Kentucky has played better than some of the scores suggest because of their horrible turnover margins this year. They haven't recovered a fumble and only have 2 INTs. Meanwhile, they've lost 6 fumbles and thrown 5 picks.
That puts them 129th in the country out of 130 teams, but they are 4-0 despite all that.
If they can stop giving away the football, then they have a far better statistical chance than most Kentucky teams have had against Florida.
And Florida happens to be 108th in turnover margin so this thing could get wacky quick.