I agree.
Again, agree. It just doesn't take a completely rebuilt program to develop a habit of beating the teams you have a talent advantage over. Daj says there are 8 on UT's schedule this fall. Even accounting for the experience factor, there are six reasonably winnable games on the schedule this fall. I do not think it is asking too much of a coach to win 95% plus of the contests in which he has the better roster. Yes, injuries will occur... but they will happen to Vandy, Mizzou, USCe, and Ole Miss as well. None of those teams are in any better position to lose critical players than UT.
No. It simply doesn't. It will likely happen within 2 years if you have the right guy. Just in the last few years Malzahn, Sumlin, Freeze, Kelly, USU's previous coach, and others have done it almost immediately. NONE of them needed to rotate players out.
Again, I agree. But that isn't something you wait 5 years to evaluate. Like with any other improvement cycle in any type of activity, you look for him to achieve reasonable benchmarks along the way that point to the potential of becoming great. It is pure futility to "hope" you have a guy who will one day prove himself to be elite or great then accept that he only "meet" minimum expectations until some magical future moment.
By saying 5 wins is acceptable this fall, folks are saying that it is fine if he only beats teams he should beat while losing to one team that has less talent.
I am NOT saying he's hopeless or should be fired if he only gets 5 wins this fall. I AM saying that he needs to do something dramatically better in year 3 if he only wins 5 this fall or else there should be VERY serious doubts about whether he's the guy to resurrect the program.
If we are looking for a more smooth curve then 6-8 is what he needs this fall followed up by around 10 (possibly including a bowl) in '15. That expectation is a function both of expecting improvement and a somewhat lighter schedule.