Phil Steele's week 1 predictions

[hatvol96]

What I'm saying is that the oddsmakers have to lay a line that is close to where they see the game to be, or the betting will be far too lopsided. As I'm sure you know, you don't see 3-4 point moves on lines. You might see 1' at most, but usually 1 or less.

I wouldn't necessarily agree with that assessment. They're not attempting to predict the margin in the game, they're attempting to gauge public reaction to said game. An associate of mine worked for Roxy Roxborough for several years. The consensus among those setting the line for the Ohio State-Miami game in the Fiesta Bowl was that OSU would win the game outright or lose the game by a small number. That didn't stop them from posting the 'Canes as a 12 point favorite.

 

[jakez4ut]

I wouldn't necessarily agree with that assessment. They're not attempting to predict the margin in the game, they're attempting to gauge public reaction to said game. An associate of mine worked for Roxy Roxborough for several years. The consensus among those setting the line for the Ohio State-Miami game in the Fiesta Bowl was that OSU would win the game outright or lose the game by a small number. That didn't stop them from posting the 'Canes as a 12 point favorite.

agreed. that's why when bets come in heavy one way on a particluar line, that line changes....trying, as you said, to even out the money.

 

[VolinArizona]

I wouldn't necessarily agree with that assessment. They're not attempting to predict the margin in the game, they're attempting to gauge public reaction to said game. An associate of mine worked for Roxy Roxborough for several years. The consensus among those setting the line for the Ohio State-Miami game in the Fiesta Bowl was that OSU would win the game outright or lose the game by a small number. That didn't stop them from posting the 'Canes as a 12 point favorite.

Ah, I see. Very nicely said, and I understand.

 

[therealUT]

Steele is nothing but your typical scamdicapper. He makes his living off people who lack the self confidence to make their own picks or those stupid enough to believe he really has some foolproof system. He's nothing but a less charismatic version of Wayne Root. The real pros don't spend their time giving their picks out to the public. Steele is simply another parasite who feeds off the public's naivete. His success, as well of that of his peers, proves PT Barnum was exactly right.

More persons, on the whole, are humbugged by believing in nothing, than by believing too much.

PT Barnum

I could not agree more, Hat.

 

[volwarren]

I can believe it all but the hog game.

 

[FenianVolunteer]

I see Arkansas as being very overrated, the remind me of us last year. USC will handle them week 1