1. Find major bookie payrolls in Las Vegas
2. Look at the top
3. Those people make the best predictions.
FYI the same goes for any sport.
Exactly. Their only concern is protecting their 10 percent against missteps in the setting of the initial line.Predictions for what? Bookie predictions are for where the money is going to go, not for who is going to win. The opening lines are predicting the predictions of the bettors.
I didn't even realize there were that many people that thought the SEC as a whole got screwed. I don't know how you can make a logical argument for Auburn or USCe or Florida to be in the tourney. I did, however, expect Tennessee to be higher than a 9. The problem was that in my opinion, Oklahoma State should have been higher than an 8 as well, so we wouldn't get much of a chance to show that we were slightly underrated. We wouldn't have gone far either way, though.
Another good one:
Rupp Rafters - Basketball Forum
Who will coach the cats in the 09-10 season?
36 Votes
Billy Gillsipie 36.11%
Rick Pitino 2.78%
Billy Donovan 41.67%
John Calipari 19.44%
Rick Barnes 0.00%
Bill Self 0.00%
I'm sure these guys would crawl to Lexington. lol: