Latest Gallup Poll

#1
Arclight

Arclight

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May 23, 2005
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#1
GALLUP SHOCK: 49 OBAMA, 47 MCCAIN WITH LIKELY VOTERS

This is still a horse race. Do not believe the drive-by media polls.

 
#7
#7
Arclight said:
Correct, just came up and is developing. I remember the Dems saying they had it all wrapped up when Reagan and both Bushes ran. Typical.
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this is very different IMO. A weak candidate paddling uphill against some very tough economic news. Helps that the opponent is a total sham, but the economy makes and breaks candidates. Gore was one of the few too stupid to take advantage.
 
#8
#8
Arclight said:
GALLUP SHOCK: 49 OBAMA, 47 MCCAIN WITH LIKELY VOTERS

This is still a horse race. Do not believe the drive-by media polls.

Click to expand...

With likely voters, it has been close all along....but that is not what the media reports
 
#10
#10
The liberal media's strategy is very simple. Convince everyon Obama has won. Then hope potential McCain voters stay home instead of voting for a "lost cause".
 
#11
#11
BigPapaVol said:
I don't think it's that close.
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I just have to hold on to the idea that the average American might say he/she supports BHO, but in the privacy of the booth, will not pull the lever for someone they have doubts about...call me naive, but I have to "cling" to that thought
 
#14
#14
SavageOrangeJug said:
The liberal media's strategy is very simple. Convince everyon Obama has won. Then hope potential McCain voters stay home instead of voting for a "lost cause".
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Correct! They've done it since Reagan ran. A typical Dem/Lib ploy.

Also, just heard OB' is hurting in Pa.
 
#15
#15
T-TownVol said:
I just have to hold on to the idea that the average American might say he/she supports BHO, but in the privacy of the booth, will not pull the lever for someone they have doubts about...call me naive, but I have to "cling" to that thought
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that's the clean version of the idea that America is littered with rednecks.
 
#17
#17
Arclight said:
Correct! They've done it since Reagan ran. A typical Dem/Lib ploy.

Also, just heard OB' is hurting in Pa.
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If you call being up double digits hurting.

I am not way suggesting this race is over, but McCain needs something major in the next 2 and a half weeks.
 
#19
#19
I learned something interesting about polls a couple days ago. A guy from Zogby was on the radio and he said that they try to mimic the political makeup of the US. So instead of calling a predetermined number of registered voters/likely voters (regardless of political affiliation) they try to match the people they report on to the US’s political breakdown. For instance they will include around 36% Democrats, 27% Republicans and the rest will be independents. I never realized they did it that way. At least that’s the way Zogby does it. I’m not sure if any of the others do the same.

By the way, here's a link to Gallup:

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
 
#21
#21
dead cat bounce? probably. but the race will probably tighten in next few weeks. it always does. don't give up!
 
#25
#25
emainvol said:
I know what you are getting at, but I think it is more a case of cherry-picking results.
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I know for sure that you guys have some serious reservations about these poll results. Nobody wants to discuss it, but there is a very likely problem built in.
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