Volfaninfl2
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I am always very hesitant to visit this site after a loss because the drive-by-posters and negavols come out in droves. And many others get caught in the wild mood swings between jubilation in believing that the LVs have "turned the corner" to greatness (We WILL BE SOUTH CAROLINA!) and and we should bench all the players and maybe rethink our coaching situation (post-loss). [Disclaimer: I am stating the extreme ends of these poles for illustrative effect].
Here is what I believe is a realistic assessment:
The LVs are ranked 23rd (for now) and that is pretty good assessment of their national standing. They are a slightly above average team and when they play the #1 or #3, they expectedly get dominated after some extended of period of putting up a “good fight.”
Why are the LVs a middling team?
Inexperienced players in crucial roles.
Freshman transition to the college game at different rates. We saw that USC freshman are ahead of the curve on Key and Jordan.
In comparison to Key, Boston is more “D1 ready” in terms of functional strength and post moves. Tamari is a GREAT weak-side defender and shot blocker. If the LVs had a better upper class post player so that TK could be role player with defensive responsibilities, we would all be singing her praises. Right now, however, Key is being asked to do more than she is prepared for. I see some signs of development and if she closes the gap by March…..
Jordan is struggling for different reasons. I think she is playing a little rushed. Last night, she had several plays where she made a great move to get an easy lay-up but could not finish or, once again forced passes when easier options were available.
While critics are saying “bench her” because of TO, well, one of the toughest transitions that freshman have to make is playing defense with intensity and Jordan is way ahead of the curve on that dimension—like Key her defensive game is ahead of the offensive game. When Jordan goes out, the defensive quality as a unit drops.
Another reason, you can’t drop Jordan is next;
A shortage of top-level D1 caliber players.
I know a controversial statement and I am not disparaging the human worth of any LV but sports exposes shortcomings with brutal honesty.
After the LSU and Bama games, there were posters basically saying “take that you Lou doubters, she is the glue, She IS this and she is that.”
Yes, Lou can hold her own against teams that are unranked and fighting for an NCAA tourney bid (i.e., teams that are just a notch below the LVs at this stage). But, she lacks the necessary physical tools to hold up well against USC, Uconn, Stanford, Oregon and Baylor level opponents. On those teams, she would NOT be a starter and, at the very best, would be a role player (and in all honesty she probably does not make those rosters). I like her as a player: great hustle, smart and lots of other positive attributes but she is the caliber of player you would expect to find playing for a mid-level, mid-major conference team, not one with serious Final four aspirations
Rae has more overall ability but her game, at its current state, would not see much floor time for these top 10 clubs either.
Harris, KK, McCoy same story as Lou.
The LVs have one player who would start on just about any team – Rennia Davis. They have one player for whom coaches would accept the growing pains to build for the future – Jordan and one player who would be an impact on any top team (though maybe not a starter) – Zaay Green. And one, who would be a solid role player as a back-up PG Jazz.
So, missing Zaay due to injury, the LVs line-up with 3 players who more or less have the talent/skill set to play in some role at a top-tier D1 level and a group of roles players with varying degrees of upside.
For this group to compete, they have to play outstanding, cohesive defense. Against elite teams, they currently seem to be able to hold that level for about ½ game. Turnovers make that task even more challenging.
But the LVs are an offensively challenged team. To be competitive in the top ten, the LVs need 20+ points from Rennia, plus good production from Jordan and a spark from Rae and Jazz (as the team stands right now). Lou is not consistent with her shot and our posts struggle against top teams to score. Zaay is not available to provide that 3 option which would unbalance defenses. As good as Rennia is, quality teams can take her out of the offense, given the lack of scoring threats around here. Per last night’s game, her stat line looked pretty good at the end but, when the game was really being decided in the first half, USC shut Rennia down.
I don’t mean this comment as diatribe against the team. I predict they will look MUCH different in March than they do now. I think Jordan will settle down. [With this collection of players, Kellie simply cannot bench Jordan. She has to give her experience and hope that the kinks can be worked out by March.]
Rae will get a little more consistent and we have to believe that Jazz’s offensive game will continue to gain momentum and that we will see some improvement in the other LVs.
Currently, the critics are acting like the LVs are somehow underachieving and pointing fingers at who is to blame. But when you break it down player-by-player, the LVs actually will need to overachieve to make the Sweet 16. And Kellie and her staff are in a tough position because anything less than a Sweet 16 finish will be seen as a disappointment. That is the Catch-22 she has to resolve through “the process." I am betting she does.
Really wish you had waited till after the season to express your realistic assessment. Saying we have inexperienced players in crucial roles is true concerning Horston and Key, but why did you feel that now, in a public forum, in front of this tough stretch of games, and end of season tournaments, was the time to discourage half the players on our team by telling them they are not D-1 caliber players?
Did Missouri State have D-1 caliber players when they made it to the Sweet 16 last year? Have you looked around? There are very few teams with star players at every position, but there are upsets of highly ranked teams by unranked teams, every week.
Serious Final Four aspirations? Us this year? Who thought that? From last year’s team, we lost scorers Westbrook, C. Green, and Collins, and Zaay Green to injury this year. We basically have One scorer this year we can depend on, and she really needs to score around thirty points a game, AND YET, this year’s Team, so far, has beaten Missouri, Georgia, Alabama, Notre Dame, and Vanderbilt, all teams who beat our team last year.
We could have collapsed this year, but we didn’t. Instead, we got a great Coaching staff who turned our players, most of whom had never played together before, into a fighting Team! I applaud every single one of our Players and Coaches, who have excelled and overachieved all season. Under difficult circumstances, they have already exceeded the expectations of anyone who has been following the Lady Vols, and given us all hope for the future, and yes, higher expectations. Keep fighting Lady Vols!