Recruiting Football Talk VIII

[Orange.]

@Orange.

@Girth Brooks found it before I did. I'll contribute a consolation prize.

 

[mrMet]

I took Pitt to cover but Minnesota ML. LA looking a lot better than I thought they would

 

[Volunteer821]

Braves made a great hire in Timmy Hyers. I played baseball with his brother from tee ball all the way thru high school. Guy knows hitting and has had alot of success the last few years with the rangers and red sox. He's a legend around here.

 

[KnoxLandcruiser]

Oklahoma 15 was louder than a jet engine sustained for 3 hours

If you are a serious person in this industry and you aren’t aware of the ability our fan base has to be loud, you should find new work.

I see this take occasionally and I completely agree. I think that's the loudest I've ever heard it and I've been to a lot of big games over there. It was unreal.

 

[mrMet]

Need a JJ td here and I’m sitting really pretty

 

[TheRain]

One of the Great sports documentary's I've ever seen.

I'm waiting for the Schiano Sunday doc.

 

[Orange.]

Also this Levis classic by Enki turned up. What a night that was!

 

[KB5252]

He sounds sick, has for a couple of days. Hope it's nothing serious.

 

[Jackcrevol]

Why did Pitt just attwmpt, and make a 60 yard FG up 30 pts?

 

[Orange_Crush]

He sounds sick, has for a couple of days. Hope it's nothing serious.

Probably strained his voice coaching in all the noise Saturday.

 

[Jackcrevol]

He sounds sick, has for a couple of days. Hope it's nothing serious.

sounds normal

 

[SoilVol]

View attachment 690695

I don't get it.

 

[Jimmy Football]

Why did Pitt just attwmpt, and make a 60 yard FG up 30 pts?

“The real question is whether they will onside the kickoff.”

- Josh Heupel

 

[Enki_Amenra]

Also this Levis classic by Enki turned up. What a night that was!
View attachment 690818

 

[Jackcrevol]

I don't get it.

twss

 

[MarcoVol]

 

[jave36]

I realized, you quoted two stats that contradicted each other. Nobody beating the lions covers so you don't think Minnesota covers, but teams on the road always cover. Why is one going to regress to the average but not the other?

 

[TN-POSSUM]

I don't get it.

 

[DD4ME]

Going to be interesting to see it unfold.

 

[mrMet]

I realized, you quoted two stats that contradicted each other. Nobody beating the lions covers so you don't think Minnesota covers, but teams on the road always cover. Why is one going to regress to the average but not the other?

You misunderstood. Road favorites have been 16-2 since week 5 (which means the public feasted vs the books). Vegas doesn’t lose regularly, so the public will eventually get got. The stat that teams don’t cover the spread after playing Detroit helps the theory that Vegas will correct that 16-2 public feasting

 

[mrMet]

You misunderstood. Road favorites have been 16-2 since week 5 (which means the public feasted vs the books). Vegas doesn’t lose regularly, so the public will eventually get got. The stat that teams don’t cover the spread after playing Detroit helps the theory that Vegas will correct that 16-2 public feasting

Basically, @jave36 im fading the public and riding with Vegas. The Detroit stat just helps back my theory

 

[jave36]

You misunderstood. Road favorites have been 16-2 since week 5 (which means the public feasted vs the books). Vegas doesn’t lose regularly, so the public will eventually get got. The stat that teams don’t cover the spread after playing Detroit helps the theory that Vegas will correct that 16-2 public feasting

The public only feasted if he majority of the money was on the road favorites.

You're basically saying the road favorites will regress to the Vegas historical average of covering 50% of the time. But the trend where teams don't cover after losing to Detroit is also a trend that should be 50% to match the Vegas historical average.

 

[jave36]

Basically, @jave36 im fading the public and riding with Vegas. The Detroit stat just helps back my theory

Public vs Vegas is about where the money is, not whether or not road favorites are covering often or not. Right?

 

[mrMet]

The public only feasted if he majority of the money was on the road favorites.

You're basically saying the road favorites will regress to the Vegas historical average of covering 50% of the time. But the trend where teams don't cover after losing to Detroit is also a trend that should be 50% to match the Vegas historical average.

Public vs Vegas is about where the money is, not whether or not road favorites are covering often or not. Right?

Yes, and the public rode the road favorites the last 2.5 weeks heavy

 

[jave36]

Yes, and the public rode the road favorites the last 2.5 weeks heavy

Right, but Vegas will get even by getting back to their 50% average. In every situation that's how they win.