officially on the Bubble

#26
#26
It's going to come down to how they finish up the conference schedule. The committee knows how bad the SEC is this year. Conference record is going to carry a lot of weight on selection Sunday.
 
#27
#27
Cartervol said:
It's going to come down to how they finish up the conference schedule. The committee knows how bad the SEC is this year. Conference record is going to carry a lot of weight on selection Sunday.
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The SEC East is quite strong this year. In fact, there will likely be 5 teams (UF, UK, Vandy, UT, UGA) that get in the NCAAT.
 
#28
#28
OCIVol said:
Want to place a wager?
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I will place a wager on the fact we will not be in with a record of 18-14...if you want to lose your money or pride feel free...I think we will end up with at least 19 wins though...beat Miss State, South Carolina and win our first SEC tourny game...hopefully we can get to 20 and this is all a mute point, but everytime you start to feel good about this team, they dissapoint once again
 
#29
#29
OCIVol said:
The SEC East is quite strong this year. In fact, there will likely be 5 teams (UF, UK, Vandy, UT, UGA) that get in the NCAAT.
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I could see UT as the odd man out but generally i agree. None of these teams are great but they're not terrible either. What a crap conference overall.
 
#30
#30
volplaya8 said:
I will place a wager on the fact we will not be in with a record of 18-14...if you want to lose your money or pride feel free...I think we will end up with at least 19 wins though...beat Miss State, South Carolina and win our first SEC tourny game...hopefully we can get to 20 and this is all a mute point, but everytime you start to feel good about this team, they dissapoint once again
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I agree with everything you state other than the fact that we will get in with 18 teams. We have 3 top-25 RPI wins (Pitt, Nova, Vandy) and 2 other top-50 RPI wins (Memphis, Georgia). We'll have a top-5 strength of schedule at the end of the year. Even if we only win 2 out of our next 5, we'd only have 1 bad loss (1st round of SECT). Our RPI would end up in the 30s. The selection committee no longer considers last 10 or 12 games as a factor for receiving a bid. Bottom line, win 2, and we're in.
 
#31
#31
It's getting dicey. At least one RPI has us in the mid 30's. I felt better when we are in the mid 20's. Add a few more losses and a quick bounce from the SECT and IMHO we get the dubious distinction of trying to win both the PRE and Post season NIT.

I'm not sure, but I think that only ~40 teams are non-AQ for the NCAA tournament. If our RPI gets into the 40's then IMO we can't talk about the Villanova & Pitt wins, bacause they are factored onto the RPI.
 
#34
#34
Manvol said:
I saw for the first time today we are officially on the bubble. Vandy is feeling more like a play in game. If we win Tuesday we are on our way. I'm not sure what our chances are of beating KY @ home regardless of their road record, but we now need to win 3 of last 4 to be safe. At least 2 wins in the SEC tourney aswell may now be required for us to be safe. GO VOLS! I hate vandy...
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Don't know what bubble you're looking at but we're not on it. Current bracketology has us as a 8 seed... dropped from a 6 seed prior to GA loss. 8 seed is not on the bubble.
 
#35
#35
Scenarios:

Over .500 SEC regular season record, win at least 1 in the conference tournament, 100 % to get in

Over .500 SEC regular season record, lose in first round, 75 % chance in

.500 SEC regular season record, win at least 1 in the conference tournament, 85 % to get in

.500 SEC regular season record, lose in first round, 70 % to get in

7-9 SEC record, win first round, 35% to get in and it goes up by 15 % with every win after that in conference tournament

7-9 SEC record, lose first round, you are NIT bound

Anything below 7-9 regular season SEC record and you have to win the conference tournament
 
#37
#37
Truth said:
19 wins and we are in. That hasn't changed and won't.
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Vols should get a minimum 19 wins.....2 more regular season, and at least 1 in SEC tournament.

Good enough...should be, especially with an expanded field this year.
 
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