Polls 2012: Skewed Polling and Biased Media Coverage

#103
#103
Picking one year out of all the years he's been doing it to base an assumption on isn't statistically sound :)
 
#104
#104
I know the left hates Rasmussen but:

Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology). Pollsters for Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton have cited our "unchallenged record for both integrity and accuracy." During Election 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected that Barack Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama was 53% to 46%. In 2004, Rasmussen Reports was the only firm to project the vote totals for both candidates within half a percentage point
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#110
#110
DAVOL said:
Yea he's not biased one bit especially when he is signing those six figure checks he gets from Roger Ailes.
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Everyone is biased except ABC, USA Today, New York Times, Washington Post, NBC, CBS. None of those outlets have an agenda
 
#112
#112
volfanjustin said:
I know the left hates Rasmussen but:
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The left hates Rasmussen because is far more accurate.

Two smothered stories: Vets running away from Obama; even NPR fans not happy with illegal aliens « « Coach is RightCoach is Right

The battleground states that the media’s fake polls are assigning to Barack Obama are populated by a large number of military veterans. Florida alone has 1.6 million and Ohio Virginia and North Carolina have nearly 1 million each. These numbers are extremely important because at least one Left wing media outlet Reuters, is reporting that Mitt Romney has an insurmountable 20 point lead over Barack Obama among veterans.

While insisting that their Democrat skewed survey “results” are showing a growing overall lead for Obama, Reuters has been forced to acknowledge that veterans are less supportive of Obama now than they were four years ago. This lead (whether it is being accurately reported or shorted) holds across all veteran age groups. This will be a major factor in the election because 49% of veterans are 65+ a group that intends to vote at 86%.
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A second item that has not been reported is a recent survey of attitudes about immigration conducted by the Leftists at Latino Decisions for the National Hispanic Media Coalition. That survey didn’t find the data they hoped it would. On a scale of three positions ranging from “cold” “neutral” or “warm” toward illegal aliens. The liberals who listen to National Public Radio (NPR) were 46% cold toward illegals versus 32% warm toward these uninvited guests.

Overall the survey found support for many of the polices conservatives have been demanding for years. Those policies include “show me your papers” powers for those arrested by our police; deportation of arrested illegals; reliance on E-Verify cards to be hired; forcing the Social Security and IRS agencies to co-operate in investigations of illegals and legal status for driver’s licenses. All of these are hated by the Left.

Why have you not heard about these attitude toward illegal aliens? The words of Janet Murguia of the National Council of La Raza who is now in charge of all domestic policy issues for Barack Obama, “We have to draw the line on freedom of speech, when freedom of speech becomes hate speech.”

So remember your opinion on is hate speech if you disagree with any benefit for illegal aliens.
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Thus we see why the dhimmirats try to suppress the military vote while trying to enhance the bogus dead voter element.

Not to mention that Barry doesn't even pass an e-verify check himself.

Rebalanced Presidential Election Polls 2012

Trend over the past month using the daily corrected polling gap.

9/29 2.77%;
9/28 2.89%;
9/27 2.91%;
9/26 0.86%;
9/25 1.55%;
9/24 3.60%;
9/23 4.03%;
9/22 4.25%;
9/21 4.10%;
9/20 3.94%;
9/19 4.21%;
9/18 4.21%;
9/17 4.95%;
9/16 4.88%;
9/15 4.91%;
9/14 4.84%;
9/13 4.54%;
9/12 3.83%;
9/11 3.91%;
9/10 3.08%;
9/09 3.18%;
9/08 4.38%;
9/07 5.42%;
9/06 5.60%;
9/05 5.60%;

(that's the Romney plus percentages) gs

According to their analysis, President Barack Obama will win 218 votes in the Electoral College, short of the 270 he needs. And though they chiefly focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama’s 47.1 percent, when considering only the two major political parties.

For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner.

Their model correctly predicted all elections since 1980, including two years when independent candidates ran strongly, 1980 and 1992. It also correctly predicted the outcome in 2000, when Al Gore received the most popular vote but George W. Bush won the election.

The study will be published this month in PS: Political Science & Politics, a peer-reviewed journal of the American Political Science Association. It will be among about a dozen election prediction models, but one of only two to focus on the Electoral College.

While many forecast models are based on the popular vote, the Electoral College model developed by Bickers and Berry is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions."

The polling numbers at the end of Sept suggest a 6.3% Romney win.

The state by state economic model suggest a 5.8% Romney win.
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#113
#113
gsvol said:
The left hates Rasmussen because is far more accurate.

Two smothered stories: Vets running away from Obama; even NPR fans not happy with illegal aliens « « Coach is RightCoach is Right



Thus we see why the dhimmirats try to suppress the military vote while trying to enhance the bogus dead voter element.

Not to mention that Barry doesn't even pass an e-verify check himself.

Rebalanced Presidential Election Polls 2012
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:no:

Romney is losing. There is no doubt about it. Their own campaign feels this way. Why can't you except that?
 
#123
#123
- 16 Million on disability (100% increase in 4 yrs...was 8 million in 2008)
- 43 Million on food stamps (55% increase in 4 yrs...was 28 Million in 2008)
- 8.1% unemployment (was 8.3% last month BUT 250,000 quit looking for work FOREVER......)
- 14.7% real unemployment (U-6 figure from labor dept)

So...how's that "HOPE and CHANGE" working out for all of you????

NUFF SAID !!
 
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#124
#124
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