So I looked at some stats I believe are crucial for this match up. It looks pretty much dead even with the exception of 2 things. Turnovers and penalties.
Yards per play almost dead even. We allow about a half yard more per play than uga and our offense gets .2 more per play.
Turnovers. Uga has caused 9 and given up 9. We have caused 16 and given up 8. This is huge.
Scoring is tricky. We score just over a td more per game, but uga allows about 11 ppg fewer than we do.
3rd downs is pretty even on both sides. Uga is a little better on both, but not significantly better.
Red zone is another uga advantage as they score .979 and allow .621. We score .955 and allow .719. Again, not significantly better, but they are better.
Penalties. Uga averages 39.25 yds per game in penalties. We average 73.88. This can be a huge thing as it can obviously kill drives.
TFL is a win for us. We average 1.6 TFL per game more. I think this can be a big deal. We give up .12 more TFL per game.
Sacks is a win for us as well. We average almost 1.5 sacks more per game. However uga doesn't allow but .88 per game and we allow 1.6.
All that being said, home field is typically worth 3 points. I think this will be another bama type game. If we clean up the penalties, I think we win. If not, it is a coin flip.