Just saw updated SEC bracket..

#51
#51
I don't think it matters who they play. One of these years the law of averages are going to work out in Tennessee's favor and they're not going to stink up the SEC tournament.
 
#53
#53
Projected seeding:
1 Florida (18-0)
2 Kentucky (12-6)
3 Tennessee (11-7)
4 Arkansas (11-7)
5 Georgia (11-7)
6 LSU (10-8)
7 Texas A&M (9-9)
8 Missouri (9-9)
9 Mississippi (9-9)
10 Vanderbilt (7-11)
11 Alabama (6-12)
12 Auburn (5-13)
13 S Carolina (5-13)
14 Miss State (4-14)
 
#54
#54
Arkansas looks like they're in great shape. Their biggest hurdle is tomrorrow at Bama who they should beat. Their first matchup in the SECT would be Georgia who they should beat before facing Florida. A loss to Florida at that point likely wouldn't knock them out of the NCAAT. I think it might take upsetting UK to jump them on the bubble.

Mizzou on the otherhand... dogs to us tomorrow. A loss would put them on life support. They might pick up 1 meaningless win in the SECT before facing Florida who they would need to beat to get back on the bubble. I think they're toast.
 
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#55
#55
golfballs said:
Arkansas looks like they're in great shape. Their biggest hurdle is tomrorrow at Bama who they should beat. Their first matchup in the SECT would be Georgia who they should beat before facing Florida. A loss to Florida at that point likely wouldn't knock them out of the NCAAT. I think it might take upsetting UK to jump them on the bubble.

Mizzou on the otherhand... dogs to us tomorrow. A loss would put them on life support. They might pick up 1 meaningless win in the SECT before facing Florida who they would need to beat to get back on the bubble. I think they're toast.
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If we handle Mizzou tomorrow and win 1 game in the SECT then we should be set. The worst thing for us right now is to beat Mizzou and have Georgia beat LSU. If we lose to Mizzou then we are likely the 6 seed which is also not a bad place to be... The question is....Are we definitely NIT bound with a loss tomorrow or would 3 wins in the SECT get us back in?
 
#56
#56
volforlife44 said:
If we handle Mizzou tomorrow and win 1 game in the SECT then we should be set. The worst thing for us right now is to beat Mizzou and have Georgia beat LSU. If we lose to Mizzou then we are likely the 6 seed which is also not a bad place to be... The question is....Are we definitely NIT bound with a loss tomorrow or would 2 wins in the SECT get us back in?
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If we lose tomorrow:

We'd have 10 wins and be tied with Mizzou and likely LSU. Our record against them would be 1-2, Mizzou 2-1, LSU 1-1. That would make us the 7 seed and face UK in the quarterfinals.

If UGA beats LSU and Arkansas wins, we would get the 6 seed, and play Georgia the quarters.

If Arkansas loses, and UGA wins, we would jump up to the 4 seed. If Arkansas loses and LSU wins, we would be the 5 seed.
 
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#57
#57
golfballs said:
If we lose tomorrow:

We'd have 10 wins and be tied with Mizzou and likely LSU. We would own the tie-break over them, so we would get the 5 seed. At which point we'd probably get UGA in the Quarterfinals.

If UGA beats LSU and Arkansas wins, we would still have the 5, but would likely play Arkansas in the quarters.

If Arkansas loses, regardless of what LSU and UGA do, we would jump up to the 4 seed.

We would need to beat Florida anyway to gat back on the bubble, so at least we'd be on their side of the bracket in any of these scenarios.
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How would we own the tiebreaker over Mizzou if we lost to them twice?
 
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#58
#58
So we win tomorrow and we get either Georgia or Arkansas, right? And we would be either the 3 or 4 seed, right?
 
#59
#59
bleedingTNorange said:
So we win tomorrow and we get either Georgia or Arkansas, right? And we would be either the 3 or 4 seed, right?
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Based on Golfballs Seeding above, The winner of the 11 VS 14 (AL vs MSST) would play the 6th seed (LSU) and UT would play the winner of that one. That is indeed if UT ends up the 3 seed by UT beating Mizz and Georgia losing at LSU.
 
#60
#60
InVOLuntary said:
Based on Golfballs Seeding above, The winner of the 11 VS 14 (AL vs MSST) would play the 6th seed (LSU) and UT would play the winner of that one. That is indeed if UT ends up the 3 seed by UT beating Mizz and Georgia losing at LSU.
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Gotcha. Too many possibilities left, I'll wait til tomorrow lol
 
#62
#62
golfballs said:
Sorry... you're right. I was thinking LSU
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No Worries... It honestly won't be the worst thing if we lose tomorrow because we would be the 6 seed and have a good chance to win 3 straight games in the SECT. I am just wondering if that would get us back in the tourney...
 
#63
#63
volforlife44 said:
No Worries... It honestly won't be the worst thing if we lose tomorrow because we would be the 6 seed and have a good chance to win 3 straight games in the SECT. I am just wondering if that would get us back in the tourney...
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Would be crap team game 1, Georgia or Ark game 2, UK game 3. Would get us in IMO.
 
#64
#64
Best I can figure out, I think these are the possible outcomes for Saturday. I didn't bother to go through and figure out who we would play in all the scenarios where we lose Saturday.

Obviously, Ark and LSU would have to win there first games in the tournament for us to play them, but I went ahead and assumed they do.
 

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#65
#65
cherd1 said:
Best I can figure out, I think these are the possible outcomes for Saturday. I didn't bother to go through and figure out who we would play in all the scenarios where we lose Saturday.

Obviously, Ark and LSU would have to win there first games in the tournament for us to play them, but I went ahead and assumed they do.

The first scenarios where we lose, we might end up 6th. Mizzou wins the three way tiebreaker, LSU has the second best record against the three teams, and we are last. If you go to head-to-head after Mizzou wins the first tie breaker, we are 6th and LSU is 7th since we beat them. I can't really tell how the tiebreaker works in that case.
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Here's what I got:

Missouri, Arkansas, UGA WIN:
3. Georgia (12-6)
4. Arkansas (11-7)
5. Missouri (10-8, tiebreaker vs. Tennessee)
6. Tennessee (10-8)

Missouri, Arkansas, LSU WIN:
3. Arkansas (11-7, beat UK)
4. Georgia (11-7)
5. Missouri (10-8, best W% among all teams tied)
6. LSU (10-8, second-best W% among all teams tied)
7. Tennessee (10-8, third-best W% among all teams tied)

Missouri, Alabama, UGA WIN:
3. Georgia (12-7)
4. Missouri (10-8, best W% among all teams tied)
5. Tennessee (10-8, second-best W% among tied teams)
6. Arkansas (10-8, third-best W% among tied teams)

Missouri, Alabama, LSU WIN:
3. Georgia (11-7)
4. Missouri (10-8, best W% among all teams tied)
5. Tennessee (10-8, second-best W% among all teams tied, beats LSU head-to-head)
6. LSU (10-8, second-best W% among all teams tied)
7. Arkansas (10-8, worst W% among all teams tied)
 
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#66
#66
golfballs said:
Here's what I got:

Arkansas, Missouri, UGA WIN:
3. Georgia (12-6)
4. Arkansas (11-7)
5. Missouri (10-8, tiebreaker vs. Tennessee)
6. Tennessee (10-8)

Arkansas, Missouri, LSU WIN:
3. Arkansas (11-7, beat UK)
4. Georgia (11-7)
5. Missouri (10-8, best W% among all teams tied)
6. LSU (10-8, second-best W% among all teams tied)
7. Tennessee (10-8, third-best W% among all teams tied)

Alabama, Missouri, UGA WIN:
3. Georgia (12-7)
4. Missouri (10-8, best W% among all teams tied)
5. Tennessee (10-8, second-best W% among tied teams)
6. Arkansas (10-8, third-best W% among tied teams)

Alabama, Missouri, LSU WIN:
3. Georgia (11-7)
4. Missouri (10-8, best W% among all teams tied)
5. Tennessee (10-8, second-best W% among all teams tied, beats LSU head-to-head)
6. LSU (10-8, second-best W% among all teams tied)
7. Arkansas (10-8, worst W% among all teams tied)
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Looks like that matches what I got pretty well. Hopefully we just take care of business Saturday and none of these matter anyway.
 
#67
#67
cherd1 said:
Looks like that matches what I got pretty well. Hopefully we just take care of business Saturday and none of these matter anyway.
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Yeah. So if we lose, we will most likely be a 7 seed. Would beating UK and Arkansas be enough to get back in the tournament at that point?
 
#69
#69
golfballs said:
Yeah. So if we lose, we will most likely be a 7 seed. Would beating UK and Arkansas be enough to get back in the tournament at that point?
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If we lose Saturday, I would not feel good about it at all. Think we would need to win the entire thing. Beating both would make it interesting though. With how Mizzou has been playing since we played them a few weeks ago, a loss at home to them would look pretty bad.
 
#73
#73
So if lsu wins we get the 3 and likely play them as the 6

If uga wins we get the 4th and likely play Arkansas as the 5, right?

come on LSU!!
 
#74
#74
golfballs said:
So if lsu wins we get the 3 and likely play them as the 6

If uga wins we get the 4th and likely play Arkansas as the 5, right?

come on LSU!!
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Yeah, that'll suck. That might be an elimination game. UGA is up 12 as I type with 13:43 to play.
 
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