Let's go through the national championship scenarios again

#1
govols120

govols120

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#1
Just to update it after Clemson/KSU losses.

The projected rankings (only ranking in question is if Boise will be 4th or 5th):

1. LSU
2. Bama
3. OKST
4. Boise
5. Stanford

LSU's remaining schedule: @Bama, WKU, @Ole Miss, Arky, SEC Championship vs. ???
Bama's remaining schedule: LSU, @MSU, Georgia Southern, @Auburn, SEC Championship vs. ???
OKST's remaining schedule: KSU, @Texas Tech, @Iowa St, bye week, Oklahoma
Boise's remaining schedule: @UNLV, TCU, @SDSU, Wyoming, UNM
Stanford's remaining schedule: @Oregon St, Oregon, Cal, Notre Dame

-Boise still has far and away the best shot at an undefeated season, as was expected.
-Obviously, the LSU/Alabama winner all but locks up a national title slot unless something goes horribly wrong in the SECCG.
-OKST's only potential loss is Oklahoma, and Landry Jones can't take 30 minutes to start throwing well against the Cowboys or OU will be digging themselves out of a two-TD hole.
-Stanford/Oregon is a complete tossup. Stanford's D was a huge disappointment against USC and Oregon is a complete machine when they want to be. Should be a great game.

Right now, the smart money is probably on an Oklahoma State/LSU or Bama title game. As we've seen these past couple Saturdays, though, anything can happen.

Thoughts?
 
#2
#2
I think OSU does lose, which would make Stanford-Oregon huge. Just a feeling though.
 
#3
#3
VKAman said:
I think OSU does lose, which would make Stanford-Oregon huge. Just a feeling though.
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Definitely would. If Oregon and OU both win, Boise's probably in the title game and I'm not sure you could make an argument against it considering there would only be one Big Six unbeaten.
 
#4
#4
The best regular season game left is probably Bama vs. LSU. Stanford/Oregon is a good match up but not as good as Bama/LSU. The Cowboys/Sooners will be good too. If Oklahoma St, Boise St or Stanford remain unbeaten I think Oklahoma St deserves at shot at the Natiional Championship game.
 
#5
#5
Ok. St. would probably jump the Bama/LSU loser but their remaining schedule is tough. A one lose SEC team if Bama/LSU is close is possible to jump Boise St. Sanford is going to lose and is probably a step ahead of Boise if they the finish out, but I think they lose to Oregon.

My best guess right now.

Bama/LSU v. Boise St.

I think Bama is going have a pretty hard time jumping if they lose on Saturday at home, LSU could if it's close lose. Just my take.
 
#6
#6
Don't forget that Stanford will have to play in the PAC-12 Championship Game: a possible rematch with USC.

It is looking like it will be Bama and BSU; I am sure that Bama's outing against Utah is still fresh. I see Bama winning that match-up by three touchdowns (hopefully, that will finally take the wind out of the Boise sails).
 
#7
#7
therealUT said:
Don't forget that Stanford will have to play in the PAC-12 Championship Game: a possible rematch with USC.

It is looking like it will be Bama and BSU; I am sure that Bama's outing against Utah is still fresh. I see Bama winning that match-up by three touchdowns (hopefully, that will finally take the wind out of the Boise sails).
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USC can't play in the PAC 12 championship until next year.

I think it'll be Bama/LSU vs Boise State.
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#10
#10
I think Boise could play Bama/LSU a pretty good game, but they'd probably lose by 7-10 in the end. Alabama and LSU are just way too good this year. I'm as big of a proponent of Boise going to the NC as anyone, but if they made it I'd probably get that same feeling I got before the Butler/Duke NC of feeling like the team I'd kill to see win is probably about to lose by 15-20. Of course, it didn't end up like that, but I can't really get around that thought.
 
#11
#11
Probably won't happen, but imagine if Boise actually beat Bama or LSU. That would be a complete mess, and a lot of people would look like utter fools.
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#12
#12
UTCVol said:
Probably won't happen, but imagine if Boise actually beat Bama or LSU. That would be a complete mess, and a lot of people would look like utter fools.
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When Boise attempts to join a power conference and is denied, then I will show respect to Boise. Purposefully evading the PAC-10 expansion and BigXII realignment does not garner respect for a team that complains about not being taken seriously.
 
#13
#13
therealUT said:
When Boise attempts to join a power conference and is denied, then I will show respect to Boise. Purposefully evading the PAC-10 expansion and BigXII realignment does not garner respect for a team that complains about not being taken seriously.
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What proof do you have that they purposely avoided a Pac 12 or Big 12 invite?
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#15
#15
therealUT said:
I thought they were only barred from a bowl game; good to know, though.
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They are but as such they're barred from the conference championship game (partially b/c winner is awarded a BCS bowl bid)
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#16
#16
That Stanford team will probably lose a game. Boise will be setting there, don't know if they'd take them or not. There probably would have to be no one else left unbeaten. OSU has a shot, but a huge roadblock in Oklahoma. That one will be interesting. They might have to take Boise just because of that very thing. Interesting matchup for maybe a half.
 
#17
#17
VolsSportsFan said:
What proof do you have that they purposely avoided a Pac 12 or Big 12 invite?
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I don't; I have reasons to believe, but I do not have proof. I do know that both the Big XII and the PAC-10 spoke with representatives from Boise St. about joining each respective conference; however, I have no idea what the sticking points were.
 
#18
#18
That Boise does not have a sizable fanbase, following or TV presence, they're in a crappy podunk BFN town, are non-competitive in most other sports and academically pale in comparison to even ASU or OSU to boot.
 
#19
#19
therealUT said:
I don't; I have reasons to believe, but I do not have proof. I do know that both the Big XII and the PAC-10 spoke with representatives from Boise St. about joining each respective conference; however, I have no idea what the sticking points were.
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So you just made crap up then.
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#20
#20
What if TCU beats Boise, and Stanford and Ok State go down. Will it be an LSU/Bama rematch?
 
#21
#21
TCU isn't beating Boise unless Boise's offense has a horrible game. TCU just isn't anywhere close to their 2010 level.

Also: it's possible for a rematch to happen, but by that time the voters probably go back to 2007 logic and whoever loses last is up a creek without a paddle. If all of this did happen, LSU/Bama winner vs. Oklahoma or Oregon would be a lot more likely.
 
#22
#22
VolsSportsFan said:
So you just made crap up then.
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Not at all. I made an inference. It is public knowledge the PAC-10 was in talks with Boise. Then, Boise chose to leave the WAC for the Mountain West in June 2010; the PAC-10 invited Colorado in July 2010. I believe that while Boise wanted out of the WAC, they did not want to step into a conference where they would have to consistently prove their football credentials.
 
#23
#23
vols-1 said:
What if TCU beats Boise, and Stanford and Ok State go down. Will it be an LSU/Bama rematch?
Click to expand...

I think you might see Oregon jump back in it. Oklahoma's one loss would be much worse than Oregon's, plus the Ducks would presumably have wins over Stanford, USC and ASU twice -- four quality wins to OU's two.
 
#24
#24
govols120 said:
TCU isn't beating Boise unless Boise's offense has a horrible game. TCU just isn't anywhere close to their 2010 level.

Also: it's possible for a rematch to happen, but by that time the voters probably go back to 2007 logic and whoever loses last is up a creek without a paddle. If all of this did happen, LSU/Bama winner vs. Oklahoma or Oregon would be a lot more likely.
Click to expand...

LSU/Oregon would also be a rematch. And I'm not sold on GA yet, they seem to be winning ugly against very average teams.
 
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