Any statisticians on the board? What are the odds of UT winning the next 2 and Bama and/or GA losing the next 2. I skipped that day of class...........
If everything is equal--comparable teams, no home field advantage, even motivation, etc.--the probability of UT winning both remaining games is 0.25, the probability of either Alabama or Georgia getting swept is 0.5, so our chance of getting to Hoover would be 12.5%.