not up by at least 14-17pts by the start of the 4th qtr, I'll be surprised.
Oregon will be a test of endurance and mentality, nothing more. It would truly take a Jim Valvano-esque coaching job to keep it close. We're just not there, depth-wise, athletically, or fundamentally to be able to compete with a top 5 team that can run with anybody. Expect a similar result from two years ago.
If the stars align and the players "buy-in," one of these games could conceivably be won:
10/5 - UGA
10/19 - USCe
...with the swing-games being:
11/2 - @ Mizzou
11/9 - AU
11/23 - VU
We have to win 2 of 3, minimum, of the swing-games if we want to go bowling, IMO. Looking at the schedule, it's very possible for at least that...but sprinkle in some magic from CBJ and who knows...either way, I haven't anticipated a season like this since '09.
I'm not looking for miracles just improvement from the cluster**** that was the last three years...that's not asking for much. (sorry for the novel, it's a slow day at work)