1) Our line play on both sides of the ball has to be strong. Our OL and our DL have to impose themselves on bama--which in practice means that we have to run the ball well and stop the run. That is usually the key against bama and will be especially so this week. They are mostly a power running team--and our strength is running the ball. Running the ball/stopping the run--who is the most physical team: that's where the game will be decided.
2) First down is crucial. More particularly, our offense has to be productivity on first down--which means making at least four yards. We'll have to throw the ball on first and complete some passes to keep the pink elephants off balance, so they are not playing the run every first down. If they are stuffing our first-down runs, it will be a long afternoon. Equally, we have to keep bama from making more than 5 yards on first down. First down is HUGE in football.
3) TOs: We need to get at least two turnovers in this game, and maybe three.
There is your recipe for victory.