Realistic expectations for Nico this season.

#3
#3
So what is everyone’s realistic expectations for Nico this year stats wise? Here is what I think:

65%, 3150 pass yards, 25 TDs with 9 INts.

400-500 rush yards with another 7 TDs.
I’d take it. I’m with doberman though, fewer ints and a few more TDs responsible for.
 
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#8
#8
So what is everyone’s realistic expectations for Nico this year stats wise? Here is what I think:

65%, 3150 pass yards, 25 TDs with 9 INts.

400-500 rush yards with another 7 TDs.
Being that he has only started one game, I have no expectations other than he should be good. Won’t be surprised if he is great. A lot of that depends on our receivers and Oline.
 
#11
#11
Although he has just played 1 full game and I think his passing yards was 171. So he hasn't passed for over 200 yards yet but I believe he does that Saturday. I think and hope he will have multiple 300+ games. The Iowa game was a weird game it was 35 to 0 the score looks like big passing numbers but we basically had 2 Defensive TDs so to expect more passing yards in a game like that is not realistic. I think Nico has the wiggle and get away ability to extend plays and keep the chains moving. Just hope he stays healthy.
 
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#12
#12
70%
3,500 yards
30 TDs, 2 INTs
800 rushing yards, 10 rushing TDs

In New York in December. Dunno if he'll win, but he'll be in that room.

And given who he is, who his coach is, and what the talent around him looks like, I believe this is an entirely reasonable expectation.

Go Vols!
 
#13
#13
So what is everyone’s realistic expectations for Nico this year stats wise? Here is what I think:

65%, 3150 pass yards, 25 TDs with 9 INts.

400-500 rush yards with another 7 TDs.
There are no realistic expectations. The majority of Vols fans expect Nico to walk on water, heal people of leprosy, make the sun stand still, and resurrect Mae West.
 
#16
#16
For reference -

Hendon Hooker
2021 - 68% 2945 yards (31/3) Rush - 616/5
2022 - 69.6% 3135 yards (27/2) Rush - 430/5

Joe Milton
2023 - 64.7% 2813 yards (20/5) Rush - 299/7
Just my opinion, think JH will ease him into things, leaning on the rushing game. Think will have maybe less total yards than Hooker, but redzone much better this year than last, which may come from passing or rushing TDs. So, I'm thinking the TDs...passing and rushing TDs will be in the Hooker zone.
 
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#17
#17
For reference -

Hendon Hooker
2021 - 68% 2945 yards (31/3) Rush - 616/5
2022 - 69.6% 3135 yards (27/2) Rush - 430/5

Joe Milton
2023 - 64.7% 2813 yards (20/5) Rush - 299/7
Hooker 2021, 10 or 12 fumbles, 5 were turnovers.

They say 12 fumbles
They say 10 fumbles. 5 lost

I have no idea whose stats are official if either, but the stats are close nonetheless.

I think @BigOrangeTrain pretty much nailed it with the expectations. Even if Nico is short those numbers for YRDs and TD's, no reason not to be thrilled if he keeps turnovers down and the offense moving.
 
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#19
#19
3145 yards 25 Tds 10 Ints

350 yards rushing 5 Tds

With this WR corp and OL, I believe he is going to have at least 5 games with 300 yards passing, with the other 7 games averaging ~235 each.

I also think the running game takes a small step backwards mainly because defenses are going to want to mmake the RSfreshman beat them by stacking the box. I can see Sampson averaging around 90 yds a game on the ground and 2 more backs with 40 ypg average, totaling around 2000ish.

I do think Sampson pads his stat with 20 receptions for 200 yards and 3 TDs. I think having him as a safety valve or maybe even some RB screen calls, which we have not really seen Heup do much, will make up for the reduction in the running game.
 
#20
#20
So what is everyone’s realistic expectations for Nico this year stats wise? Here is what I think:

65%, 3150 pass yards, 25 TDs with 9 INts.

400-500 rush yards with another 7 TDs.
My biggest question is, can he read a defense? Iowa was not a slouch, but can he see the field and blitzes? If that is ✅, then 3,000+ yards, 400+ rushing 30+ TDs, most of this will be based on average field position, if UT defense is better, short fields = < yards

jmo
 
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#22
#22
Under 200 yards per game passing? Some of you are not predicting enough passing yards for our 16-0 national champs Vols!
 
#25
#25
For reference -

Hendon Hooker
2021 - 68% 2945 yards (31/3) Rush - 616/5
2022 - 69.6% 3135 yards (27/2) Rush - 430/5

Joe Milton
2023 - 64.7% 2813 yards (20/5) Rush - 299/7
As I’m sure you’re aware, in 2022, Hooker lost at least 700 to 1000 yards passing and probably 7 to 8 TD’s because he was taken out of quite a few games in the second half that year.
 

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