Undercovervol
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I’ve watched several State games this year. To me, McCowan has underwhelmed thus far, and it follows the trend across the country of underperforming bigs (besides Gustafson at Iowa State and Turner and Notre Dame). McCowan gets a double double from offensive put backs alone. She doesn’t post up nearly enough: more than half of possessions she just stands there waiting for a shot. When she does post up, her back to the basket game can be underwhelming. I guess they’re trying to space out how much they use her, because I’m sure conditioning could be a problem for a player her size. Nevertheless, the high post connection with Howard has been under developed because the coach favors the weave so much. If Howard and McCowan develop a high post game, it would be nearly unstoppable.That's probably true, and one of the reasons that I think they will get dominated by MSST. It's all but given that McCowan will dominate the smaller, less skilled and less experienced Tennessee posts if they try to guard her 1-on-1. MSST only has 1 true perimeter scorer, so they should be able to clamp down on McCowan with multiple defenders and dare MSST to shoot. While the MSST starting backcourt doesn't shoot well from 3, they both have nasty mid-range jumpers and can attack the rim. If Tennessee doesn't tighten up their defense, MSST won't need to hit 3's if their guards can take it to the basket all game long.
I haven't seen UConn/ND play this year outside of their H2H matchup, but I've seen a couple of Oregon games and they sure do play pretty basketball. Their pick and roll game is a thing of beauty, and they have a strong, balanced starting 5 with scorers at each position.
Regardless, I agree that their front court will totally dominate ours. Greene can’t guard man to man, and no one on our team really matches up with Howard. We will be forced to play zone, because we can’t stop penetration, and so their offensive rebounds will take over the game. Our only hope is to beat them with the three point shot, but I doubt Holly will game plan for that. Their guards are really great defensively.