Here’s a dumb question… with regard to the wide splits and stacking receivers… why doesn’t everyone do this? What’s the downside?
Takes pretty good arm strength to throw all game long to guys who are so far away. You can eliminate probably 75% of all teams just by that.
And then it runs contrary to how most of these coaches learned the game of football. The average head coach is probably around 45-50 years old....the youngest ones are in their late 20s or early 30s, and the oldest are in their late 60s or early 70s.
That means the average head coach was a player about 25-30 years ago. Spreading the field and playing "basketball on grass" existed back then, I mean Josh Heupel is a product of its early-ish application at Oklahoma. But most programs in America were still in the I formation back then, with 21 or 12 personnel, if not 22. Just one receiver on each side of the formation wasn't unusual back then, the way it seems to be today.
So you can knock out three-fourths of the one-fourth that remain because of their background.
So now we're down to one-fourth of one-fourth of all the teams who MIGHT have skilled enough QBs and coaches with an open mind to the concept. 130 teams times 0.25 times 0.25 = 8 teams.
And that's probably about how many are routinely running some version of the air raid / run & shoot / spread these days.
Is there a down side to this style of play? Only to the extent that every choice you make, you leave on the table those choices you didn't pick.
Is this the future of college football? I think so. I think the rules being tweaked so often over the past 50 years to favor the offense have led us to this place. I think the future is a world that looks like what Josh Heupel's doing, only everywhere (or mostly everywhere, there's always an Army and Navy out there clinging to niche systems).