Early prediction ... for the 2022-23 season ... 12-1 OC Games
I expect us to play 8 regularly, but I see only 6 playing 20+ MPG over the season. SV, ZZ, ON, JJ, TK, JP or JM
However, we need 4 more guys to play 10+ MPG for us to be a threat in the NCAA: UP, JA, JM/JP, and I am taking a wild guess on BJ
We ARE going to be a slightly more seasoned team this year than last! The 'senior' leadership is going to be much more visible this year than last year.
I actually think this team has a better 'profile' than the team last year.
Let's start by recognizing the heart of the team: SV, JJJ and ON. They are known quantities, barring injuries.
This year is the MOST optimistic I have been about post play and POST season play ... since Rick has arrived.
Last year our success centered around Chandler's play. This year our success will be determined by the play of 3 players: ZZ, Tyreke, and Julian.
We will win 25+ games AGAIN this year!
PG: Chandler vs Key is the difference. One plus for this year is we also have an additional player who can play some PG if we get in foul troubles: BJ Net: Loss
G: We lost Powell and Bailey replaced with JP, BJ, DJ. We are giving up experience, but may be gaining slightly on raw talent. Net: Gain
F: No change at all, everybody is back. BHH is gone, but let's face the music - he got half his minutes AFTER ON was injured. Net: None
C: John, BHH have moved on, replaced by Awaka and more minutes for Uros and JA. The full return to healthy of Jonas will replace what left. Net: Gain
2022-23, I think we have maybe 4 guys, really only 3, vying for the low post position:
Uros: Based on last year, will start the game and play 5+ minutes or so (10+ MPG). He is a decent player, but he has not been a physical threat on offense. They are trying to get him to be more physical and I see some spotty progress. Can somebody tell him, "Dude, Just jam the ball in their face is what we are wanting to see happen." Some people play better as a starter than they do coming on the bench. Uros was definitely better starting than coming off the bench last season.
Aidoo: He is a physical specimen. I am guessing that he is either 1 or 2 on the team in blocks this season. I think he rests Uros and plays a minimum of 5 minutes (10+ MPG).
If he takes a leap.... he may start and Uros will back him up.
ON: Too small to play the 5 full time. [Yes, I fully expect BTO to tell me what an idiot I am and how he is absolutely sure that ON starts at the 5 .... ] NEVERTHELESS, Nkamhoua is a perfect fit for small ball AND I think it is hypothetically possible that he logs the most number of minutes played at the 5. Those minutes will primarily come at the end of both halves AND that will only happen if Uros and Jonas have not made a leap forward in their development. I have always envisioned Olivier as more of a finesse player. So, would love to see more physicality and quickness from him. I expect to see him start exclusively at the 4. His defensive is good, but he needs to be a more consistent contributor on offense.
Awaka: He is at least a year away. He did get here early in the summer. He needs some experience. Expecting him to redshirt unless one of the other 3 gets hurt.
I love football season. Bring it on. 9-3 is my call. 2nd in the EAST .... but with a little bit of luck ... falling our way we could win the East.
But BB is my jam. I think we have a decent shot at getting 30 wins. Wishing for a repeat SEC championship.
My cup is always half full. :^)))))