Stanford does. I think Brink, Belibi, Pretchel and Betts will challenge them inside. Brink in particular has been a headache for Boston in previous matchups, and Belibi has shown she can score around the bigger SC players. I think the game will be determined by which backcourt shows out.
It will certainly be interesting:
In the 2021 NCAAT Final Four, Boston was all alone. She was 5-14 in 33 minutes for 11 pts and 16 rebounds. Saxton was a no-show for the game, despite playing in it for 29 minutes. 0 points on only 1 attempt. and only 1 single rebound. Amihere had 6 pts and 6 rebounds in 17 minutes, Beal had 5 pts and 7 rebounds in 39 minutes. For Stanford, Prechtel had 9 pts and 8 rebounds in 24 minutes, and Brink had 6 pts, 6 blocks, and 4 rebounds in 21 minutes. Belibi was a non-factor with 0 pts and 3 rebounds in 11 minutes. What they brought to the table, were their fouls and presence in the paint to crowd Boston and where her down.
The NCAAT game was mostly between the non-posts: Stanford's Jones (24 pts), Lexie Hull (18 pts), and Williams (8 pts), against the Gamecocks' Cooke (25 pts), and Henderson (18 pts). Amihere and Saxton had averaged around 5-6 ppg and 5-6 rpg during the season, but only combined for 6 pts and 7 rebounds vs Stanford, and it wasn't enough. As it was, South Carolina lost by 1 point in that game, and had the ball in their hands with a fair opportunity to win when the game clock ended. But they needed at least one back-up 5 to help Boston, and didn't have it that season.
In the 2021-22 regular-season game, Stanford returned everyone except Williams. Hull (17 pts) and Jones (11 pts) were lesser representatives of themselves, but Belibi (12 pts, 4 reb), Brink (3 pts, 4 reb, 2 blk), and Prechtel (3 pts, 9 reb, 5 blk) gave a better showing collectively, and Jump - who didn't play in the NCAAT game - added 9 pts and 3 reb of her own.
For South Carolina, Henderson (17 pts) equaled her efforts from the NCAAT game, but Cooke (4 pts) struggled. But Boston (18 pts, 11 reb, 5 blk, 4 stl) was a fitter, fresher version of herself, and she got better help from Saxton (7 pts, 10 reb, 2 blk) and regular support from Beal, Amihere, and newcomer Cardoso (combined 13 pts, 8 reb, 3 blks). Boston had better more productive help in the post.
It was STILL a tightly contested game - a 4-pt. win for the Gamecocks, who out-scored the Cardinal by 3 pts in the final period to get there. But the BIGGEST difference between both games, were the turnovers: in the NCAAT game, Henderson and Cooke combined for 8 of the team's 11 turnovers to only 6 team steals , while in the 2nd game, the Gamecocks only had 7 team turnovers, but stole 13 Cardinal balls to go with the 10 shots they blocked, while forcing Stanford into 20 turnovers themselves (they only had 12 in the NCAAT game).
In the NCAAT game, the Gamecocks scored 10 points off those turnovers, compared to Stanford scoring 11 pts off theirs. That 1 point advantage for the Trees stands out like a festering sore thumb, in that game. In the 2nd game, South Carolina scored
26 pts off Stanford turnovers, compared to
only 6 pts that Stanford was able to score off of the Gamecocks. Huge difference, with all else being close to similar.
This season, both teams have added size to their team depth. Stanford has a new rising star in Betts, but both Prechtel - who has never been a huge inside presence - and Belibi are barely averaging 10 mpg thus far this season. South Carolina meanwhile have added youngster size in Feagin and Watkins: right now, the Gamecocks' leading scorers #2 through #8 are Boston (13.0 ppg), Cardoso (10.3 ppg), Watkins (10.0 ppg), Feagin (8.0 ppg), Beal (6.7 ppg), Amihere (6.3 ppg), and Saxton (6.0 ppg) - all post players and major rebounders. They all represent the top 7 rebounders on the team, too. Boston has some help now. But the deciding factor may again be in which team plays the toughest perimeter defense, and forces the turnovers. Also playing on the road at Stanford will be a very tough test to pass for the Gamecocks.....