Recruiting Football Talk VII

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Probability in the NFL for a 2 point conversion is 55%. So, if you miss, you should get the next one to tie. If you make, you kick the XP to win. Vrabel did it a couple of years ago, and I’m pretty sure they won the game.
It's 48% according to 2 sites I looked at. Admitted that's shoddy research
 
Probability in the NFL for a 2 point conversion is 55%. So, if you miss, you should get the next one to tie. If you make, you kick the XP to win. Vrabel did it a couple of years ago, and I’m pretty sure they won the game.
And having Henry as your RB definitely changes things. Analytics should take into account the horrendous run game of the bucs.
 
I just don't understand how the only time people quote analytics is toward the end of the game. Do the analytics change in the 4th quarter? Are you more likely to successfully go for 2 then?

For the analytics crowd it’s about decreasing variables. If it’s earlier in the game there’s so many possessions left that the value diminishes and becomes harder to quantify. If it’s late in the 4th when you can only guarantee that you get 1 more possession the variables decrease so the analytics become more verifiable/“true”
 
Yep….im an a$$. Sue me
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Yeah but fans are dumb. That’s a silly bad faith argument. Restaurant workers get paid to perform their job. Should we talk sh*t to them when they have a bad day? And then talk more sh*t to them when they ask why we’re being the way we’re being? Tell them to suck it up and get over it bc they’re being paid.

I don’t mean that towards you, I know you’re not arguing for it.
While I completely agree that it takes an absolute dirtbag jackwagon to tweet bullsh!t upon bullsh!t at someone, or shout and scream out their lungs at someone...these guys like Haddon and Mincey better learn, and learn it quick, they're not waiting tables...this comes with the territory of being an athlete, and playing in front of 100,000 people...in front of 100,000 fans = fanatics.

Of course, no...in no way, shape or form, does it justify acting like a dipsh!t toward them, or anybody; but, this is the way the sporting world goes. Also, athletes like Haddon better learn, especially if he wants to continue playing...tweeting back at azzholes is only going to make it worse. Azzholes are going to azzhole, period...have to rise above it some way, some how. What if he's drafted by the Giants or Jets, or by Philly? He thinks Volnation was on his ass...he'll need a permanent, traveling therapist for that mania.
 
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