Preseason Bets

#27
#27
daj2576 said:
Here is what I can tell you: assuming they "took their foot off the pedal" they did so against some incredibly weak competition. Oregon played one team, 1 TEAM, all year who had better talent than they did. Granted, they beat that team (USC) but also lost to a Stanford team who has talent on par to SCAR.

The counter argument to this is that Bama played no one whom they out-recruited and also lost to one team whom they didn't out recruit. The difference between a team like Bama and Oregon is that Bama is the best recruited team in the NCAA. Oregon conversely has recruiting averages on par with UT. That would make Oregon a mid-tier SEC team, assuming their new coach can get as much out of them as Kelly. Contrary to popular opinion, Oregon does not perform well against teams with similar or better talent. Truth be told, most of the NCAA doesn't (about 2/3 of the games can be predicted by simply looking at talent averages).
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Are you re-calculating the recruiting classes each year or simply looking at them from signing day of that year? My point, what does UT's 2010 class (the class that would be Sr.'s this year) look like now compared to signing day back in 2010? That class included: Bray, Hunter, Rogers, Rivera, etc. All gone.

Unless you're taking in account attrition, progression or regression, and coaching your logic has some flaws.
 
#30
#30
daj2576 said:
Here is what I can tell you: assuming they "took their foot off the pedal" they did so against some incredibly weak competition. Oregon played one team, 1 TEAM, all year who had better talent than they did. Granted, they beat that team (USC) but also lost to a Stanford team who has talent on par to SCAR.

The counter argument to this is that Bama played no one whom they out-recruited and also lost to one team whom they didn't out recruit. The difference between a team like Bama and Oregon is that Bama is the best recruited team in the NCAA. Oregon conversely has recruiting averages on par with UT. That would make Oregon a mid-tier SEC team, assuming their new coach can get as much out of them as Kelly. Contrary to popular opinion, Oregon does not perform well against teams with similar or better talent. Truth be told, most of the NCAA doesn't (about 2/3 of the games can be predicted by simply looking at talent averages).
Click to expand...

Use your eyes, not just numbers. How'd we do against Vandy last year? Oregon would blow the doors off of Vandy. Dont we out recruit Vandy by a large margin every year? How'd that work out for us? That was with a QB and 3 receivers and a TE that are all in the NFL now.
 
#31
#31
And to add my bet to this thread, i made the same bet i made last year. My Auburn fan buddy bet me $50 that they would finish with a better record than us. I won it last year. We may bet on the Aub/Tenn game too.
 
#32
#32
Catbone said:
The bet was Oregon wins by 35+? You'll win that one. 27 at MOST
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That's what I was thinking myself. I don't see anyway possible Oregon wins by 35+ points. 10-27 points sure, but not 35+ unless they somehow shut us out which I don't see happening.
 
#34
#34
I've got a bottle of Maker's Mark on UT vs USCjr, straight up. I've got UT, of course.

I've got a bottle of Jack Daniels on UT having an 8-4 record or better. 6-6 or worse, I lose, and 7-5 is a wash.

I've got a bottle of Gentleman Jack on Western Kentucky scoring 17+ points on UT. If it's 16 or less, I lose. Backstory is, I was arguing about schedule strength with a (game)Cock fan, and I claimed that WKU is not just a "patsy".


I might be an alcoholic.
 
#35
#35
Boca Vol said:
Mods. Give him his own thread for the Oregon game. I want to see his game day experience live. Good Luck!
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Me too. I wish I knew more people like the folks in this thread. I would make a KILLING this fall at the hands of delusional fans. Sadly, just about everyone I know is pretty realistic about what's coming this fall.
 
#37
#37
Is there a website you can bet on games?

Vols are serious under dogs right now. I want to place my bets and watch the cash roll in
 
#41
#41
I got $50 on 8 win season,and $50 on we either beat bama or they have to beat us by 21
 
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