Next 11 games

#26
#26
Since Mempiss bailed does that make LSU at home the difference between top 20 or 40? Or other?
 
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#27
#27
TheMookieMonster said:
Just means we have to take advantage of the back half of the schedule this time.
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Yup…why Ole Miss game was big, and South Carolina will be too, nobody “expected” Tennessee to win @bama, @lsu or will @UK (winning one would be nice), but you can’t lose those and then drop one of the easier ones at home.
 
#29
#29
So since Memphis is cancelled it becomes a 10 game run.
We are 2-2 so far, AZ and Ole Ms, wins LSU and Bama losses.
Should be wins left in the run: SCAR, Vandy Florida
Likely losses: @UK, @TX
Toss ups: LSU at home
I will give us a win over Memphis because F Penny.
So 7-4 best case scenario if we beat LSU
6-5 with a loss.
Let's be positive and say 7-4.
That would put us 4-3 in conference up to that point.
Lets say down the stretch the Vols lose 2 more conference games. Barnes gets his usual whooping from Papa Bruce and we drop one more random game on the road.
That would put us at 13-5 and a 4 seed in Nashville based on the last full season of basketball played in 2019.
That would be about a 6 seed overall in the AA. Thats just not good enough with this roster.
 
#30
#30
mr.checkerboards said:
So since Memphis is cancelled it becomes a 10 game run.
We are 2-2 so far, AZ and Ole Ms, wins LSU and Bama losses.
Should be wins left in the run: SCAR, Vandy Florida
Likely losses: @UK, @TX
Toss ups: LSU at home
I will give us a win over Memphis because F Penny.
So 7-4 best case scenario if we beat LSU
6-5 with a loss.
Let's be positive and say 7-4.
That would put us 4-3 in conference up to that point.
Lets say down the stretch the Vols lose 2 more conference games. Barnes gets his usual whooping from Papa Bruce and we drop one more random game on the road.
That would put us at 13-5 and a 4 seed in Nashville based on the last full season of basketball played in 2019.
That would be about a 6 seed overall in the AA. Thats just not good enough with this roster.
Click to expand...
22-8(13-5) with that SOS isn’t getting a 6 seed in the NCAAT, also 13-5 in SEC is much closer to being a 2 seed last 5 years than a 4 seed in Nashville.
 
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#31
#31
bleedingTNorange said:
22-8(13-5) with that SOS isn’t getting a 6 seed in the NCAAT, also 13-5 in SEC is much closer to being a 2 seed last 5 years than a 4 seed in Nashville.
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I was basing it off 2019 since I couldnt remeber all of 2020. I know tournaments got PPD in March, but I also remember the COVID talk starting in Jan, Feb I couldnt remeber how much it affected that season.
My basis of a 6 is off Lunardi's current projections. Last I had seen he had dropped us off the 4 line. His projections usually have teams a line or two higher than the committee does.
 
#32
#32
bleedingTNorange said:
22-8(13-5) with that SOS isn’t getting a 6 seed in the NCAAT, also 13-5 in SEC is much closer to being a 2 seed last 5 years than a 4 seed in Nashville.
Click to expand...
A much stronger SEC pretty much suggests the 6 and 4 projection. There are at least 4 teams that COULD finish ahead of us.
 
#33
#33
mr.checkerboards said:
I was basing it off 2019 since I couldnt remeber all of 2020. I know tournaments got PPD in March, but I also remember the COVID talk starting in Jan, Feb I couldnt remeber how much it affected that season.
My basis of a 6 is off Lunardi's current projections. Last I had seen he had dropped us off the 4 line. His projections usually have teams a line or two higher than the committee does.
Click to expand...
13-5 would be…
2021: 2
2020: 2
2019: 4
2018: 1
2017: 3

So average 2.4 finish.

If every team is a line or 2 higher where are the rest of the teams located? That doesn’t even make sense.

22-9(13-5) with our NET ranking would have us as 4 seed or better.
 
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#34
#34
calban said:
A much stronger SEC pretty much suggests the 6 and 4 projection. There are at least 4 teams that COULD finish ahead of us.
Click to expand...
I think the league will beat itself up…Florida with 2 losses already, Arkansas with 3, those teams will both beat some teams at the top before it’s said and done. 13-5 would be a really solid finish in this league.
 
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#35
#35
bleedingTNorange said:
13-5 would be…
2021: 2
2020: 2
2019: 4
2018: 1
2017: 3

So average 2.4 finish.

If every team is a line or 2 higher where are the rest of the teams located? That doesn’t even make sense.

22-9(13-5) with our NET ranking would have us as 4 seed or better.
Click to expand...
Bama
Aubun
LSU
UK/TN
 
#39
#39
bleedingTNorange said:
Not sure what that has to do with anything? Was saying 13-5 doesn’t typically get you 4th, and even if it did and put us at 22-9(13-5) it definitely wouldn’t be a 6 seed.
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Wasnt sure if you were talking AA or SEC.
That would be the rankings i think the SEC finishes.
If TN finishes at 13-5 and those 4 teams finish with a better record they arent jamming all those SEC teams on high seeds.
 
#40
#40
mr.checkerboards said:
Wasnt sure if you were talking AA or SEC.
That would be the rankings i think the SEC finishes.
If TN finishes at 13-5 and those 4 teams finish with a better record they arent jamming all those SEC teams on high seeds.
Click to expand...
Big 10 literally had 5 teams on Top 4 seed lines just last year, they don’t limit it by conference.
 
#43
#43
We are currently 10-4(1-2), let’s say goal is 21-9(12-6/11-7) depending on Texas outcome…so have 16 games left and looking to go 11-5 or better…

Next 4: 2-2
South Carolina
@kentucky
@Vandy
LSU

Next 4: 3-1
Florida
@Texas
Texas A&M
@South Carolina

Next 4: 3-1
@Mississippi State
Vandy
Kentucky
@Arkansas

Next 4: 3-1
@Misssouri
Auburn
@Georgia
Arkansas
 
#44
#44
bleedingTNorange said:
We are currently 10-4(1-2), let’s say goal is 21-9(12-6/11-7) depending on Texas outcome…so have 16 games left and looking to go 11-5 or better…

Next 4: 2-2
South Carolina
@kentucky
@Vandy
LSU

Next 4: 3-1
Florida
@Texas
Texas A&M
@South Carolina

Next 4: 3-1
@Mississippi State
Vandy
Kentucky
@Arkansas

Next 4: 3-1
@Misssouri
Auburn
@Georgia
Arkansas
Click to expand...
 
#46
#46
mtvols said:
I don’t know what we did to the SEC to get the start to the SEC schedule that we got. @Alabama, @lsu @kentucky for 3 of the first 5 games. And 4 of the first 6 on the road.
Click to expand...

I’d rather lose them early and take some positive momentum into March. I’ll bet that the players are handling the tough loses far better than some of the drama queens that post on VN.
 
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#50
#50
mr.checkerboards said:
We are behind all 4 of those teams. Which puts us at a 5 or 6. Lunardi is usually a line or two higher on teams than the committee is.
Click to expand...
As of today yes, if we go 13-5 as you mentioned we will move up, we are 1-2 in conference right now.

Again, this theory makes no sense, if he’s a line or two higher on teams across the board then who gets those spots? They appear out of thin air?
 
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