Prediction for 23 Stats-Offense

#26
#26
If we are getting wild here also...

Army beat Navy by 3, Navy only lost to Notre Dame by 3, Notre Dame beat Clemson...

Army better than Clemson, Notre Dame and Navy?

Notre Dame beat USjr and USjr beat UT so who knows who is better... Wild

That's why we play the games, subpar competition does have something to do with it, but in the end they beat and lost to some decent teams.
 
#27
#27
Y

It’s either gonna be 10-2 or 7-5 Either Milton figures it out or he bombs and the team limps to a little above .500
I don’t think Heupel will let the team slide that much if Milton isn’t performing. He’d turn the reigns over to Nico. If they go 7-5 with this schedule, something or some things went wrong.
 
#28
#28
Because I am bored this evening and its the dead season of college football, here are my predicted stats for the offense for this season. Couple things to consider:
1) Looking at the schedule, I think there is a more than realistic chance of us going 10-2, with 9-3 being the floor. certain games come at opportune times, with "tune up" games before, or the bye being at a good point in the season....With that said, I think we rely on running the ball even more, and letting Big Joe take play action shots deep and on 15yrd crossing routes. Think that will be the bread and butter.
2) I foresee alot of guys getting PT, especially against VA, Austin P, UCONN, and UTSA (though that game is tougher then it looks). Should leave starters more rested for SEC.

QB1 Joe Milton 3250yds, 61% completion rate, 29 TDs, 5 ints, 275yds rushing 5 TDs- Think he will have more turnovers but not enough to sink us.
QB2 Nico Iamalaeva 950yrds, 59% completion rate, 9 TDs, 3 Ints, 100yrds rushing, 1 TD- Think he will get alot of garbage time in the tune up games, and maybe some SEC action
QB3 Gaston 150yrds, 60% completion, 1 TD, 1 Int.
QB4 Shuler 100yds 1 TD 1 Int

RB1 J Wright 1025yds, 5.2ypc, 7 TDs, 120yds Rec, 1 TD- I think he takes over as lead dog, though still expect alot of rotation. Surprisingly, we dont throw to RB alot. Would love some screens!!!!
RB2 J Small 670yds, 4.7 YPC 9 TDs, 100yds Rec, 2 TD- I actually think he will start, but will end up as 3rd by end of the season. Solid, and has had a good career.
RB3 D Sampson 595yds, 5.6 YPC, 5 TD, 75yrds REC, 1 TD- Think he passes Small by UK game on depth chart
RB4 C Seldon 265yds, 5.2 YPC, 4 TD, 175yds REC, 2 TD- Think he gets some return work as well. Will be used alot like Gibbs at Bama last year.
RB5 Bishop/Keith will combine for around 300yrds and 3 TDs in garbage time in tune up games, maybe more. I also believe Castle or Davis at TE may get some carries like Fant did
""" I think 2024 with Wright projected Pro and Small graduating, it will be Sampson, Seldon as the next two lead dogs with some great talent coming behind"""

WR1 B McCoy 71 catches, 800yrds 6 TDs- Think he will be the main guy on those 15yrd crosses and in routes, with slants. Big red zone weapon too. Just dont think he will get many deep shots, but could be wrong! Think they will isolate him on the boundary 1 on 1 with smaller DBs and let him bully people
WR2 R Keyton 40 catches 696yds, 5 TDs- The other outside WR. Think he makes himself a draftable player next season.
Slot S White 60 catches, 1008yds, 8 TDs- He could blow up running deep routes like Hyatt did last season, with Big Joe Arm.
Slot #2 D Thornton 29 catches, 600yrds, 7TDs- I think he plays in the slot rotating with White, and some boundary WR. Gonna be the deep guy I think in rotation.
WR3 C Nimrod 10 catches, 125yds, 1 TD
WR4 K Webb 13 catches, 160yrds, 1 TD
WR5 N Leacock 9 catches, 100yds, 1 TD

TE1 Warren 24 catches, 200yds 2 TD
TE2 Castle 14 catches 145 yds, 2 TD
TE3 Davis 17 catches, 200yds 1 TD

Some of the numbers may not add all up together properly, but its approx :)
WR6 N Spillman 6 catches, 84 yrds
I've done this same simulation myself and my numbers have been almost the same except I have Thornton and Keytons numbers flipped
 
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#30
#30
No, friend, they have not been.

They were unranked in the final AP poll of the season--last year, and every year before that. They did eke into the #25 spot in the CFP committee final rankings this past season. But then promptly lost their bowl game, so it never translated into any AP love. They were ranked #22 or #23 (CFP, as high as #15 AP) for a few weeks in 2021, but then lost to North Texas and fell promptly out of the CFP Committee's consciousness never to return.

UTSA is a good Group of 5 team, but -- let's keep it in context -- they're a Group of 5 team. Their competition each year is almost entirely fellow G5 teams. Like MTSU, and UAB, and Southwest East Michigan State Tech.

They were 11-3 last year, but had losses to Troy and Houston (as well as to Texas, 41-20). They were 12-2 the year before, but lost to both San Diego State and North Texas. They did beat Illinois, to give credit where due. The year before that, they went 7-5. With a Conference-USA schedule.

These aren't giant killers. They're not Power 5 level competition. They aren't even App State level competition. Vandy will be tougher than them. Probably Virginia, too, unless we let them sneak up on us.

Hats off to UTSA for being decent the last couple of years, but they're not as good as you say. And aren't a real threat as long as our lads are paying attention.

Go Vols!
I agree with your general premise, but you are extremely wrong about them being worse than Vandy and UVA.

UTSA's quarterback is a stud and will be one of the best QB's we play all year.

UVA and Vandy wouldn't come close to winning conference USA. We could score 70 on either of them if we want.

UTSA doesn't have the dudes to keep up, but that QB will give us some fits.
 
#31
#31
I agree with your general premise, but you are extremely wrong about them being worse than Vandy and UVA.

UTSA's quarterback is a stud and will be one of the best QB's we play all year.

UVA and Vandy wouldn't come close to winning conference USA. We could score 70 on either of them if we want.

UTSA doesn't have the dudes to keep up, but that QB will give us some fits.
We shall see.

I predict the score of the Vandy game will be closer than the UTSA match. And probably UVA, as well.

But only time will show who's got this one right.

Go Vols!
 
#33
#33
Where on earth did he say they were going to even be a problem?
Well, in a couple of places:
UTSA will be one of the tougher home games this year. Maybe better than A&M...
If the guys show up, if they dismiss them like this guy did, we may lose.
Now, it always seems to come down to semantics. You might say, "yeah, but he didn't say they're going to be a PROBLEM." Only that they might beat us.

Fact is, though, he did say UTSA will be a tough game for the Vols.

Which everyone here knows is only true if our lads for some odd reason don't show up focused that day (a la 2022 USCe game).

Go Vols!
 
#35
#35
We shall see.

I predict the score of the Vandy game will be closer than the UTSA match. And probably UVA, as well.

But only time will show who's got this one right.

Go Vols!
I mean UTSA was within 4 points of Texas last year going into the 4th quarter before they had a tipped ball pick 6.

UVA and Vandy wouldn't have been competitive with Texas for a single quarter last year and UVA lost their NFL caliber QB and will start a guy from FCS Monmouth against us...and we just ran the ball up the middle on Vandy and beat them 56-0.

It's a guarantee UTSA will give us a better game. They have an NFL caliber QB, good coaching and experience. Just because they're G5 doesn't mean they're automatically vastly inferior to any and all P5 programs.
 
#36
#36
This post was about predicted stats and turned into a post about UTSA somehow.. I was only interested in yalls predictions for stats guys!!
 
#37
#37
This post was about predicted stats and turned into a post about UTSA somehow.. I was only interested in yalls predictions for stats guys!!
Conversations have a way of evolving and shifting.

That's as true on chat boards as it is in the barber shop or at the water cooler.

Go Vols!
 
#38
#38
This post was about predicted stats and turned into a post about UTSA somehow.. I was only interested in yalls predictions for stats guys!!

I mean if Milton throws less than 4k yards it's going to be a long season.

Defense should be better at pass d. Can't really be worse.

Pass blocking will be a huge question mark for this team and can we stay healthy on the line.

Top 5 WR Corp in the country.

I say we lose 2 or 3 games.

That being said we could also go undefeated. I think this team has a ton of potential.
 
#41
#41
Well, in a couple of places:


Now, it always seems to come down to semantics. You might say, "yeah, but he didn't say they're going to be a PROBLEM." Only that they might beat us.

Fact is, though, he did say UTSA will be a tough game for the Vols.

Which everyone here knows is only true if our lads for some odd reason don't show up focused that day (a la 2022 USCe game).

Go Vols!
The 2nd quote you have here came after the 1st quote. There's zero reason to think that just because he said they would be one of the tougher games he meant that they might lose to them. You either agree with the statement or not, but to suggest he said they might lose to them based on that one post is a different argument.
 
#43
#43
The 2nd quote you have here came after the 1st quote. There's zero reason to think that just because he said they would be one of the tougher games he meant that they might lose to them. You either agree with the statement or not, but to suggest he said they might lose to them based on that one post is a different argument.


Thank you!!
 
#45
#45
Tennessee - 66
Virginia - 14

Tennessee - 52
Austin Peay - 0

Tennessee - 72
Florida - 21

Tennessee - 58
UTSA - 7

Tennessee - 68
South Carolina - 14

Tennessee - 77
Texas A&M - 20

Tennessee - 83
Alabama - 28

Tennessee - 68
Kentucky - 17

Tennessee - 57
UConn - 3

Tennessee - 74
Missouri - 17

Tennessee - 88
Georgia - 30

Tennessee - 62
Vanderbilt - 10
 
#46
#46
Tennessee - 66
Virginia - 14

Tennessee - 52
Austin Peay - 0

Tennessee - 72
Florida - 21

Tennessee - 58
UTSA - 7

Tennessee - 68
South Carolina - 14

Tennessee - 77
Texas A&M - 20

Tennessee - 83
Alabama - 28

Tennessee - 68
Kentucky - 17

Tennessee - 57
UConn - 3

Tennessee - 74
Missouri - 17

Tennessee - 88
Georgia - 30

Tennessee - 62
Vanderbilt - 10

Oh, we are a shoe in to break 100 against AP.
 

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