Also I should have put a disclaimer, I am only not buying that he is overrated if he stays a 5-star. I am not confident he will do that but if he does, he is a big-time prospect.
Here is rivals Final ranking stats on bball 5-stars:
2007 - 2/28 were not instant impact players in college
2006 - 4/28 (I couldn't find 2 of them so I am assuming grade problems) were not great but 3 of them were still contributers/starters
2005 - 2/25 (which I couldn't find those 2)
2004 - 1/30
2003 - 3/25... 3 guys I haven't heard of and am too lazy to find their college stats
12/136= 8.8% in 5 years... definitely take yalls word over Jerry Meyer's. It also could be considered lower depending on what a "bust" is and 6 from 2006-07 could get better. I don't really see why everyone is bashing rivals... looks like a pretty good job to me.